Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Mikey Varas
San Diego FC
San Jose Earthquakes**San Diego's on a tear, and San Jose's just trying to stay afloat** — this is peak lopsided form collision. 🔥
The Quakes are missing half their squad and scraped together back-to-back draws before getting hammered 5-1 at home. San Diego's won three of the last five and just demolished Colorado at the Snapdragon. Home turf advantage + injury pileup = recipe for a statement win.
Key storylines:
- **San Diego's attacking trio of Dreyer, Pellegrino, and Mighten** have been clinical at home; Earthquakes' D is understaffed and vulnerable
- **San Jose's injury list is genuinely brutal** — five players out including key defensive and midfield pieces — makes road recovery nearly impossible
- **Snapdragon Stadium is a fortress so far** — home form is where San Diego's dominance shows up most
Expected lineups:
- **San Diego FC**: C. Dos Santos, M. Duah, O. Verhoeven, K. Sargeant, I. Murphy, O. Valakari, J. Tverskov, P. Soma, A. Dreyer, A. Pellegrino, A. Mighten
- **San Jose Earthquakes**: A. Gunn, R. Roberts, D. Munie, J. Ricketts, P. Marie, B. Leroux, O. Bouda, P. Judd, R. Vieira, L. Jovanovic, B. Kikanović
Prediction:
**San Diego 3–0 San Jose**. Earthquakes are too banged up and too cold to trouble a hot home side.
San Diego FC
4-3-3 · 3-4-2-1
San Jose Earthquakes
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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