Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
Pat Noonan
FC Cincinnati
Charlotte FC**Cincinnati's back against the wall, but Charlotte's red-hot streak is the real story here.** 🔥 The Boys in Orange got embarrassed in their last two road games—0-5 and 0-4 respectively—while Charlotte waltzed in 3W from their last 5 with zero losses. This is a confidence gulf.
Cincinnati at least get the home comforts of TQL, but they're short **S. Gidi** (concussion), and the results don't lie. Charlotte are buzzing and have actually got the edge in the head-to-head too (4 wins to Cincinnati's 2).
Key storylines:
- **K. Denkey and K. M. Dem** need to carry Cincinnati's attack; the defense has been Swiss cheese on the road
- **A. Saint-Maximin and L. Abada** are Charlotte's creative engines, and they'll feast if Cincinnati don't tighten up
- **T. Ream and H. Kessler** have been solid at the back for Charlotte; can Cincinnati's disorganized attack even test them?
Expected lineups:
- **FC Cincinnati**: R. Celentano, M. Miazga, K. Smith, E. Echenique, Evander, G. Valenzuela, K. M. Dem, K. Denkey
- **Charlotte FC**: K. Kahlina, T. Ream, H. Kessler, W. Cleary, P. Biel, D. Diani, L. Abada, A. Saint-Maximin
Prediction:
**Charlotte 2-1 Cincinnati.** Charlotte's momentum is real, and Cincinnati's recent collapse makes this a slight favorite for the road warriors.
FC Cincinnati
3-5-2 · 4-3-3
Charlotte FC
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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