Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**San Jose hosting a struggling Portland side looking to pile on the misery.** Earthquakes are clicking at home with back-to-back wins, while the Timbers have limped to just one win in five. 🔥
San Jose's form is sharp — unbeaten in their last five matches, three of them at PayPal Park. Portland, meanwhile, are leaking goals and confidence in equal measure, arriving as heavy underdogs with a mounting injury list.
Key storylines:
- **San Jose's home fortress** vs Portland's road woes — the Earthquakes haven't dropped points at PayPal in their recent run, while the Timbers' away record is dire.
- **Depth crisis for Portland** — missing five players including key contributors, they're stretched thin across the pitch.
- **Werner and Judd chemistry** — San Jose's attacking pair have been pivotal in the home wins; expect them to probe relentlessly.
Expected lineups:
- **San Jose Earthquakes**: A. Gunn, J. Ricketts, D. Munie, B. Kikanović, R. Vieira, B. Leroux, N. Tsakiris, T. Werner, P. Judd, O. Bouda
- **Portland Timbers**: J. Pantemis, J. Fory, F. Surman, K. Miller, D. Da Costa, C. Bassett, D. Chará, V. Janssen, A. Lassiter
Prediction:
**San Jose 2-0 Portland**. The Earthquakes should cruise past a Timbers outfit stretched to breaking point. 📍
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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