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Leonardo Jardim
Flamengo
São Paulo
Flamengo
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
São Paulo
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
Half-time · 0–0
57'
⚽
L. Pereira · assist Jorginho1–0
58'
🔁
G. de Arrascaeta ◂ Lorran
63'
A. Sandro · Foul
66'
🔁
Victor Sá ◂ Danielzinho
66'
🔁
Ferreira ◂ Artur
69'
Wendell · Foul
70'
⚽
J. Calleri · assist L. Osorio1–1
79'
🔁
Everton ◂ B. Henrique
87'
🔁
E. Araujo ◂ E. Pulgar
87'
🔁
Wallace ◂ Pedro
88'
J. Calleri · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
90'
🔁
A. Silva ◂ Luciano
90'+5
🔁
Sabino ◂ Wendell
90'+11
L. Ramon · Foul
Coaches
Leonardo JardimDorival Júnior 
Recent form
FlamengoWAChapecoense4-0
WHOlimpia4-2
WABenfica2-1
WAFC Lausanne-Sport2-0
DARiver Plate2-2
São PauloLHAthletico1-2
LARemo0-1
WHBoston River2-0
DHBotafogo1-1
DHMillonarios1-1
Where to watch
GloboplayPremiere
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio do Maracanã
City
Rio de Janeiro
Referee
Anderson Daronco
Kickoff
26 Jul, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Flamengo
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
São Paulo
1
A. Rossi
6.5
22
E. Royal
7.1
44
Vitão
6.8
4
L. Pereira
7.1
26
A. Sandro
6.5
52
E. Araujo
6.7
↑ 87'
21
Jorginho
7.0
10
G. de Arrascaeta
6.6
↑ 58'
16
S. Lino
7.4
11
Everton
6.8
↑ 79'
64
Wallace
6.5
↑ 87'
23
Rafael
7.6
19
L. Ramon
6.6
5
R. Arboleda
6.5
54
L. Osorio
7.0
35
Sabino
6.8
↑ 90'
27
Victor Sá
6.4
↑ 66'
29
P. Maia
6.8
11
Ferreira
6.1
↑ 66'
8
M. Antônio
6.6
9
J. Calleri
6.9
17
A. Silva
6.4
↑ 90'
Substitutes
42GAndrew
2DG. Varela
61DJ. Victor
77DJ. Góes
13DDanilo
6DA. Lucas
5ME. Pulgar↓ 87'7.1
99MLorran↓ 58'6.4
8MS. Ñíguez
79MC. Joshua
27FB. Henrique↓ 79'7.0
9FPedro↓ 87'6.6
Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Substitutes
31GC. Coronel
18DWendell↓ 90'6.6
56DNicolas
53DIsac
20DA. Buta
94MDanielzinho↓ 66'6.7
37MArtur↓ 66'6.6
34MTetê
48MD. Ferreira
80MCauly
10FLuciano↓ 90'6.6
43FG. Santana
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Top stats
54%Possession46%
2.01Expected goals (xG)0.57
18Total shots4
6Shots on target1
3Big chances1
5Corners2
Shots
12Shots off target2
1Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box3
2Shots outside box1
2Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
-0.52Goals prevented0.78
Attack
27Touches in box12
55Final third entries57
2Offsides2
18Free kicks15
3Fouled in final third1
Passing
504Passes439
429Accurate passes354
14/35 (40%)Long balls18/46 (39%)
9/21 (43%)Crosses2/11 (18%)
30Throw-ins27
Duels
54Duels46
34/68 (50%)Ground duels34/68 (50%)
21/34 (62%)Aerial duels12/32 (38%)
1/7 (14%)Dribbles1/8 (13%)
13Dispossessed10
Defending
17Tackles19
76Tackles won74
7Interceptions12
22Clearances19
40Recoveries42
Discipline
15Fouls18
1Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
0Saves5
5Goal kicks8
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
1X2Flamengo to win 65% · 1.53 @ merkurxtip
Who winsFlamengo to win (DNB) 81% · 1.17 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.36 @ Betsson
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.96 @ betfair
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.98 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.30 @ betfair
1X2Draw 22% · 4.80 @ odibets
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 69% · 1.41 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.85 @ Interwetten
1X2São Paulo to win 14% · 8.20 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.42
Flamengo ▼
4.32
Draw ▲
7.09
São Paulo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
Flamengo or Draw ▼
1.18
Flamengo or São Paulo ▼
2.61
Draw or São Paulo ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.95
Yes ▲
1.73
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50 ▼
10.52
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50 ▼
3.68
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.77
Over 2.50 ▼
1.95
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.96
Over 3.50 ▼
1.34
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.90
Over 4.50 ▲
1.13
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.13
Flamengo ▼
5.03
São Paulo ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
21.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
12.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.10
Over 6.50 ▲
7.00
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.19
Over 7.50 ▲
4.15
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.35
Over 8.50 ▼
2.88
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.61
Over 9.50 ▼
2.15
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.00
Over 10.50 ▲
1.72
Under 10.50 ▼
1.9 – 0.8Expected goals
1-0Most likely score
~11Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Flamengo to win @ 1.46
we give it 65 chances out of 100 — and the odds pay better than that
65%
value bet
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETFlamengo to win1X2 | 65% | 65% | 1.46 | Fair | medium |
| Flamengo to win (DNB)Who wins | 81% | 81% | 1.15 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 57% | 1.61 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 68% | 68% | 1.35 | Overpriced | medium |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 52% | 52% | 1.78 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 75% | 75% | 1.24 | Overpriced | high |
| Draw1X2 | 22% | 22% | 4.31 | Fair | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 69% | 68% | 1.36 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 53% | 53% | 1.73 | Overpriced | low |
| São Paulo to win1X2 | 14% | 14% | 6.98 | Fair | low |
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 69% | +6% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 43% | +9% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 20% | +11% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 48% | 0% | No |
| Home win | 65% | 48% | +17% | Yes |
| Draw | 22% | 27% | -5% | No |
| Away win | 14% | 25% | -11% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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