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Rafael Lacerda
Chapecoense
São Paulo
Chapecoense
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
São Paulo
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
624174 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
69.3%
-27.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
28.0%
+27.9 vs price
Draw
36.0 · implied 2.8%
3.0%
+0.2 vs price
Half time
17599 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
82.3%
-16.7 vs price
Draw
19.5 · implied 5.1%
10.1%
+5.0 vs price
Away
970.0 · implied 0.1%
7.6%
+7.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
98536 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
75.1%
-23.9 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
24.9%
+24.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
17651 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
96.3%
-2.7 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
3.7%
+1.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
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Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
26'
⚽
B. Pacheco · assist G. Augusto1–0
31'
🔁
G. Santana ◂ J. Calleri
Half-time · 1–0
46'
🔁
M. Antônio ◂ Danielzinho
58'
🔁
Maurício Garcez ◂ D. Borrero
62'
Marcinho · Foul
65'
🔁
Newton ◂ L. Ramon
65'
🔁
Everton ◂ Heitor
66'
🔁
Ferreira ◂ P. Maia
72'
Luciano · Argument
74'
🔁
Fernando ◂ Y. Felipe
74'
🔁
B. Matias ◂ G. Augusto
74'
🔁
F. Rossi ◂ T. E. S. d. Oliveira
74'
Y. Felipe · Foul
76'
🔁
P. Ferreira ◂ Cauly
88'
Camilo · Time wasting
Full-time · 1–0
Coaches
Rafael LacerdaDorival Júnior 
Recent form
ChapecoenseDHBahia3-3
LACoritiba1-2
LACruzeiro0-2
DHCruzeiro0-0
DASantos2-2
São PauloWHBolívar3-1
DHCoritiba1-1
DABolívar1-1
LAGrêmio1-2
DAFlamengo1-1
Where to watch
GloboplayPremiereRecordYouTube - CazéTV
Match facts
Stadium
Arena Condá
City
Chapecó
Kickoff
23 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Chapecoense
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
São Paulo
98
Anderson
8.3
26
Everton
6.9
↑ 65'
21
Kauan
7.5
3
E. Doma
7.2
91
B. Pacheco
8.0
31
Maurício Garcez
7.5
↑ 58'
27
Camilo
6.7
12
Fernando
6.7
↑ 74'
7
Marcinho
6.3
16
B. Matias
6.8
↑ 74'
29
F. Rossi
6.5
↑ 74'
23
Rafael
7.4
28
Newton
6.7
↑ 65'
22
D. Duarte
7.9
35
Sabino
7.2
12
I. Borduchi
6.6
8
M. Antônio
7.2
↑ 46'
11
Ferreira
6.8
↑ 66'
37
Artur
6.7
10
Luciano
6.4
46
P. Ferreira
6.6
↑ 76'
43
G. Santana
6.4
↑ 31'
Substitutes
30GMatheus
5DHeitor↓ 65'6.7
15DR. Thyere
77MD. Borrero↓ 58'6.7
88MY. Felipe↓ 74'6.5
97MÊnio
80MM. Carvalho
70MR. Tadeu
19MD. Antunes
10FG. Augusto↓ 74'7.3
9FT. E. S. d. Oliveira↓ 74'6.5
18FN. Pessoa
Coach: Rafael Lacerda
Substitutes
31GC. Coronel
19DL. Ramon↓ 65'6.6
20DA. Buta
18DWendell
54DL. Osorio
29MP. Maia↓ 66'6.8
80MCauly↓ 76'6.7
94MDanielzinho↓ 46'6.4
34MTetê
48MD. Ferreira
9FJ. Calleri↓ 31'6.7
17FA. Silva
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Top stats
23%Possession77%
0.64Expected goals (xG)1.81
13Total shots22
4Shots on target5
1Big chances3
7Corners3
Shots
2Shots off target10
7Blocked shots7
9Shots inside box13
4Shots outside box9
0Hit woodwork1
1Big chances scored0
0Big chances missed3
1.16Goals prevented0.57
Attack
17Touches in box45
29Final third entries91
0Offsides2
7Free kicks17
0Fouled in final third3
Passing
236Passes791
167Accurate passes708
24/62 (39%)Long balls23/38 (61%)
4/14 (29%)Crosses9/37 (24%)
16Throw-ins34
Duels
43Duels57
26/59 (44%)Ground duels33/59 (56%)
13/32 (41%)Aerial duels19/32 (59%)
5/8 (63%)Dribbles9/14 (64%)
5Dispossessed9
Defending
14Tackles8
86Tackles won50
12Interceptions5
42Clearances18
45Recoveries44
Discipline
17Fouls7
4Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
5Saves3
1Big saves1
13Goal kicks6
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 69 bookmakers
Who winsSão Paulo to win (DNB) 63% · 1.54 @ forbet
1X2São Paulo to win 46% · 2.52 @ efbet.net
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 67%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.82 @ Unibet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.55 @ hardrock
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ hardrock
BTTSBoth teams to score 51% · 3.75 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.36 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 55%
1X2Chapecoense to win 26% · 3.75 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
3.56
Chapecoense ▼
3.29
Draw ▲
2.04
São Paulo ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.71
Chapecoense or Draw ▼
1.30
Chapecoense or São Paulo
1.27
Draw or São Paulo ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.82
Yes ▼
1.88
No ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50 ▲
3.10
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.04
Over 2.50 ▲
1.73
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.58
Over 3.50 ▲
1.26
Under 3.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
2.50
Chapecoense ▲
1.46
São Paulo ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.38
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
2.85
Over 12.50
1.34
Under 12.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
3.75
Over 13.50
1.20
Under 13.50
European Handicap 3.00consensus
1.05
Chapecoense +3
10.80
Draw +3 ▼
20.40
São Paulo -3 ▼
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.90
Over ▼
1.81
E
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
4.04
Chapecoense ▲
2.09
Draw ▲
2.63
São Paulo ▼
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
3.55
Chapecoense
2.41
Draw
2.43
São Paulo
Double Chance (1st Half)consensus
1.39
Chapecoense or Draw ▲
1.61
Chapecoense or São Paulo
1.19
Draw or São Paulo ▼
Both Teams to Score (1st Half)consensus
5.00
Yes
1.16
No
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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