Nashville SC 3-2 New York Red Bulls: Stats & xG

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MLS ·Sun 01 Nov

Nashville SC

3–2

HT 1–2

Full time

New York Red Bulls

Geodis Park, Nashville · Ref: Sergii Demianchuk

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Nashville SC 3-2 New York Red Bulls.

90+6'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

90+6'

S. Surridge

Attempt saved. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

90+3'

C. Espinoza

Substitution, Nashville SC: S. Mohammed comes on for C. Espinoza.

90+3'

A. Najar

Substitution, Nashville SC: J. Bauer comes on for A. Najar.

90+1'

S. Surridge

Goal! Nashville SC 3-2 New York Red Bulls. S. Surridge (Nashville SC) scores, assisted by C. Espinoza.

90+1'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

90'

8 minutes of added time.

89'

S. Kone

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: D. Ruíz comes on for S. Kone.

89'

R. Mosquera

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: C. Faello comes on for R. Mosquera.

89'

J. Ruvalcaba

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: E. Forsberg comes on for J. Ruvalcaba.

88'

S. Surridge

Attempt missed. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), header. xG 0.61.

87'

J. Hall

Attempt blocked. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

86'

M. Jiménez

Attempt blocked. M. Jiménez (New York Red Bulls), header. xG 0.02.

85'

S. Surridge

Attempt missed. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), header. xG 0.06.

84'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

84'

S. Surridge

Attempt saved. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), left-footed shot. xG 0.30.

82'

E. Saad

Substitution, Nashville SC: W. Madrigal comes on for E. Saad.

78'

C. Espinoza

VAR: goal for Nashville SC ruled out.

78'

J. Bazán

Goal! Nashville SC 2-2 New York Red Bulls. Own goal by J. Bazán.

77'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

75'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

74'

A. Najar

Attempt missed. A. Najar (Nashville SC), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

73'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

73'

C. Espinoza

Attempt missed. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

73'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt saved. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), header. xG 0.35.

73'

C. Espinoza

Attempt blocked. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

69'

B. Acosta

Attempt blocked. B. Acosta (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

69'

M. Woledzi

Off the woodwork! M. Woledzi (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

69'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

68'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

68'

E. Saad

Attempt blocked. E. Saad (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.05.

67'

C. Espinoza

Attempt saved. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

67'

P. Yazbek

Substitution, Nashville SC: E. Tagseth comes on for P. Yazbek.

67'

M. Corcoran

Substitution, Nashville SC: B. Acosta comes on for M. Corcoran.

64'

D. Padelford

Attempt missed. D. Padelford (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.11.

64'

J. Hall

Attempt blocked. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

63'

J. Ruvalcaba

Attempt saved. J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.58.

63'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

61'

S. Surridge

Off the woodwork! S. Surridge (Nashville SC), header. xG 0.24.

59'

C. Cowell

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: M. Jiménez comes on for C. Cowell.

55'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

53'

R. Baker-Whiting

Off the woodwork! R. Baker-Whiting (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.05.

52'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

52'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt missed. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), header on the counter. xG 0.18.

49'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

48'

M. Woledzi

Attempt missed. M. Woledzi (Nashville SC), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

47'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Nashville SC 1-2 New York Red Bulls.

45+8'

S. Surridge

Attempt saved. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), header. xG 0.04.

45+4'

T. Parker

Attempt missed. T. Parker (New York Red Bulls), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

45+4'

R. Mosquera

Attempt blocked. R. Mosquera (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.04.

45+3'

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

45+3'

C. Cowell

Attempt blocked. C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45+2'

J. Ruvalcaba

Yellow card for J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) for foul.

45'

9 minutes of added time.

45'

T. Parker

Goal! Nashville SC 1-2 New York Red Bulls. Own goal by T. Parker.

40'

R. Mosquera

Goal! Nashville SC 0-2 New York Red Bulls. R. Mosquera (New York Red Bulls) scores, assisted by C. Cowell.

39'

C. Harper

Substitution, New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera comes on for C. Harper.

34'

J. Hall

Goal! Nashville SC 0-1 New York Red Bulls. J. Hall (New York Red Bulls) scores, assisted by A. Mehmeti.

33'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

32'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

28'

J. Ruvalcaba

Attempt blocked. J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

27'

P. Yazbek

Attempt missed. P. Yazbek (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

25'

S. Kone

Yellow card for S. Kone (New York Red Bulls) for foul.

19'

C. Cowell

Penalty missed! C. Cowell (New York Red Bulls), saved.

19'

C. Harper

Attempt missed. C. Harper (New York Red Bulls), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.06.

New York Red Bulls

Corner, New York Red Bulls.

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

E. Saad

Attempt blocked. E. Saad (Nashville SC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.10.

A. Mehmeti

Attempt missed. A. Mehmeti (New York Red Bulls), header from a set piece. xG 0.01.

Kick-off: Nashville SC vs New York Red Bulls.

Where the money is

565535 EUR matched · captured 23 hours, 47 minutes ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 379519 EUR · live

Home 1.02 · implied 98.0%

51.1%

-46.9 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

31.7%

+31.6 vs price

Draw 38.0 · implied 2.6%

17.3%

+14.7 vs price

Half time 540 EUR

Away 5.7 · implied 17.5%

53.7%

+36.2 vs price

Home 1.94 · implied 51.5%

36.3%

-15.2 vs price

Draw 3.25 · implied 30.8%

9.9%

-20.8 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 34823 EUR · live

Over 1.09 · implied 91.7%

62.0%

-29.8 vs price

Under 11.5 · implied 8.7%

38.1%

+29.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 343 EUR

Under 1.32 · implied 75.8%

91.5%

+15.7 vs price

Over 4.2 · implied 23.8%

8.5%

-15.3 vs price

15 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 5 clips

Player of the match

Match events

19' 🚫 Penalty missed · C. Cowell

25' S. Kone · Foul

34' ⚽ J. Hall · assist A. Mehmeti0–1

39' 🔁 R. Mosquera ◂ C. Harper

40' ⚽ R. Mosquera · assist C. Cowell0–2

Half-time · 1–2

45' ⚽ T. Parker1–2

45'⁺² J. Ruvalcaba · Foul

59' 🔁 M. Jiménez ◂ C. Cowell

67' 🔁 B. Acosta ◂ M. Corcoran

67' 🔁 E. Tagseth ◂ P. Yazbek

78' ⚽ J. Bazán2–2

78' VAR Goal check · C. Espinoza

82' 🔁 W. Madrigal ◂ E. Saad

89' 🔁 E. Forsberg ◂ J. Ruvalcaba

89' 🔁 C. Faello ◂ R. Mosquera

89' 🔁 D. Ruíz ◂ S. Kone

Full-time · 3–2

90'⁺¹ ⚽ S. Surridge · assist C. Espinoza3–2

90'⁺³ 🔁 J. Bauer ◂ A. Najar

90'⁺³ 🔁 S. Mohammed ◂ C. Espinoza

Coaches

B.J. Callaghan

Michael Bradley

Recent form

Nashville SC

DHPhiladelphia Union0-0

WACF Montréal2-0

DASan Jose Earthquakes1-1

WHSporting Kansas City4-0

WAAustin FC4-1

New York Red Bulls

LANew England Revolution2-3

WHInter Miami CF2-0

LHToronto FC0-2

LADC United1-2

WHSan Diego FC4-1

About this match

**Nashville's been quietly cooking** — three wins in their last five, and the Red Bulls are limping in with three losses in five. This feels like a home-date setup at Geodis Park. ⚽

Form tells the story: Nashville's drawing power (0-0 vs Philly, 1-1 vs San Jose) shows defensive stability, while New York keeps leaking goals (0-2 to Toronto, 2-3 to New England). The visitors are missing **J. Bazán** to suspension and **J. Che** to injury — both defensive headaches.

Key storylines:

- **H. Mukhtar** and **S. Surridge** up top will face a porous Red Bulls backline missing key bodies
- **E. Forsberg** and **A. Mehmeti** need to spark New York's midfield creativity, but Nashville's **C. Espinoza** and **P. Yazbek** control possession at home
- Nashville's **B. Schwake** hasn't been severely tested; Red Bulls' **E. Horvath** has faced constant pressure

Expected lineups:

- **Nashville SC**: Schwake, Woledzi, Palacios, Corcoran, Baker-Whiting, Espinoza, Yazbek, Mukhtar, Najar, Surridge, Saad
- **New York Red Bulls**: Horvath, Nealis, Padelford, Parker, M. D. Santos, Donkor, Mehmeti, Forsberg, Hall, Sofo, Cowell

Prediction:

**Nashville 2-1 New York Red Bulls**. Home form and New York's defensive gaps give Nashville a slight edge. 🎯

Where to watch

Apple TV (BR)

Match facts

Stadium

Geodis Park

City

Nashville

Referee

Sergii Demianchuk

4.19 yellows/match · 27 matches

Kickoff

01 Nov, 21:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Top stats

61%Possession39%

2.81Expected goals (xG)2.91

21Total shots14

7Shots on target4

5Big chances4

12Corners3

Shots

10Shots off target4

4Blocked shots6

19Shots inside box11

2Shots outside box3

4Hit woodwork1

1Big chances scored2

4Big chances missed2

0.93Goals prevented-1.33

Attack

53Touches in box22

67Final third entries44

3Offsides0

13Free kicks4

1Fouled in final third2

Passing

505Passes322

431Accurate passes243

39/66 (59%)Long balls15/49 (31%)

9/27 (33%)Crosses3/10 (30%)

23Throw-ins14

Duels

56Duels44

36/66 (55%)Ground duels30/66 (45%)

15/25 (60%)Aerial duels10/25 (40%)

14/20 (70%)Dribbles4/8 (50%)

16Dispossessed5

Defending

9Tackles22

56Tackles won73

6Interceptions3

21Clearances39

53Recoveries51

Discipline

5Fouls13

0Yellow cards2

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves6

0Big saves2

3Goal kicks8

1Punches1

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Nashville 62%

20%

NY Red Bulls 18%

Who winsNashville to win (DNB) 81% · 1.22 @ 10bet

1X2Nashville to win 62% · 1.95 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 1.44 @ Bet365

BTTSBoth teams to score 61% · 1.50 @ fonbet

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.12 @ Bet365

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 62%

1X2Draw 20% · 2.62 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61%

1X2NY Red Bulls to win 18% · 5.00 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 58% · 1.67 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.46

Nashville SC

4.40

Draw

5.00

New York Red Bulls

Double Chanceconsensus

1.17

Nashville SC or Draw

1.20

Nashville SC or New York Red Bulls

2.50

Draw or New York Red Bulls

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.44

Yes

2.60

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

21.00

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.12

Over 1.50

6.00

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.44

Over 2.50

2.70

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.10

Over 3.50

1.67

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

3.50

Over 4.50

1.29

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.21

Nashville SC

4.03

New York Red Bulls

1X2 (1st Half)consensus

1.95

Nashville SC

2.62

Draw

5.00

New York Red Bulls

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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