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Fernando Diniz
Corinthians
Santos
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Santos
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
803071 EUR · live
Away
1.03 · implied 97.1%
67.5%
-29.6 vs price
Home
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
28.1%
+28.0 vs price
Draw
55.0 · implied 1.8%
4.4%
+2.6 vs price
Half time
2650 EUR · live
Away
8.2 · implied 12.2%
37.5%
+25.3 vs price
Home
3.85 · implied 26.0%
37.3%
+11.3 vs price
Draw
1.68 · implied 59.5%
25.2%
-34.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
75469 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
79.7%
-19.4 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
20.4%
+20.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3239 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
88.8%
-10.2 vs price
Over
75.0 · implied 1.3%
11.2%
+9.8 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
10'
Á. Barreal · Foul
20'
Willian Arão · Foul
24'
🔁
C. Oliva ◂ Gustavinho
31'
G. Paulista · Foul
33'
⚽
C. Oliva0–1
Half-time · 0–1
45'+2
R. Garro · Foul
45'+4
L. Veríssimo · Argument
45'+4
Raniele · Argument
64'
🔁
P. Raul ◂ Allan
66'
🔁
Rony ◂ G. Bontempo
73'
🔁
Davizinho ◂ Á. Barreal
73'
🔁
B. Rollheiser ◂ G. Barbosa
77'
🔁
G. Negão ◂ Dieguinho
84'
🔁
M. Pereira ◂ Raniele
Full-time · 0–1
Coaches
Fernando DinizCuca 
Recent form
CorinthiansLACoritiba1-2
WHRosario Central1-0
LHCruzeiro1-2
DARosario Central0-0
WARed Bull Bragantino2-0
SantosLAPalmeiras0-3
DHMirassol1-1
DAMacará0-0
WAVasco da Gama3-0
WHMacará2-1
Where to watch
PremiereTV Globo
Sportdigital FUSSBALL2Sportdigital+
Premier Sports 2 HD
Premier Sports 2 HD
Canal 11
Match facts
Stadium
Neo Química Arena
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
30 Aug, 19:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
Corinthians
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Santos
1
H. Souza
7.0
2
Matheuzinho
6.7
3
G. Paulista
6.9
13
G. Henrique
6.4
21
M. Bidu
6.8
18
P. Raul
6.9
↑ 64'
23
M. Pereira
7.1
↑ 84'
37
Kaio César
6.7
8
R. Garro
7.3
56
G. Negão
6.2
↑ 77'
10
M. Depay
6.9
77
G. Brazão
7.2
18
I. Vinícius
6.7
4
L. Veríssimo
6.9
14
L. Peres
6.9
31
G. Escobar
6.8
28
C. Oliva
7.5
↑ 24'
15
Willian Arão
6.9
11
Rony
6.6
↑ 66'
10
Neymar
7.1
32
B. Rollheiser
6.7
↑ 73'
27
Davizinho
6.9
↑ 73'
Substitutes
51GKauê
20DP. Milans
46DHugo
4DJ. Pedro
26DF. Angileri
55DI. Machado
29MAllan↓ 64'7.0
14MRaniele↓ 84'7.0
61MDieguinho↓ 77'6.6
35MCharles
80MA. Santana
64FL. Fernando
Coach: Fernando Diniz
Top stats
62%Possession38%
0.76Expected goals (xG)1.37
18Total shots8
2Shots on target4
1Big chances1
8Corners1
Shots
9Shots off target2
7Blocked shots2
8Shots inside box3
10Shots outside box5
0Hit woodwork1
0Big chances scored1
1Big chances missed0
0.4Goals prevented0.22
Attack
34Touches in box12
86Final third entries33
3Offsides5
16Free kicks9
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
591Passes379
515Accurate passes291
29/50 (58%)Long balls19/50 (38%)
7/36 (19%)Crosses1/4 (25%)
28Throw-ins16
Duels
54Duels46
32/61 (52%)Ground duels29/61 (48%)
14/24 (58%)Aerial duels10/24 (42%)
9/19 (47%)Dribbles6/10 (60%)
4Dispossessed5
Defending
9Tackles14
44Tackles won50
12Interceptions14
8Clearances36
42Recoveries43
Discipline
9Fouls16
3Yellow cards3
Goalkeeping
3Saves2
2Goal kicks16
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 43 bookmakers
Who winsCorinthians to win (DNB) 71% · 1.41 @ forbet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 57% · 1.13 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.83 @ betfair
CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.50 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.25 @ boylesports
1X2Corinthians to win 50% · 2.28 @ Unibet
BTTSBTTS: No 53% · 1.22 @ 10bet
1X2Draw 28% · 2.45 @ forbet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.65 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.40 @ 10bet
1X2Santos to win 22% · 4.60 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.81
Corinthians
3.33
Draw ▼
4.42
Santos ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.19
Corinthians or Draw
1.29
Corinthians or Santos ▼
1.89
Draw or Santos
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.99
Yes
1.74
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.20
YES
1.60
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.90
YES
1.22
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
2.85
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
6.75
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.74
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.37
Over 1.50
2.88
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.17
Over 2.50 ▼
1.64
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.93
Over 3.50 ▲
1.22
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.31
Corinthians
3.16
Santos
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.25
Over 7.50
3.32
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.47
Over 8.50
2.45
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
1.95
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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