Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
K. Opoku
34'
⚽E. Latte Lath
assist S. Lobzhanidze
assist S. Lobzhanidze
41'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁T. Pearce ◂ K. Opoku
46'
🔁B. Duke ◂ F. Herbers
46'
⚽N. Saliba
assist P. Owusu
assist P. Owusu
47'
⚽E. Latte Lath
63'
E. Latte Lath
70'
⚽P. Owusu
assist G. Campbell
assist G. Campbell
71'
🔁I. Sunusi ◂ P. Owusu
80'
M. Klich
80'
N. Saliba
80'
🔁A. Fortune ◂ M. Klich
82'
🔁E. Mosquera ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
83'
🔁D. Williams ◂ S. Gregersen
83'
🔁F. Álvarez ◂ L. Petrasso
84'
⚽E. Mosquera
assist M. Almirón
assist M. Almirón
85'
🔁V. Loturi ◂ S. Piette
86'
⚽
90'
🔁N. Cobb ◂ E. Latte Lath
90'
⚽
90'
E. Mosquera
90'+1
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ M. Almirón
90'+9
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoPhilippe Eullaffroy 
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Pierre-Luc Lauziere
Kickoff
23 Feb, 00:30 UTC
Atlanta United
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3
CF Montréal
1
B. Guzan
7.4
47
M. Edwards
6.7
5
S. Gregersen
6.7
44
L. Abram
6.2
2
R. Hernández
6.8
99
B. Slisz
7.4
43
M. Klich
6.5
10
M. Almirón
7.6
59
A. Miranchuk
7.0
9
S. Lobzhanidze
7.3
19
E. Latte Lath
8.4
40
J. Sirois
7.1
24
G. Campbell
7.7
16
J. Waterman
6.2
13
L. Petrasso
6.5
11
J. Marshall-Rutty
6.6
19
N. Saliba
7.3
6
S. Piette
6.3
23
C. Clark
6.9
7
K. Opoku
6.5
9
P. Owusu
8.8
21
F. Herbers
6.8
Substitutes
35A. Fortune6.53D. Williams6.570E. Mosquera7.024N. Cobb6.514J. Thiaré22J. Cohen50D. C. Qui8T. Muyumba45X. Silva
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Substitutes
3T. Pearce6.810B. Duke7.114I. Sunusi6.44F. Álvarez6.222V. Loturi6.61S. Breza25D. Sealy8D. Yankov15O. Jabang
Coach: Philippe Eullaffroy
49%Possession51%
1.44Expected goals (xG)2.68
14Total shots13
8Shots on target6
4Big chances5
7Corners5
12Fouls15
3Yellow cards2