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Abel Ferreira
Palmeiras
Santos
Palmeiras
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Santos
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
961530 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.0%
-8.0 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.3%
+5.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.7%
+3.6 vs price
Half time
886 EUR
Home
2.12 · implied 47.2%
39.6%
-7.5 vs price
Draw
2.36 · implied 42.4%
35.9%
-6.5 vs price
Away
9.0 · implied 11.1%
24.3%
+13.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
179310 EUR · live
Under
3.15 · implied 31.7%
71.9%
+40.1 vs price
Over
1.46 · implied 68.5%
28.1%
-40.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
882 EUR
Under
1.1 · implied 90.9%
67.0%
-23.9 vs price
Over
9.8 · implied 10.2%
32.9%
+22.7 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 4 clips
Player of the match
Match events
21'
G. Caballero · Foul
34'
⚽
J. López · assist A. Pereira1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
⚽
A. Pereira2–0
46'
🔁
Rony ◂ B. Rollheiser
46'
🔁
G. Bontempo ◂ J. Schmidt
46'
🔁
G. Barbosa ◂ G. Caballero
46'
🔁
A. Barboza ◂ G. Gómez
61'
⚽
J. López · assist A. Giay3–0
66'
🔁
Davizinho ◂ I. Vinícius
69'
🔁
C. Oliva ◂ L. Veríssimo
75'
🔁
Heittor ◂ V. Roque
77'
A. Pereira · Foul
79'
Rony · Foul
82'
🔁
E. Martínez ◂ J. López
83'
🔁
L. Evangelista ◂ M. Freitas
86'
🔁
F. Anderson ◂ J. Arias
Full-time · 3–0
90'+1
A. Barboza · Time wasting
Coaches
Cuca 
Recent form
WHVasco da Gama4-1
WACerro Porteño1-0
LAFluminense2-3
DHCerro Porteño1-1
DHInternacional0-0
DHMirassol1-1
DAMacará0-0
WAVasco da Gama3-0
WHMacará2-1
LHAthletico0-2
Where to watch
DGO
Prime Video
Prime Video
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DGO
DGO
DGO
Prime Video
Premier Sports 2 HD
Prime Video
Match facts
Kickoff
27 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa do Brasil
Highlights & clips
1
C. Miguel
6.8
4
A. Giay
8.0
26
Murilo
7.1
2
A. Barboza
6.6
↑ 46'
22
J. Piquerez
7.2
7
F. Anderson
↑ 86'
8
A. Pereira
7.6
30
L. Evangelista
↑ 83'
18
Mauricio
7.2
32
E. Martínez
6.4
↑ 82'
39
Heittor
6.5
↑ 75'
77
G. Brazão
7.4
27
Davizinho
6.8
↑ 66'
28
C. Oliva
6.9
↑ 69'
14
L. Peres
6.1
31
G. Escobar
6.1
48
Gustavinho
6.3
15
Willian Arão
6.7
8
G. Bontempo
6.6
↑ 46'
22
Á. Barreal
6.1
9
G. Barbosa
6.4
↑ 46'
11
Rony
6.4
↑ 46'
Top stats
45%Possession55%
0.0Expected goals (xG)0.0
20Total shots7
8Shots on target1
7Big chances2
8Corners5
Shots
9Shots off target4
3Blocked shots2
13Shots inside box4
7Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
6Big chances missed2
Attack
42Final third entries64
1Offsides2
16Free kicks10
1Fouled in final third3
Passing
434Passes532
351Accurate passes447
20/55 (36%)Long balls20/44 (45%)
8/25 (32%)Crosses1/19 (5%)
26Throw-ins18
Duels
54Duels46
39/72 (54%)Ground duels33/72 (46%)
13/24 (54%)Aerial duels11/24 (46%)
9/15 (60%)Dribbles8/15 (53%)
9Dispossessed10
Defending
17Tackles15
53Tackles won73
10Interceptions21
17Clearances21
52Recoveries48
Discipline
10Fouls16
2Yellow cards2
Goalkeeping
1Saves5
7Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 49 bookmakers
Who winsPalmeiras to win (DNB) 80% · 1.26 @ forbet
1X2Palmeiras to win 60% · 2.05 @ William Hill
BTTSBTTS: No 55% · 1.25 @ 10bet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.42 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 53% · 1.17 @ 10bet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.40 @ boylesports
1X2Draw 24% · 2.85 @ kto
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Santos to win 16% · 6.20 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.48
Palmeiras ▲
3.95
Draw ▼
6.36
Santos ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.10
Palmeiras or Draw ▲
1.21
Palmeiras or Santos
2.42
Draw or Santos ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.88
Yes ▲
1.82
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.05
YES
1.70
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.75
YES
1.15
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.50
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
8.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
9.50
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▲
3.71
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.76
Over 2.50 ▼
1.97
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.86
Over 3.50 ▼
1.37
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.12
Over 4.50
1.08
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.16
Palmeiras ▲
4.61
Santos ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.21
Over 7.50
3.48
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50
2.62
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.68
Over 9.50
2.06
Under 9.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Palmeiras to win or draw
✓
84% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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