Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC: Stats, xG & Lineups

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC.

90+3'

S. Surridge

Attempt saved. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

90+1'

H. Mukhtar

Goal! Austin FC 1-4 Nashville SC. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) scores, assisted by S. Mohammed.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

M. Corcoran

Substitution, Nashville SC: B. Acosta comes on for M. Corcoran.

89'

C. Espinoza

Substitution, Nashville SC: J. Bauer comes on for C. Espinoza.

88'

S. Mohammed

Goal! Austin FC 1-3 Nashville SC. S. Mohammed (Nashville SC) scores.

87'

B. Vázquez

Attempt missed. B. Vázquez (Austin FC), header from a set piece. xG 0.05.

87'

Austin FC

Corner, Austin FC.

86'

B. Sabović

Attempt blocked. B. Sabović (Austin FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

86'

E. Torres

Attempt missed. E. Torres (Austin FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

84'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

83'

B. Schwake

Yellow card for B. Schwake (Nashville SC) for time wasting.

78'

S. Mohammed

Yellow card for S. Mohammed (Nashville SC) for foul.

76'

B. Vázquez

Goal! Austin FC 1-2 Nashville SC. B. Vázquez (Austin FC) scores, assisted by F. Torres.

76'

P. Yazbek

Substitution, Nashville SC: E. Tagseth comes on for P. Yazbek.

76'

A. Najar

Substitution, Nashville SC: D. Lovitz comes on for A. Najar.

74'

S. Mohammed

Off the woodwork! S. Mohammed (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

73'

B. Vázquez

Attempt saved. B. Vázquez (Austin FC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.45.

69'

E. Saad

Substitution, Nashville SC: S. Mohammed comes on for E. Saad.

69'

M. Desler

Substitution, Austin FC: P. Płacheta comes on for M. Desler.

67'

E. Saad

Goal! Austin FC 0-2 Nashville SC. E. Saad (Nashville SC) scores.

67'

C. Espinoza

Attempt saved. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.11.

66'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt saved. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.55.

66'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt missed. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), left-footed shot. xG 0.38.

65'

E. Saad

Attempt saved. E. Saad (Nashville SC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.08.

64'

C. Espinoza

Attempt missed. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

61'

J. Alastuey

Substitution, Austin FC: B. Sabović comes on for J. Alastuey.

60'

M. Uzuni

Substitution, Austin FC: C. Ramirez comes on for M. Uzuni.

59'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

58'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt saved. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

55'

E. Saad

Attempt missed. E. Saad (Nashville SC), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

53'

B. Vázquez

Attempt saved. B. Vázquez (Austin FC), header. xG 0.04.

52'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt saved. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), left-footed shot. xG 0.36.

51'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

46'

J. Bell

Substitution, Austin FC: B. Hines-Ike comes on for J. Bell.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Austin FC 0-1 Nashville SC.

45'

1 minute of added time.

44'

F. Torres

Attempt blocked. F. Torres (Austin FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

43'

E. Torres

Attempt missed. E. Torres (Austin FC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

43'

Austin FC

Corner, Austin FC.

42'

J. Gallagher

Attempt saved. J. Gallagher (Austin FC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

40'

B. Vázquez

Attempt missed. B. Vázquez (Austin FC), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

40'

Austin FC

Corner, Austin FC.

38'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

37'

Guilherme Biro

Yellow card for Guilherme Biro (Austin FC) for persistent fouling.

35'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

33'

S. Surridge

Off the woodwork! S. Surridge (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

30'

S. Surridge

Attempt blocked. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), header from a corner. xG 0.01.

30'

P. Yazbek

Off the woodwork! P. Yazbek (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.23.

30'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

30'

R. Baker-Whiting

Goal! Austin FC 0-1 Nashville SC. R. Baker-Whiting (Nashville SC) scores.

29'

S. Surridge

Attempt blocked. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

27'

R. Baker-Whiting

Attempt blocked. R. Baker-Whiting (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.27.

25'

E. Saad

Attempt blocked. E. Saad (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

20'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

15'

J. Palacios

Attempt missed. J. Palacios (Nashville SC), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

14'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

14'

A. Najar

Attempt saved. A. Najar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

12'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

11'

C. Espinoza

Attempt missed. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

5'

M. Uzuni

Attempt saved. M. Uzuni (Austin FC), left-footed shot. xG 0.33.

4'

Austin FC

Corner, Austin FC.

3'

S. Surridge

Attempt missed. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), left-footed shot. xG 0.14.

1'

Kick-off: Austin FC vs Nashville SC.

Where the money is

216681 EUR matched · captured 3 weeks, 1 day ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 76141 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

79.4%

-19.6 vs price

Draw 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

14.8%

+14.7 vs price

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

5.9%

+5.8 vs price

Half time 4153 EUR · live

Away 1.06 · implied 94.3%

92.2%

-2.2 vs price

Draw 17.0 · implied 5.9%

7.0%

+1.1 vs price

Home 95.0 · implied 1.1%

0.8%

-0.3 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 24980 EUR · live

Over 2.02 · implied 49.5%

65.5%

+16.0 vs price

Under 2.0 · implied 50.0%

34.5%

-15.5 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 939 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

66.7%

-32.3 vs price

Over 18.5 · implied 5.4%

33.2%

+27.8 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

30' ⚽ R. Baker-Whiting0–1

37' Guilherme Biro · Persistent fouling

Half-time · 0–1

46' 🔁 B. Hines-Ike ◂ J. Bell

60' 🔁 C. Ramirez ◂ M. Uzuni

61' 🔁 B. Sabović ◂ J. Alastuey

67' ⚽ E. Saad0–2

69' 🔁 P. Płacheta ◂ M. Desler

69' 🔁 S. Mohammed ◂ E. Saad

76' ⚽ B. Vázquez · assist F. Torres1–2

76' 🔁 D. Lovitz ◂ A. Najar

76' 🔁 E. Tagseth ◂ P. Yazbek

78' S. Mohammed · Foul

83' B. Schwake · Time wasting

88' ⚽ S. Mohammed1–3

89' 🔁 J. Bauer ◂ C. Espinoza

Full-time · 1–4

90' 🔁 B. Acosta ◂ M. Corcoran

90'⁺¹ ⚽ H. Mukhtar · assist S. Mohammed1–4

Coaches

Davy Arnaud

B.J. Callaghan

Recent form

Austin FC

DHSan Diego FC3-3

DAFC Dallas0-0

WAVancouver Whitecaps2-1

DHColorado Rapids1-1

DHSan Jose Earthquakes1-1

Nashville SC

WHToronto FC2-0

WHChicago Fire3-0

DAInter Miami CF2-2

LAToronto FC1-2

DANew York City FC0-0

About this match

**Austin's draw-fest meets Nashville's hot streak** — one team's been grinding out stalemates, the other just flexed back-to-back shutouts. 🔥

Austin's last five reads like a snooze button: one win sandwiched between four draws. Nashville rolled up with 2W in their last five, including a dominant 3-0 demolition of Chicago. Head-to-head favors Nashville slightly (2W to 1W), but Austin's at home at Q2.

Key storylines:

- **Austin's attack vs Nashville's defense** — with **P. Płacheta** sidelined, can **C. Ramirez** and **F. Torres** unlock a Nashville back line that's been shutting people out?
- **Nashville's momentum** — **H. Mukhtar**, **E. Saad**, and **C. Espinoza** have been clicking; Austin can't afford another draw here
- **Midfield battle** — **B. Sabović** and **M. Desler** need to disrupt Nashville's rhythm early, or this gets away from Austin

Expected lineups:

- **Austin FC**: B. Stuver, J. Bell, B. Hines-Ike, O. Svatok, J. Gallagher, M. Desler, B. Sabović, E. Torres, C. Ramirez, F. Torres
- **Nashville SC**: B. Schwake, R. Baker-Whiting, M. Woledzi, J. Palacios, A. Najar, M. Corcoran, E. Tagseth, H. Mukhtar, C. Espinoza, S. Surridge

Prediction:

**Austin 1-1 Nashville**. Both teams walk away with a point — fits Austin's vibe and keeps Nashville's streak alive without drama.

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Q2 Stadium

City

Austin

Referee

Ismail Elfath

3.62 yellows/match · 26 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Austin FC 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1 Nashville SC

1 B. Stuver 8.3 77 P. Płacheta 6.4 ↑ 69' 4 B. Hines-Ike 6.3 ↑ 46' 29 Guilherme Biro 6.2 11 F. Torres 6.7 38 E. Torres 6.3 6 I. Sánchez 6.9 17 J. Gallagher 6.5 14 B. Sabović 6.5 ↑ 61' 9 B. Vázquez 7.8 21 C. Ramirez 6.5 ↑ 60' 99 B. Schwake 8.7 2 D. Lovitz 6.4 ↑ 76' 4 J. Palacios 6.7 3 M. Woledzi 6.8 27 R. Baker-Whiting 7.7 20 E. Tagseth 6.5 ↑ 76' 6 B. Acosta ↑ 90' 22 J. Bauer ↑ 89' 10 H. Mukhtar 8.7 14 S. Mohammed 7.8 ↑ 69' 9 S. Surridge 7.1

Substitutes

12GD. Las 15DJ. Bell↓ 46'6.3 3DM. Desler↓ 69'6.1 5DO. Svatok 35DM. Đorđević 22DC. Applewhite 24MJ. Alastuey↓ 61'7.0 10FM. Uzuni↓ 60'6.9 32FM. Burton

Coach: Davy Arnaud

Substitutes

1GJ. Willis 31DA. Najar↓ 76'7.2 5DJ. Maher 7MC. Espinoza↓ 89'7.7 16MM. Corcoran↓ 90'7.3 8MP. Yazbek↓ 76'6.8 19MA. Muyl 11FE. Saad↓ 69'8.3 41FW. Madrigal

Coach: B.J. Callaghan

Top stats

43%Possession57%

1.11Expected goals (xG)4.94

11Total shots24

5Shots on target11

2Big chances9

4Corners6

Shots

4Shots off target9

2Blocked shots4

7Shots inside box21

4Shots outside box3

0Hit woodwork3

0Big chances scored4

2Big chances missed5

1.25Goals prevented1.41

Attack

12Touches in box46

45Final third entries46

0Offsides3

10Free kicks5

2Fouled in final third2

Passing

367Passes505

303Accurate passes440

29/57 (51%)Long balls26/46 (57%)

5/22 (23%)Crosses3/11 (27%)

21Throw-ins15

Duels

41Duels59

18/40 (45%)Ground duels22/40 (55%)

5/16 (31%)Aerial duels11/16 (69%)

1/9 (11%)Dribbles4/7 (57%)

5Dispossessed4

Defending

7Tackles13

71Tackles won69

3Interceptions7

16Clearances19

35Recoveries52

Discipline

5Fouls10

1Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

7Saves4

1Big saves2

10Goal kicks6

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Austin 24%

25%

Nashville 51%

Who winsNashville to win (DNB) 64% · 1.44 @ Betano

1X2Nashville to win 51% · 2.40 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 57% · 1.65 @ fonbet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 61%

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 54% · 1.75 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 77% · 1.22 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 25% · 2.30 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 62%

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 51% · 1.91 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 67% · 1.40 @ Bet365

1X2Austin to win 24% · 4.33 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

3.80

Austin FC

3.70

Draw

1.81

Nashville SC

Double Chanceconsensus

1.91

Austin FC or Draw

1.29

Austin FC or Nashville SC

1.25

Draw or Nashville SC

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes

2.18

No

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

13.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

4.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.75

Over 2.50

2.05

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.75

Over 3.50

1.40

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

5.50

Over 4.50

1.14

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

2.75

Austin FC

1.40

Nashville SC

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.80

Over 9.50

1.91

Under 9.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

4.33

Austin FC

2.30

Draw

2.40

Nashville SC

Full odds via API →

No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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