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Dorival Júnior
São Paulo
Coritiba
São Paulo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Coritiba
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
442704 EUR · live
Home
80.0 · implied 1.2%
72.6%
+71.3 vs price
Draw
1.02 · implied 98.0%
15.4%
-82.7 vs price
Away
150.0 · implied 0.7%
12.1%
+11.4 vs price
Half time
11706 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.5%
-23.6 vs price
Draw
100.0 · implied 1.0%
13.6%
+12.6 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
11.0%
+10.9 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
201987 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
83.7%
-14.4 vs price
Over
34.0 · implied 2.9%
16.3%
+13.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
4323 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.3%
-16.7 vs price
Over
230.0 · implied 0.4%
17.7%
+17.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
5'
T. Cóser · Foul
20'
🔁
J.P. Chermont ◂ Tinga
41'
P. Maia · Foul
43'
⚽
P. Maia · assist Victor Sá1–0
Half-time · 1–0
57'
⚽
T. Cóser · assist B. Lopes1–1
63'
🔁
Ferreira ◂ Newton
63'
🔁
Artur ◂ Victor Sá
66'
🔁
V. G. Tissi ◂ T. Santos
68'
L. Ramon · Foul
74'
🔁
Keno ◂ F. Sobral
74'
🔁
P. Roberto ◂ P. Rocha
74'
🔁
V. Paulista ◂ S. Gomez
78'
🔁
I. Borduchi ◂ Wendell
78'
🔁
R. Francisco ◂ Luciano
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
Dorival JúniorFernando Seabra 
Recent form
São PauloDABolívar1-1
LAGrêmio1-2
DAFlamengo1-1
LHAthletico1-2
LARemo0-1
CoritibaWHChapecoense2-1
LHCruzeiro0-1
DARed Bull Bragantino0-0
LHPalmeiras1-3
LAFlamengo0-3
Where to watch
PremiereSportvSportv 4K
Match facts
Stadium
MorumBIS
City
Sao Paulo
Referee
Kickoff
16 Aug, 00:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
São Paulo
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Coritiba
23
Rafael
6.1
19
L. Ramon
6.5
5
R. Arboleda
7.3
22
D. Duarte
6.7
12
I. Borduchi
6.9
↑ 78'
37
Artur
6.4
↑ 63'
29
P. Maia
7.5
8
M. Antônio
7.4
49
R. Francisco
6.3
↑ 78'
11
Ferreira
7.4
↑ 63'
9
J. Calleri
6.2
1
Pedro Morisco
7.7
44
J.P. Chermont
6.7
↑ 20'
23
T. Cóser
7.9
55
J. Maranhão
6.9
26
Bruno Melo
7.2
50
V. G. Tissi
6.7
↑ 66'
36
V. Paulista
6.7
↑ 74'
7
J. Lavega
6.4
18
P. Roberto
6.6
↑ 74'
77
B. Lopes
6.9
20
Keno
6.7
↑ 74'
Substitutes
31GC. Coronel
18DWendell↓ 78'6.7
35DSabino
20DA. Buta
54DL. Osorio
27MVictor Sá↓ 63'7.4
28MNewton↓ 63'6.6
94MDanielzinho
80MCauly
48MD. Ferreira
10FLuciano↓ 78'6.4
43FG. Santana
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Substitutes
13GKeiller
2DTinga↓ 20'6.6
3DMaicon
6DF. Jonatan
4DR. Moledo
21MT. Santos↓ 66'7.2
88MF. Sobral↓ 74'6.5
19MS. Gomez↓ 74'6.3
33MD. Alves
32FP. Rocha↓ 74'6.4
78FRenato Marques
28FFabinho
Coach: Fernando Seabra
Top stats
66%Possession34%
1.12Expected goals (xG)0.41
19Total shots8
6Shots on target1
1Big chances1
6Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target6
7Blocked shots1
11Shots inside box5
8Shots outside box3
1Hit woodwork0
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
-0.61Goals prevented0.49
Attack
34Touches in box10
73Final third entries34
0Offsides2
10Free kicks15
4Fouled in final third2
Passing
601Passes312
522Accurate passes234
15/35 (43%)Long balls18/50 (36%)
7/33 (21%)Crosses3/12 (25%)
35Throw-ins25
Duels
46Duels54
27/64 (42%)Ground duels37/64 (58%)
19/36 (53%)Aerial duels17/36 (47%)
7/16 (44%)Dribbles3/4 (75%)
11Dispossessed10
Defending
11Tackles20
73Tackles won70
9Interceptions9
21Clearances44
47Recoveries42
Discipline
15Fouls10
2Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves5
6Goal kicks8
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
Who winsSão Paulo to win (DNB) 74% · 1.37 @ merkurxtip
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.73 @ Betway
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67% · 1.45 @ Betway
1X2São Paulo to win 55% · 2.23 @ merkurxtip
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 52% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.85 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 74% · 1.04 @ Novibet
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ efbet.net
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 72% · 1.43 @ betfair
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55% · 1.70 @ 10bet
1X2Coritiba to win 19% · 5.00 @ 10bet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.68
São Paulo
3.34
Draw
5.16
Coritiba
Double Chanceconsensus
1.14
São Paulo or Draw
1.29
São Paulo or Coritiba
2.09
Draw or Coritiba
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
2.02
Yes
1.70
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.07
Over 0.50
7.59
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.36
Over 1.50
2.95
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.12
Over 2.50
1.64
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.88
Over 3.50
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.20
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.24
São Paulo ▼
3.62
Coritiba
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
21.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.03
Over 5.50
11.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
6.48
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.22
Over 7.50
3.85
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.39
Over 8.50 ▲
2.71
Under 8.50 ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.69
Over 9.50
2.03
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.10
Over 10.50 ▲
1.64
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
São Paulo to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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