← All matches
Cuca
Santos
Chapecoense
Santos
4-1-4-1 · 4-5-1
Chapecoense
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 6 clips
Player of the match
Match events
36'
⚽
Neymar · assist Á. Barreal1–0
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
Marcinho ◂ K. Ramírez
46'
🔁
G. Augusto ◂ Ênio
46'
🔁
B. Matias ◂ D. Antunes
51'
⚽
Marcinho · assist G. Augusto1–1
54'
Camilo · Foul
62'
⚽
J. P. Ananias1–2
63'
🔁
C. Oliva ◂ Willian Arão
63'
🔁
G. Caballero ◂ B. Rollheiser
63'
🔁
G. Menino ◂ I. Vinícius
68'
L. Veríssimo · Argument
73'
Matheus · Time wasting
75'
B. Tubarão · Foul
76'
Neymar · Argument
77'
Á. Barreal · Foul
80'
🔁
Rony ◂ G. Barbosa
80'
🔁
Thaciano ◂ Á. Barreal
80'
🔁
B. Pacheco ◂ Fernando
83'
🔁
V. Balieiro ◂ Camilo
88'
B. Matias · Foul
89'
⚽
Neymar (pen)2–2
Full-time · 2–2
Coaches
CucaRafael Lacerda 
Recent form
SantosWAUniversidad Central4-1
LABotafogo1-2
WHUnião São João3-0
WHVitória3-1
WHDeportivo Cuenca3-0
ChapecoenseLHFlamengo0-4
LABahia0-2
WAGrêmio2-1
LAPalmeiras0-1
LACruzeiro1-2
Where to watch
PremiereSportv
Sportdigital FUSSBALL2Sportdigital+
Betclic
1xBet
1xBet
1xBet
1xBet
1xBet
Betclic
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
City
Santos
Referee
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho
Kickoff
25 Jul, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Santos
4-1-4-1 · 4-5-1
Chapecoense
77
G. Brazão
6.3
17
G. Caballero
7.2
↑ 63'
4
L. Veríssimo
6.5
26
J. P. Ananias
6.2
31
G. Escobar
6.5
28
C. Oliva
6.9
↑ 63'
8
G. Bontempo
7.2
25
G. Menino
7.3
↑ 63'
10
Neymar
9.5
16
Thaciano
6.6
↑ 80'
11
Rony
6.3
↑ 80'
30
Matheus
6.7
20
B. Tubarão
6.1
33
B. Leonardo
7.1
3
E. Doma
6.4
91
B. Pacheco
6.3
↑ 80'
16
B. Matias
6.0
↑ 46'
10
G. Augusto
6.9
↑ 46'
17
V. Balieiro
6.5
↑ 83'
22
Max
6.8
7
Marcinho
7.3
↑ 46'
11
Y. Bolasie
6.7
Substitutes
34GJ. Paulo
18DI. Vinícius↓ 63'6.2
98DA. Frías
14DL. Peres
15MWillian Arão↓ 63'7.3
22MÁ. Barreal↓ 80'7.2
32MB. Rollheiser↓ 63'6.5
30MMiguelito
81MS. Mendes
5MJ. Schmidt
9FG. Barbosa↓ 80'6.0
7FRobinho Jr
Coach: Cuca
Substitutes
1GR. Santos
12DFernando↓ 80'6.7
15DR. Thyere
21DKauan
27MCamilo↓ 83'6.8
19MD. Antunes↓ 46'6.6
97MÊnio↓ 46'6.2
94MK. Ramírez↓ 46'6.2
26MEverton
18FN. Pessoa
50FKássio
Coach: Rafael Lacerda
Top stats
64%Possession36%
1.74Expected goals (xG)0.86
21Total shots5
7Shots on target3
1Big chances2
12Corners1
Shots
7Shots off target1
7Blocked shots1
11Shots inside box2
10Shots outside box3
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
0Big chances missed1
-0.96Goals prevented0.13
Attack
53Touches in box5
91Final third entries37
1Offsides1
12Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
594Passes335
531Accurate passes269
20/30 (67%)Long balls13/45 (29%)
9/36 (25%)Crosses0/8 (0%)
19Throw-ins11
Duels
55Duels43
34/66 (52%)Ground duels29/64 (45%)
13/20 (65%)Aerial duels7/20 (35%)
6/16 (38%)Dribbles3/14 (21%)
8Dispossessed5
Defending
15Tackles15
67Tackles won53
7Interceptions16
21Clearances42
45Recoveries42
Discipline
11Fouls13
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves5
0Big saves2
2Goal kicks15
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
1X2Santos to win 71% · 1.40 @ Betano
Who winsSantos to win (DNB) 86% · 1.13 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.53 @ Betway
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 58% · 1.68 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 79% · 1.21 @ 1xBet
BTTSBTTS: No 52% · 1.91 @ Bet365
1X2Draw 19% · 5.25 @ Bwin
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 64% · 1.50 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.75 @ Interwetten
1X2Chapecoense to win 11% · 9.46 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.33
Santos ▼
4.58
Draw ▼
7.75
Chapecoense ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.08
Santos or Draw ▲
1.16
Santos or Chapecoense ▼
3.08
Draw or Chapecoense ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes ▼
1.82
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50 ▼
12.61
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.21
Over 1.50 ▲
4.45
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.64
Over 2.50 ▲
2.25
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.60
Over 3.50 ▲
1.50
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.55
Over 4.50 ▲
1.20
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.11
Santos ▲
5.89
Chapecoense ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
21.00
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.02
Over 5.50 ▼
12.00
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50 ▼
7.50
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.20
Over 7.50 ▲
4.00
Under 7.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.37
Over 8.50 ▲
2.82
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.63
Over 9.50 ▲
2.13
Under 9.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.03
Over 10.50 ▲
1.69
Under 10.50 ▼
2.2 – 0.8Expected goals
2-0Most likely score
~10Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Santos to win @ 1.33
we give it 71 chances out of 100 — and the odds pay better than that
71%
value bet
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETSantos to win1X2 | 71% | 71% | 1.33 | Fair | high |
| Santos to win (DNB)Who wins | 86% | 86% | 1.1 | Fair | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 57% | 58% | 1.6 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 67% | 68% | 1.36 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 58% | 58% | 1.62 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 79% | 79% | 1.18 | Overpriced | high |
| BTTS: NoBTTS | 52% | 52% | 1.79 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 19% | 19% | 5.06 | Fair | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 64% | 63% | 1.48 | Fair | medium |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 54% | 53% | 1.73 | Fair | low |
| Chapecoense to win1X2 | 11% | 11% | 8.95 | Fair | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 10.5 corners — we say 60%, they say 53%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 69% | +10% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 43% | +15% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 20% | +16% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 48% | 0% | No |
| Home win | 71% | 48% | +23% | Yes |
| Draw | 19% | 27% | -8% | No |
| Away win | 11% | 25% | -14% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.