Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Match events
6'
K. Yeboah
25'
R. Lod
42'
⚽
D. Bouanga (pen)0–1
42'
N. Romero
42'
⚽
J. Ebobisse
45'
⚽
0–1
45'
⚽
46'
T. Tillman
55'
R. Hollingshead
61'
🔁
J. Gressel ◂ B. Hlongwane
61'
🔁
J. Rosales ◂ N. Romero
67'
🔁
N. Ordaz ◂ J. Dilrosun
76'
🔁
Igor Jesus ◂ T. Tillman
76'
🔁
Y. Yeboah ◂ J. Ebobisse
78'
T. Oluwaseyi
83'
🔁
O. Gene ◂ W. Trapp
90'
⚽
0–1
90'
⚽
90'+3
E. Segura
90'+4
🔁
D. M. Morales ◂ D. Bouanga
Coaches
Marc Dos Santos 
Recent form
WMinnesota United4-1San Jose Earthquakes
WFC Dallas1-2Minnesota United
DNew York Red Bulls2-2Minnesota United
WMinnesota United3-1Houston Dynamo
LMinnesota United2-4San Diego FC
WLos Angeles FC2-0FC Dallas
WLos Angeles FC3-0Colorado Rapids
LLos Angeles FC0-1Vancouver Whitecaps
WLos Angeles FC3-1Sporting Kansas City
DCF Montréal2-2Los Angeles FC
Match facts
Stadium
Allianz Field
City
Saint Paul
Referee
Pierre-Luc Lauziere
Kickoff
17 Jul, 00:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
97
D. St. Clair
7.7
21
B. Hlongwane
6.3
67
C. Harvey
7.1
15
M. Boxall
6.9
5
N. Romero
6.2
13
A. Markanich
6.9
17
R. Lod
7.0
20
W. Trapp
7.2
26
J. Pereyra
7.2
14
T. Oluwaseyi
6.7
9
K. Yeboah
6.3
1
H. Lloris
7.5
14
S. Palencia
7.5
91
N. Tafari
7.1
4
E. Segura
7.3
24
R. Hollingshead
7.3
11
T. Tillman
7.0
8
M. Delgado
7.0
29
A. Smoliakov
7.1
26
J. Dilrosun
7.0
17
J. Ebobisse
7.0
99
D. Bouanga
7.2
Substitutes
8J. Rosales6.424J. Gressel7.230O. Gene6.71A. Smir27D. Taylor23M. Duggan28J. Díaz7J. Sang-bin98D. Randell
Coach: Cameron Knowles
Substitutes
27N. Ordaz6.76Igor Jesus6.820Y. Yeboah7.230D. M. Morales18D. Ochoa45K. Nielsen62J. Santiago23F. Amaya43A. Saldana
Coach: Marc Dos Santos
55%Possession45%
0.45Expected goals (xG)2.03
10Total shots7
3Shots on target6
1Big chances3
10Corners3
12Fouls11
4Yellow cards3