New York Red Bulls 4-1 San Diego FC: Stats & xG

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MLS ·Sat 10 Oct

New York Red Bulls

4–1

HT 3–0

Full time

San Diego FC

Sports Illustrated Stadium, Harrison · Ref: Malik Badawi

Commentary

90'

Full-time. New York Red Bulls 4-1 San Diego FC.

90+7'

E. Forsberg

Attempt saved. E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.19.

90+6'

E. M. Choupo-Moting

Attempt missed. E. M. Choupo-Moting (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

90+3'

E. M. Choupo-Moting

Goal! New York Red Bulls 4-1 San Diego FC. E. M. Choupo-Moting (New York Red Bulls) scores, assisted by M. D. Santos.

90+1'

A. Godoy

Substitution, San Diego FC: O. Valakari comes on for A. Godoy.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

90'

J. Marshall-Rutty

Attempt missed. J. Marshall-Rutty (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.06.

89'

C. Bakambu

Attempt saved. C. Bakambu (San Diego FC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.14.

88'

D. Padelford

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: M. D. Santos comes on for D. Padelford.

85'

K. Sargeant

Yellow card for K. Sargeant (San Diego FC) for foul.

84'

C. McVey

Attempt blocked. C. McVey (San Diego FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

84'

S. Kone

Attempt blocked. S. Kone (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

84'

J. Hall

Attempt saved. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

83'

San Diego FC

Corner, San Diego FC.

83'

San Diego FC

Corner, San Diego FC.

82'

D. Padelford

Yellow card for D. Padelford (New York Red Bulls) for foul.

81'

J. Ruvalcaba

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: J. Marshall-Rutty comes on for J. Ruvalcaba.

79'

J. Ruvalcaba

Attempt missed. J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

79'

E. Forsberg

Attempt missed. E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.08.

79'

E. Achouri

Substitution, San Diego FC: A. Pellegrino comes on for E. Achouri.

78'

E. Forsberg

Attempt blocked. E. Forsberg (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.05.

78'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

76'

S. Kone

Attempt missed. S. Kone (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

71'

R. Donkor

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: S. Kone comes on for R. Donkor.

71'

M. Sofo

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: E. Forsberg comes on for M. Sofo.

71'

C. Cowell

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting comes on for C. Cowell.

70'

San Diego FC

Corner, San Diego FC.

69'

J. Hall

Attempt saved. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

66'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

66'

E. Achouri

Attempt saved. E. Achouri (San Diego FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

66'

C. Cowell

Attempt blocked. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

64'

A. Alvarado Jr

Attempt missed. A. Alvarado Jr (San Diego FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

64'

J. Hall

Attempt saved. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.15.

63'

C. Bakambu

Attempt missed. C. Bakambu (San Diego FC), header. xG 0.11.

62'

J. Ruvalcaba

Attempt missed. J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.17.

61'

Gabriel Pirani

Substitution, San Diego FC: D. E. M. Nyangono comes on for Gabriel Pirani.

61'

I. Murphy

Substitution, San Diego FC: C. McVey comes on for I. Murphy.

61'

J. Che

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: T. Parker comes on for J. Che.

60'

C. Bakambu

Goal! New York Red Bulls 3-1 San Diego FC. C. Bakambu (San Diego FC) scores, assisted by A. Dreyer.

58'

M. Sofo

Attempt blocked. M. Sofo (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.07.

55'

M. Duah

Yellow card for M. Duah (San Diego FC) for argument.

51'

San Diego FC

Offside, San Diego FC.

48'

J. Hall

Attempt saved. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

47'

A. Dreyer

Attempt missed. A. Dreyer (San Diego FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

46'

J. Tverskov

Substitution, San Diego FC: A. Alvarado Jr comes on for J. Tverskov.

46'

M. Ingvartsen

Substitution, San Diego FC: C. Bakambu comes on for M. Ingvartsen.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. New York Red Bulls 3-0 San Diego FC.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

44'

A. Dreyer

Penalty missed! A. Dreyer (San Diego FC), saved.

44'

San Diego FC

Corner, San Diego FC.

42'

J. Bazán

Yellow card for J. Bazán (New York Red Bulls) for foul.

40'

M. Ingvartsen

Attempt missed. M. Ingvartsen (San Diego FC), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

39'

San Diego FC

Corner, San Diego FC.

34'

C. Cowell

Attempt blocked. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.12.

33'

J. Hall

Attempt saved. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.17.

33'

J. Ruvalcaba

Attempt missed. J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.27.

31'

J. Hall

Attempt missed. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), header from a set piece. xG 0.10.

30'

J. Tverskov

Yellow card for J. Tverskov (San Diego FC) for foul.

27'

J. Ruvalcaba

Goal! New York Red Bulls 3-0 San Diego FC. J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) scores, assisted by R. Donkor.

27'

C. Cowell

Attempt blocked. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.27.

26'

M. Ingvartsen

Attempt missed. M. Ingvartsen (San Diego FC), header. xG 0.19.

25'

C. Cowell

Attempt saved. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

23'

A. Dreyer

Attempt missed. A. Dreyer (San Diego FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.03.

20'

D. Padelford

Goal! New York Red Bulls 2-0 San Diego FC. D. Padelford (New York Red Bulls) scores, assisted by C. Cowell.

19'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

15'

J. Hall

Goal! New York Red Bulls 1-0 San Diego FC. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls) scores, assisted by J. Ruvalcaba.

12'

C. Cowell

Attempt saved. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

12'

J. Che

Attempt missed. J. Che (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

12'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

11'

M. Ingvartsen

Attempt saved. M. Ingvartsen (San Diego FC), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

11'

San Diego FC

Corner, San Diego FC.

M. Ingvartsen

Attempt missed. M. Ingvartsen (San Diego FC), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

C. Cowell

Attempt blocked. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

O. Verhoeven

Attempt missed. O. Verhoeven (San Diego FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.03.

San Diego FC

Corner, San Diego FC.

Kick-off: New York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC.

Where the money is

63020 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 29174 EUR · live

Away 5.2 · implied 19.2%

51.1%

+31.9 vs price

Home 1.69 · implied 59.2%

36.4%

-22.8 vs price

Draw 4.6 · implied 21.7%

12.5%

-9.2 vs price

Half time 113 EUR

Draw 2.9 · implied 34.5%

70.1%

+35.6 vs price

Home 3.05 · implied 32.8%

29.3%

-3.5 vs price

Away 3.0 · implied 33.3%

0.0%

-33.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 10674 EUR · live

Over 1.24 · implied 80.6%

82.3%

+1.7 vs price

Under 5.2 · implied 19.2%

17.7%

-1.6 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 239 EUR

Under 1.29 · implied 77.5%

61.1%

-16.4 vs price

Over 4.3 · implied 23.3%

48.7%

+25.5 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 7 clips

Player of the match

Match events

15' ⚽ J. Hall · assist J. Ruvalcaba1–0

20' ⚽ D. Padelford · assist C. Cowell2–0

27' ⚽ J. Ruvalcaba · assist R. Donkor3–0

30' J. Tverskov · Foul

42' J. Bazán · Foul

44' 🚫 Penalty missed · A. Dreyer

Half-time · 3–0

46' 🔁 C. Bakambu ◂ M. Ingvartsen

46' 🔁 A. Alvarado Jr ◂ J. Tverskov

55' M. Duah · Argument

60' ⚽ C. Bakambu · assist A. Dreyer3–1

61' 🔁 T. Parker ◂ J. Che

61' 🔁 C. McVey ◂ I. Murphy

61' 🔁 D. E. M. Nyangono ◂ Gabriel Pirani

71' 🔁 E. M. Choupo-Moting ◂ C. Cowell

71' 🔁 E. Forsberg ◂ M. Sofo

71' 🔁 S. Kone ◂ R. Donkor

79' 🔁 A. Pellegrino ◂ E. Achouri

81' 🔁 J. Marshall-Rutty ◂ J. Ruvalcaba

82' D. Padelford · Foul

85' K. Sargeant · Foul

88' 🔁 M. D. Santos ◂ D. Padelford

Full-time · 4–1

90'⁺¹ 🔁 O. Valakari ◂ A. Godoy

90'⁺³ ⚽ E. M. Choupo-Moting · assist M. D. Santos4–1

Coaches

Michael Bradley

Mikey Varas

Recent form

New York Red Bulls

LHSt.Louis City0-3

WANew York City FC1-0

WAColumbus Crew1-0

LALos Angeles FC0-2

DASeattle Sounders FC0-0

San Diego FC

DAAustin FC3-3

DAInter Miami CF2-2

LHClub Tijuana1-2

LHPhiladelphia Union0-5

LHSan Jose Earthquakes2-3

About this match

**The Red Bulls are primed to pounce on a struggling San Diego side that can't find the back of the net.** This is the kind of matchup where form matters, and NYRB has the edge in momentum while San Diego's looking for answers.

New York just beat Columbus and City FC on the road, flashing real teeth. San Diego, meanwhile, has drawn twice in five and lost to Tijuana at home — they're leaking goals and not scoring enough to compensate. Classic recipe for a home beatdown.

Key storylines:

- **New York's attacking trio** of C. Cowell, J. Hall, and M. Sofo will have space to operate against a San Diego backline that's been porous all month
- **San Diego's lack of firepower** — E. Achouri and M. Ingvartsen haven't found their rhythm in MLS yet, and O. Valakari's midfield can't create enough chances to bail them out
- **Red Bulls control at home** — E. Forsberg and A. Mehmeti should dominate possession and tempo at Sports Illustrated Stadium

Expected lineups:

- **New York Red Bulls**: E. Horvath, M. D. Santos, J. Bazán, T. Parker, D. Nealis, E. Forsberg, A. Mehmeti, R. Donkor, C. Cowell, J. Hall, M. Sofo
- **San Diego FC**: C. Dos Santos, K. Sargeant, M. Duah, I. Murphy, O. Verhoeven, O. Valakari, J. Tverskov, A. Godoy, E. Achouri, M. Ingvartsen, A. Dreyer

Prediction:

**New York Red Bulls 2–0 San Diego FC** — Slight favorite to wrap this up comfortably at home. 🔴

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Sports Illustrated Stadium

City

Harrison

Referee

Malik Badawi

4.33 yellows/match · 33 matches

Kickoff

10 Oct, 23:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Top stats

37%Possession63%

4.16Expected goals (xG)2.12

28Total shots14

12Shots on target5

5Big chances3

4Corners7

Shots

9Shots off target8

7Blocked shots1

20Shots inside box12

8Shots outside box2

2Big chances scored1

3Big chances missed2

0.92Goals prevented-0.54

Attack

40Touches in box20

57Final third entries69

0Offsides1

14Free kicks19

1Fouled in final third5

Passing

348Passes576

263Accurate passes461

18/49 (37%)Long balls35/77 (45%)

2/5 (40%)Crosses7/21 (33%)

15Throw-ins33

Duels

47Duels53

40/87 (46%)Ground duels47/87 (54%)

12/23 (52%)Aerial duels11/23 (48%)

6/12 (50%)Dribbles8/17 (47%)

15Dispossessed11

Defending

20Tackles21

65Tackles won76

22Interceptions12

30Clearances18

62Recoveries67

Discipline

20Fouls14

2Yellow cards3

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves8

2Big saves1

10Goal kicks7

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

NY Red Bulls 37%

24%

San Diego 39%

BTTSBoth teams to score 70% · 1.35 @ fonbet

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 86% · 1.10 @ Bet365

Who winsSan Diego to win (DNB) 50% · 1.96 @ Betsson

1X2San Diego to win 39% · 2.88 @ Bet365

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62%

1X2Draw 24% · 2.60 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 50% · 1.91 @ Bet365

1X2NY Red Bulls to win 37% · 2.88 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 54% · 1.80 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.50

New York Red Bulls

3.80

Draw

2.40

San Diego FC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.53

New York Red Bulls or Draw

1.25

New York Red Bulls or San Diego FC

1.50

Draw or San Diego FC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.30

Yes

3.20

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

23.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.10

Over 1.50

7.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.40

Over 2.50

2.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.91

Over 3.50

1.80

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.25

Over 4.50

1.33

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.80

New York Red Bulls

1.91

San Diego FC

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.80

Over 9.50

1.91

Under 9.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.88

New York Red Bulls

2.60

Draw

2.88

San Diego FC

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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