Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
B. Hlongwane
17'
L. Insigne
32'
⚽
45'
🔁D. Taylor ◂ B. Hlongwane
54'
🔁S. Shashoua ◂ W. Trapp
70'
🔁T. Spicer ◂ D. Etienne
72'
🔁C. Sharp ◂ T. Corbeanu
80'
🔁M. Dominguez ◂ L. Insigne
80'
J. Díaz
83'
🔁J. Sang-bin ◂ K. Yeboah
87'
🔁C. Harvey ◂ J. Díaz
87'
🔁A. Markanich ◂ J. Rosales
87'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
Coaches
Robin FraserCameron Knowles 
Recent form
Toronto FCDInter Miami CF1-1Toronto FC
DToronto FC0-0Vancouver Whitecaps
LNew York Red Bulls2-1Toronto FC
LToronto FC1-2Chicago Fire
LFC Cincinnati2-0Toronto FC
Minnesota UnitedWNew York City FC1-2Minnesota United
WMinnesota United2-0Real Salt Lake
DMinnesota United2-2LA Galaxy
DSporting Kansas City3-3Minnesota United
WSan Jose Earthquakes0-1Minnesota United
Match facts
Stadium
BMO Field
City
Toronto
Referee
Malik Badawi
Kickoff
12 Apr, 18:30 UTC
Toronto FC
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2
Minnesota United
1
S. Johnson
7.1
6
K. Thompson
7.8
5
K. Long
7.6
17
S. Rosted
7.4
28
R. Petretta
7.5
20
D. Flores
7.7
21
J. Osorio
7.1
10
F. Bernardeschi
7.5
24
L. Insigne
7.3
7
T. Corbeanu
6.3
11
D. Etienne
6.3
97
D. St. Clair
7.7
21
B. Hlongwane
6.9
28
J. Díaz
6.6
15
M. Boxall
7.2
5
N. Romero
7.9
8
J. Rosales
7.5
17
R. Lod
7.1
20
W. Trapp
7.0
26
J. Pereyra
6.9
14
T. Oluwaseyi
6.7
9
K. Yeboah
6.8
Substitutes
16T. Spicer6.723M. Dominguez6.838C. Sharp6.690L. Gavran76L. Stefanovic19K. Franklin71M. Cimermancic8M. Longstaff14A. Coello
Coach: Robin Fraser
Substitutes
27D. Taylor6.619S. Shashoua6.413A. Markanich7J. Sang-bin67C. Harvey1A. Smir23M. Duggan22J. Ho-Yeon90L. Mesanvi
Coach: Cameron Knowles
48%Possession52%
0.58Expected goals (xG)0.83
9Total shots8
5Shots on target1
1Big chances1
1Corners7
11Fouls16
1Yellow cards2