Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Seattle rolls in as massive favorites here** — the Sounders are basically unbeaten at home while Minnesota's been a total mess lately. 🔥
Seattle's 1W-4D run is cushioned by a home fortress (2-0 over Real Salt Lake most recently), whereas Minnesota's 0-4 collapse in their last five is genuinely rough. The head-to-head leans heavily Seattle's way too (14 wins vs 3).
Key storylines:
- **Seattle's attack** has options with **J. Morris** and **D. Joveljić** despite missing key depth in **J. Ferreira** and **N. Petković** to injury
- **Minnesota's defensive woes** continue — they're shipping goals constantly and **M. Callender** will face serious pressure from **C. Roldán** and the midfield press
- **A. Rusnák** pulling strings in midfield could be the difference for a Sounders side that's been hard to break down at Lumen
Expected lineups:
- **Seattle Sounders FC**: A. Thomas, N. Tolo, K. Kee-hee, G. Sandnes, K. Kossa-Rienzi, A. Rusnák, S. Brunell, D. Musovski, C. Roldán, J. Morris, D. Joveljić
- **Minnesota United**: D. Callender, A. Markanich, M. Duggan, M. Boxall, K. Duncan, J. Pereyra, W. Trapp, O. Gene, T. Chancalay, K. Yeboah, M. Caldeira
Prediction:
**Seattle 2–0 Minnesota** — Sounders have too much form and too few defensive leaks for a Minnesota side that's falling apart.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.