Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
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Dorival Júnior
São Paulo
Boca Juniors**Boca's looking scary, and São Paulo just lost to them** — this Copa Sudamericana rematch has all the drama of a team trying to forget a recent 1-0 defeat at home. 🔥
São Paulo are limping (2W-3L in their last five), while Boca are rolling smooth (3W-2D, unbeaten). The Argentines won the first clash convincingly, and now they get to pile on at the Morumbi with momentum fully on their side.
Key storylines:
- **J. Calleri** and **A. Silva** need to find space in Boca's compact 4-3-3; São Paulo's attack has misfired lately
- **M. Merentiel** and **S. Villa** are Boca's creative spark — they've been clinical in front of goal
- **S. Ascacíbar** anchoring midfield could control the tempo if São Paulo can't press effectively
Expected lineups:
- **São Paulo**: Rafael, R. Arboleda, D. Duarte, Sabino, L. Ramon, M. Antônio, P. Maia, D. Bobadilla, J. Calleri, G. Santana, A. Silva
- **Boca Juniors**: Á. Montero, L. Blanco, L. D. Lollo, D. Gorosito, L. Lozano, S. Ascacíbar, T. Belmonte, K. Zenón, L. Flores, M. Merentiel, S. Villa
Prediction:
**Boca Juniors 2–0 São Paulo**
Boca edge this one — form, head-to-head confidence, and the Morumbi crowd's desperation all favor the visitors. 💯
São Paulo
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3
Boca Juniors
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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