Goal! Coventry City 0-1 Aston Villa. T. Abraham (Aston Villa) scores, assisted by G. Hemmings.
3'
Aston Villa
Corner, Aston Villa.
1'
Kick-off: Coventry City vs Aston Villa.
Where the money is
1128439 EUR matched · captured 1 month ago
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it
should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds897643 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
87.6%
-11.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
9.0%
+8.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.4%
+3.3 vs price
Half time1402 EUR · live
Away
1.23 · implied 81.3%
61.3%
-20.0 vs price
Draw
5.7 · implied 17.5%
21.7%
+4.1 vs price
Home
24.0 · implied 4.2%
17.0%
+12.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals20559 EUR · live
Over
1.14 · implied 87.7%
72.1%
-15.6 vs price
Under
8.0 · implied 12.5%
27.9%
+15.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals1995 EUR · live
Over
5.9 · implied 16.9%
63.0%
+46.1 vs price
Under
1.19 · implied 84.0%
37.0%
-47.1 vs price
18 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
**Villa look the goods here, but Coventry know how to make life awkward at home.** 🔵
Coventry's form is rough (1W in 5) and they've shipped 6 goals in two games, but they're dangerous on their patch. Villa won three of their last four H2Hs, yet they're coming off draws and losses themselves — this isn't a vintage performance spell for either side.
Key storylines:
- **Aston Villa** have the edge in the head-to-head record (11 wins to 3) and should control possession, but injuries to key players leave some gaps - **T. Awoniyi and E. Simms** need to be clinical up top for Coventry; defensive mistakes have been punished ruthlessly this season - **J. McGinn and E. Buendía** orchestrating Villa's attack will be crucial against a leaky Sky Blues rearguard
Expected lineups:
- **Coventry City**: C. Rushworth, J. Bidwell, B. Thomas, J. Latibeaudiere, M. v. Ewijk, M. Grimes, J. Rudoni, T. Awoniyi, E. Simms - **Aston Villa**: Z. Suzuki, V. Lindelöf, I. Maatsen, J. Gomes, M. Cash, B. Kamara, E. Buendía, J. McGinn, T. Abraham, I. Mbaye
Prediction:
**Aston Villa 2–0 Coventry City.** Villa's class should show; Coventry's missing bodies in midfield make this a lean Villa advance. ⚫🟡
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed
quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the
published calls at 86.6%.
Highlight
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