Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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**Seattle's rolling into Frisco white-hot, and Dallas better be ready** — the Sounders are basically unconscious right now, while FC Dallas has looked scrappy but beatable. 🔥
Dallas scraped a win over LAFC last time out and held Austin to a 0-0, but they've leaked goals and dropped points recently. Seattle, meanwhile, just demolished Minnesota 3-1 and has won four of their last five with a defence that's clicking. This feels like a mismatch on paper.
Key storylines:
- **Seattle's form vs Dallas's shakiness**: The Sounders have been clinical in the final third, while FC Dallas' backline (especially with K. Scabin out) looks vulnerable
- **Dallas midfield battle**: C. Cappis and Kaick need to control tempo against C. Roldán and A. Roldán's creative engine
- **Morris and Rusnák finishing**: Seattle's attacking duo has been lethal — J. Morris and A. Rusnák will be hunting chances all night
Expected lineups:
- **FC Dallas**: J. Sirois, N. Norris, O. Urhoghide, S. Ibeagha, S. Moore, C. Cappis, Kaick, Ramiro, J. Valiente, L. Farrington, S. Moreno
- **Seattle Sounders FC**: A. Thomas, N. Tolo, S. Hawkins, J. Ragen, A. Roldán, C. Roldán, P. Kingston, S. Gomez, A. Rusnák, P. Arriola, J. Morris
Prediction:
**Seattle 2-1 Dallas** — Sounders edge it despite travelling; too much momentum right now. 📍
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.1%.
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