Minnesota United 3-2 St.Louis City: Stats & xG

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MLS ·Sat 17 Oct

Minnesota United

3–2

HT 0–2

Full time

St.Louis City

Allianz Field, St. Paul · Ref: Ramy Touchan

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Minnesota United 3-2 St.Louis City.

90+4'

T. Chancalay

Attempt missed. T. Chancalay (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+3'

F. Fall

Attempt missed. F. Fall (St.Louis City), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

90+2'

K. Yeboah

Substitution, Minnesota United: T. Chancalay comes on for K. Yeboah.

90+2'

C. Valerius

Substitution, Minnesota United: M. Boxall comes on for C. Valerius.

90+1'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

90+1'

R. Santos

Attempt saved. R. Santos (St.Louis City), left-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.06.

90'

5 minutes of added time.

90'

J. Díaz

Yellow card for J. Díaz (Minnesota United) for foul.

88'

T. Ostrák

Attempt blocked. T. Ostrák (St.Louis City), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

86'

M. Caldeira

Goal! Minnesota United 3-2 St.Louis City. M. Caldeira (Minnesota United) scores, assisted by J. Pereyra.

85'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

85'

M. Perez

Attempt blocked. M. Perez (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

84'

D. Downs

Attempt blocked. D. Downs (St.Louis City), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

82'

M. Joyner

Substitution, St.Louis City: T. Ostrák comes on for M. Joyner.

79'

A. Jackson

Substitution, Minnesota United: J. Pereyra comes on for A. Jackson.

78'

C. Valerius

Attempt missed. C. Valerius (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

76'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

75'

A. Jackson

Attempt saved. A. Jackson (Minnesota United), header. xG 0.03.

75'

R. Navarro

Attempt saved. R. Navarro (St.Louis City), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

75'

M. Joyner

Attempt saved. M. Joyner (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.22.

74'

M. Caldeira

Cleared off the line! M. Caldeira (Minnesota United), header from a corner. xG 0.14.

73'

Minnesota United

Corner, Minnesota United.

72'

W. Trapp

Attempt missed. W. Trapp (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

71'

M. Caldeira

Attempt saved. M. Caldeira (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

70'

M. González

Substitution, Minnesota United: M. Caldeira comes on for M. González.

69'

S. Becher

Substitution, St.Louis City: D. Downs comes on for S. Becher.

69'

J. Sang-bin

Substitution, St.Louis City: L. MacNaughton comes on for J. Sang-bin.

68'

K. Yeboah

Goal! Minnesota United 2-2 St.Louis City. K. Yeboah (Minnesota United) scores, assisted by M. González.

68'

B. Hlongwane

Attempt saved. B. Hlongwane (Minnesota United), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

66'

N. Triantis

Attempt missed. N. Triantis (Minnesota United), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

66'

Minnesota United

Corner, Minnesota United.

65'

K. Yeboah

Attempt missed. K. Yeboah (Minnesota United), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

62'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

62'

N. Triantis

Attempt missed. N. Triantis (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

61'

N. Triantis

Attempt saved. N. Triantis (Minnesota United), header from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

60'

Minnesota United

Corner, Minnesota United.

59'

N. Triantis

Attempt blocked. N. Triantis (Minnesota United), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

59'

N. Triantis

Attempt blocked. N. Triantis (Minnesota United), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

58'

Minnesota United

Corner, Minnesota United.

58'

A. Markanich

Attempt blocked. A. Markanich (Minnesota United), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

52'

K. Yeboah

Attempt blocked. K. Yeboah (Minnesota United), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

51'

J. Sang-bin

Yellow card for J. Sang-bin (St.Louis City) for foul.

49'

A. Jackson

Goal! Minnesota United 1-2 St.Louis City. A. Jackson (Minnesota United) scores, assisted by K. Yeboah.

46'

D. Polvara

Substitution, St.Louis City: D. Edelman comes on for D. Polvara.

46'

T. Totland

Substitution, St.Louis City: R. Santos comes on for T. Totland.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Minnesota United 0-2 St.Louis City.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

45'

Minnesota United

Corner, Minnesota United.

41'

K. Yeboah

Attempt missed. K. Yeboah (Minnesota United), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

41'

M. González

Attempt saved. M. González (Minnesota United), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.39.

40'

D. Polvara

Attempt blocked. D. Polvara (St.Louis City), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

39'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

37'

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

36'

T. Totland

Attempt missed. T. Totland (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

34'

R. Navarro

Attempt missed. R. Navarro (St.Louis City), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

31'

Minnesota United

Corner, Minnesota United.

31'

B. Hlongwane

Attempt blocked. B. Hlongwane (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

26'

M. Perez

Yellow card for M. Perez (St.Louis City) for foul.

24'

A. Jackson

Yellow card for A. Jackson (Minnesota United) for foul.

22'

St.Louis City

Offside, St.Louis City.

19'

S. Becher

Attempt missed. S. Becher (St.Louis City), header from a set piece. xG 0.04.

16'

C. Valerius

Attempt blocked. C. Valerius (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

16'

C. Valerius

Attempt saved. C. Valerius (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

16'

K. Yeboah

Attempt blocked. K. Yeboah (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.22.

14'

K. Yeboah

Attempt saved. K. Yeboah (Minnesota United), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

10'

J. Sang-bin

Goal! Minnesota United 0-2 St.Louis City. J. Sang-bin (St.Louis City) scores, assisted by R. Navarro.

St.Louis City

Offside, St.Louis City.

R. Navarro

Attempt missed. R. Navarro (St.Louis City), header from a corner. xG 0.02.

St.Louis City

Corner, St.Louis City.

M. González

Attempt blocked. M. González (Minnesota United), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

S. Becher

Attempt saved. S. Becher (St.Louis City), left-footed shot. xG 0.18.

R. Navarro

Goal! Minnesota United 0-1 St.Louis City. R. Navarro (St.Louis City) scores.

A. Jackson

Attempt missed. A. Jackson (Minnesota United), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

Kick-off: Minnesota United vs St.Louis City.

Where the money is

1053654 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 475089 EUR · live

Away 200.0 · implied 0.5%

52.1%

+51.6 vs price

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

35.7%

-60.5 vs price

Draw 26.0 · implied 3.8%

12.6%

+8.7 vs price

Half time 3693 EUR · live

Away 1.01 · implied 99.0%

93.9%

-5.1 vs price

Home 65.0 · implied 1.5%

3.8%

+2.3 vs price

Draw 14.0 · implied 7.1%

2.2%

-5.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 62643 EUR · live

Over 1.19 · implied 84.0%

93.6%

+9.6 vs price

Under 6.0 · implied 16.7%

6.4%

-10.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 16396 EUR · live

Over 5.6 · implied 17.9%

50.8%

+32.9 vs price

Under 1.18 · implied 84.7%

49.3%

-35.5 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 6 clips

Player of the match

Match events

4' ⚽ R. Navarro0–1

10' ⚽ J. Sang-bin · assist R. Navarro0–2

24' A. Jackson · Foul

26' M. Perez · Foul

Half-time · 0–2

46' 🔁 R. Santos ◂ T. Totland

46' 🔁 D. Edelman ◂ D. Polvara

49' ⚽ A. Jackson · assist K. Yeboah1–2

51' J. Sang-bin · Foul

68' ⚽ K. Yeboah · assist M. González2–2

69' 🔁 L. MacNaughton ◂ J. Sang-bin

69' 🔁 D. Downs ◂ S. Becher

70' 🔁 M. Caldeira ◂ M. González

79' 🔁 J. Pereyra ◂ A. Jackson

82' 🔁 T. Ostrák ◂ M. Joyner

86' ⚽ M. Caldeira · assist J. Pereyra3–2

Full-time · 3–2

90' J. Díaz · Foul

90'⁺² 🔁 M. Boxall ◂ C. Valerius

90'⁺² 🔁 T. Chancalay ◂ K. Yeboah

Coaches

Cameron Knowles

Yoann Damet

Recent form

Minnesota United

DAColorado Rapids2-2

DHHouston Dynamo2-2

LASeattle Sounders FC1-3

LHLA Galaxy2-3

LASt.Louis City2-4

St.Louis City

DHVancouver Whitecaps0-0

WHLA Galaxy6-2

WANew York Red Bulls3-0

WHToronto FC3-1

WHMinnesota United4-2

About this match

**Minnesota's in freefall while St. Louis rolls hot.** This is the classic trap game setup — home side's desperate, visitors peaked at exactly the right time. 🔥

Minnesota's picked up just one point in five, leaking goals left and right. St. Louis has won four straight and demolished everyone in sight (including a 6-2 hammering of LA Galaxy). The head-to-head history favors the Loons big time, but form > history every single time.

Key storylines:

- **Minnesota's backline** (Boxall, Duggan, Pereyra) is hemorrhaging chances; **St. Louis's attack** (Mățan, Sang-bin, Navarro) has been clinical all month.
- **W. Trapp** and **J. Díaz** need to dominate the midfield for the home side or St. Louis controls tempo entirely.
- **B. Hlongwane** and **K. Yeboah** up top will be chasing a lot of balls if Minnesota can't get the ball back quickly.

Expected lineups:

- **Minnesota United**: D. Callender, J. Pereyra, M. Boxall, K. Duncan, J. Díaz, W. Trapp, O. Gene, T. Chancalay, K. Yeboah, B. Hlongwane
- **St.Louis City**: R. Bürki, T. Baumgartl, D. Edelman, L. MacNaughton, T. Totland, C. Wallem, D. Polvara, C. Durkin, A. Mățan, R. Navarro, J. Sang-bin

Prediction:

**St. Louis 2–1 Minnesota.** Visitors have the edge in current form and should nick this one away from home. 📍

Where to watch

Apple TV

Match facts

Stadium

Allianz Field

City

St. Paul

Referee

Ramy Touchan

4.71 yellows/match · 17 matches

Kickoff

17 Oct, 20:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Top stats

45%Possession55%

2.63Expected goals (xG)1.21

27Total shots15

11Shots on target6

5Big chances2

6Corners7

Shots

8Shots off target5

8Blocked shots4

19Shots inside box11

8Shots outside box4

1Hit woodwork0

3Big chances scored1

2Big chances missed1

0.81Goals prevented-0.82

Attack

42Touches in box20

55Final third entries48

0Offsides2

15Free kicks14

4Fouled in final third3

Passing

338Passes419

266Accurate passes344

14/43 (33%)Long balls23/47 (49%)

6/18 (33%)Crosses5/15 (33%)

21Throw-ins24

Duels

51Duels49

34/69 (49%)Ground duels35/69 (51%)

20/37 (54%)Aerial duels17/37 (46%)

8/22 (36%)Dribbles1/6 (17%)

6Dispossessed6

Defending

11Tackles20

82Tackles won65

5Interceptions5

18Clearances33

46Recoveries43

Discipline

14Fouls15

2Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

4Saves7

2Big saves1

8Goal kicks11

0Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Minnesota 38%

25%

St. Louis 37%

BTTSBoth teams to score 65% · 1.50 @ Betway

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 61% · 1.53 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 83% · 1.14 @ Bet365

1X2St. Louis to win 37% · 3.00 @ Bet365

1X2Draw 25% · 2.40 @ Bet365

Who winsMinnesota to win (DNB) 55% · 1.77 @ 10bet

1X2Minnesota to win 38% · 2.88 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.83 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.61 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.40

Minnesota United

3.70

Draw

2.50

St.Louis City

Double Chanceconsensus

1.50

Minnesota United or Draw

1.29

Minnesota United or St.Louis City

1.53

Draw or St.Louis City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.44

Yes

2.60

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

19.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.14

Over 1.50

5.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.53

Over 2.50

2.40

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.20

Over 3.50

1.61

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.75

Over 4.50

1.25

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.73

Minnesota United

1.99

St.Louis City

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.83

Over 10.50

1.83

Under 10.50

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

2.88

Minnesota United

2.40

Draw

3.00

St.Louis City

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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