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Cuca
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Mirassol
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
333258 EUR · live
Home
23.0 · implied 4.3%
52.6%
+48.3 vs price
Away
140.0 · implied 0.7%
31.2%
+30.5 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
19.5%
-76.7 vs price
Half time
11599 EUR · live
Away
1.01 · implied 99.0%
77.6%
-21.4 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
12.5%
+12.4 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
9.9%
+6.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
118731 EUR · live
Under
1.05 · implied 95.2%
76.6%
-18.7 vs price
Over
21.0 · implied 4.8%
25.1%
+20.3 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8579 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.6%
-6.5 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
7.4%
+5.6 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
20'
J. Schmidt · Foul
22'
Gabriel · Foul
24'
N. Moura · Foul
28'
🔁
L. Oliveira ◂ Gabriel
36'
⚽
Eduardo0–1
Half-time · 0–1
46'
🔁
G. Bontempo ◂ Rony
61'
🔁
Japa ◂ Eduardo
61'
🔁
Wallisson Luiz ◂ G. Cazonatti
61'
🔁
B. Rollheiser ◂ J. Schmidt
68'
⚽
Á. Barreal · assist Neymar1–1
70'
VAR
Card check · Wallisson Luiz
73'
Wallisson Luiz · Professional foul last man
74'
🔁
Thaciano ◂ Á. Barreal
76'
Igor Formiga · Foul
78'
🔁
Fernandinho ◂ Alesson
78'
🔁
C. Eduardo ◂ B. Santos
82'
🔁
G. Caballero ◂ G. Barbosa
82'
🔁
Davizinho ◂ I. Vinícius
88'
Neymar · Foul
Full-time · 1–1
Coaches
CucaRafael Guanaes 
Recent form
SantosDAMacará0-0
WAVasco da Gama3-0
WHMacará2-1
LHAthletico0-2
WARemo1-0
MirassolDALDU0-0
LHFlamengo1-5
DHLDU1-1
LACruzeiro1-3
LAGrêmio0-1
Where to watch
Premiere
Sportdigital FUSSBALL2Sportdigital+
Match facts
Stadium
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
City
Santos
Kickoff
23 Aug, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Santos
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2
Mirassol
77
G. Brazão
6.4
17
G. Caballero
6.2
↑ 82'
15
Willian Arão
7.3
14
L. Peres
7.0
31
G. Escobar
6.8
48
Gustavinho
6.8
32
B. Rollheiser
6.9
↑ 61'
8
G. Bontempo
7.2
↑ 46'
10
Neymar
7.2
16
Thaciano
6.7
↑ 74'
27
Davizinho
6.6
↑ 82'
22
Walter
7.2
2
L. Oliveira
6.6
↑ 28'
34
J. Victor
7.0
3
W. Machado
6.8
32
Igor Formiga
6.5
5
Japa
6.5
↑ 61'
25
N. Moura
7.0
6
Reinaldo
6.3
80
Wallisson Luiz
3.9
↑ 61'
17
Fernandinho
7.0
↑ 78'
96
C. Eduardo
6.7
↑ 78'
Substitutes
34GJ. Paulo
18DI. Vinícius↓ 82'6.7
26DJ. P. Ananias
42DJ. Alencar
22MÁ. Barreal↓ 74'7.4
5MJ. Schmidt↓ 61'6.2
28MC. Oliva
81MS. Mendes
30MMiguelito
9FG. Barbosa↓ 82'6.6
11FRony↓ 46'6.5
21FMoisés
Coach: Cuca
Substitutes
23GA. Muralha
44DGabriel↓ 28'6.6
12DV. Luis
20DD. Borges
33MEduardo↓ 61'7.4
55MG. Cazonatti↓ 61'6.8
7MShaylon
19MG. Silva
10MChico
77FAlesson↓ 78'6.8
30FB. Santos↓ 78'6.5
9FA. Luis
Coach: Rafael Guanaes
Top stats
64%Possession36%
1.46Expected goals (xG)0.27
21Total shots5
7Shots on target3
1Big chances0
10Corners2
Shots
7Shots off target2
7Blocked shots0
10Shots inside box3
11Shots outside box2
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances missed0
-0.78Goals prevented0.65
Attack
28Touches in box8
66Final third entries46
13Free kicks9
7Fouled in final third0
Passing
577Passes333
501Accurate passes247
17/34 (50%)Long balls19/58 (33%)
3/28 (11%)Crosses3/5 (60%)
21Throw-ins24
Duels
48Duels52
49/94 (52%)Ground duels45/94 (48%)
6/21 (29%)Aerial duels15/21 (71%)
9/16 (56%)Dribbles19/35 (54%)
10Dispossessed11
Defending
27Tackles17
85Tackles won71
23Interceptions17
3Clearances35
56Recoveries54
Discipline
9Fouls13
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
3Goal kicks10
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 70 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.62 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.33 @ 1xBet
1X2Santos to win 50% · 2.50 @ fanatics
Who winsSantos to win (DNB) 63% · 1.53 @ BetMGM.uk
1X2Draw 27% · 2.55 @ Unibet
BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.26 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 50% · 4.60 @ 888Sport
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.36 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 74% · 2.10 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.90 @ Unibet
1X2Mirassol to win 24% · 4.05 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.87
Santos ▲
3.49
Draw ▲
3.96
Mirassol ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.23
Santos or Draw ▲
1.28
Santos or Mirassol ▼
1.85
Draw or Mirassol ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.74
Yes ▼
1.98
No ▲
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
4.33
YES
1.18
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.27
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.04
Over 0.50
10.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.26
Over 1.50 ▼
3.52
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.85
Over 2.50 ▼
1.89
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.10
Over 3.50 ▼
1.33
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.94
Over 4.50
1.11
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.46
Santos
2.52
Mirassol
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.09
Over 6.50
5.50
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.16
Over 7.50
4.33
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.33
Over 8.50
2.90
Under 8.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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