Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**St. Louis City are rolling at home, but Minnesota's head-to-head record says don't sleep on the upset.** The Loons have owned this matchup historically — five wins in their last six meetings — even if they're limping through the season right now. 🔥
City are unbeaten in five (2W 3D), cruising on their own turf. Minnesota, meanwhile, are 1W 1D 3L lately and battered by injuries — **Hlongwane, Triantis, Romero, and Stroud** all sidelined. That's a lot of firepower missing.
Key storylines:
- **St. Louis City's home fortress** vs. Minnesota's fragile away form — City haven't lost at Energizer Park in this stretch
- **Minnesota's historical edge** in this fixture clashes with their current slump and depleted roster
- **Midfield battle**: **Totland and Polvara** need to control possession and limit **Trapp and Pereyra's** creativity
Expected lineups:
- **St. Louis City**: Bürki, Baumgartl, MacNaughton, Orozco, Edelman, Totland, Polvara, Hartel, Becher, Sang-bin, Durkin
- **Minnesota United**: Callender, Duggan, Markanich, Boxall, Díaz, Pereyra, Trapp, Gene, Yeboah, Caldeira, Duncan
Prediction:
**St. Louis City 2–1 Minnesota United**
City's form and home advantage edge out Minnesota's thin squad. Expect goals, but St. Louis get the job done. ⚽
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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