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Dorival Júnior
São Paulo
Red Bull Bragantino
São Paulo
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Red Bull Bragantino
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
169876 EUR · live
Home
1.12 · implied 89.3%
83.1%
-6.1 vs price
Away
48.0 · implied 2.1%
10.6%
+8.5 vs price
Draw
11.5 · implied 8.7%
6.3%
-2.4 vs price
Half time
2786 EUR · live
Home
1.29 · implied 77.5%
67.4%
-10.1 vs price
Draw
4.8 · implied 20.8%
24.4%
+3.5 vs price
Away
34.0 · implied 2.9%
8.9%
+6.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
80117 EUR · live
Under
4.1 · implied 24.4%
60.3%
+35.9 vs price
Over
1.32 · implied 75.8%
39.7%
-36.1 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
14389 EUR · live
Under
1.13 · implied 88.5%
97.7%
+9.2 vs price
Over
8.2 · implied 12.2%
2.3%
-9.9 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 5 clips
Player of the match
Match events
8'
VAR
Penalty not given after review · Luciano
14'
⚽
Luciano (pen)1–0
Half-time · 2–0
45'
A. Sant Anna · Foul
45'+4
⚽
G. Santana2–0
46'
🔁
Fernando ◂ Vinicinho
46'
🔁
Fabinho ◂ E. Ramires
55'
🔁
A. Silva ◂ G. Santana
68'
🔁
G. Neves ◂ J. Herrera
68'
🔁
H. Mosquera ◂ L. Barbosa
71'
🔁
L. Ramon ◂ Luciano
71'
🔁
P. Maia ◂ A. Buta
78'
🔁
Y. A. d. Aquino ◂ I. Pitta
83'
P. Henrique · Argument
84'
A. Silva · Time wasting
84'
🔁
D. Ferreira ◂ Danielzinho
84'
🔁
Ferreira ◂ Artur
86'
H. Mosquera · Foul
Full-time · 2–1
90'
⚽
Fernando · assist H. Mosquera2–1
90'
VAR
Goal check · Fernando
90'
J. Calleri · Argument
90'+5
J. Capixaba · Foul
Coaches
Dorival JúniorVagner Mancini 
Recent form
São PauloLAChapecoense0-1
WHBolívar3-1
DHCoritiba1-1
DABolívar1-1
LAGrêmio1-2
Red Bull BragantinoWHGrêmio1-0
DAAtlético Mineiro2-2
DAAthletico1-1
LHAtlético Mineiro0-1
LHCorinthians0-2
Where to watch
GloboplayPremierePremiere 3SportvSportv 4K
Match facts
Stadium
MorumBIS
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
29 Aug, 23:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
São Paulo
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Red Bull Bragantino
23
Rafael
6.1
22
D. Duarte
6.9
5
R. Arboleda
6.5
35
Sabino
6.6
19
L. Ramon
6.2
↑ 71'
11
Ferreira
6.4
↑ 84'
8
M. Antônio
7.0
12
I. Borduchi
6.7
48
D. Ferreira
6.5
↑ 84'
17
A. Silva
6.7
↑ 55'
29
P. Maia
6.5
↑ 71'
18
T. Volpi
7.5
23
A. Sant Anna
6.7
14
P. Henrique
7.2
16
G. Marques
6.9
29
J. Capixaba
5.5
5
Fabinho
6.6
↑ 46'
20
Rodriguinho
6.5
22
G. Neves
6.5
↑ 68'
30
H. Mosquera
7.0
↑ 68'
11
Fernando
7.7
↑ 46'
41
Y. A. d. Aquino
6.4
↑ 78'
Substitutes
31GC. Coronel
20DA. Buta↓ 71'7.2
54DL. Osorio
18DWendell
2DR. Tolói
37MArtur↓ 84'7.1
94MDanielzinho↓ 84'6.7
34MTetê
80MCauly
43FG. Santana↓ 55'7.6
10FLuciano↓ 71'7.5
9FJ. Calleri
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Top stats
38%Possession62%
1.55Expected goals (xG)0.47
17Total shots8
8Shots on target3
1Big chances1
9Corners7
Shots
4Shots off target3
5Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box2
7Shots outside box6
0Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored1
-0.65Goals prevented0.64
Attack
16Touches in box14
71Final third entries60
1Offsides2
13Free kicks11
4Fouled in final third0
Passing
282Passes468
201Accurate passes378
21/64 (33%)Long balls32/64 (50%)
4/17 (24%)Crosses2/19 (11%)
24Throw-ins39
Duels
46Duels54
38/81 (47%)Ground duels43/81 (53%)
12/27 (44%)Aerial duels15/27 (56%)
6/15 (40%)Dribbles10/20 (50%)
14Dispossessed8
Defending
18Tackles23
78Tackles won61
13Interceptions7
37Clearances25
51Recoveries45
Discipline
11Fouls14
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
2Saves6
0Big saves2
7Goal kicks8
1Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 36 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69%
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 55% · 1.15 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 77% · 1.01 @ fanduel
1X2Draw 29% · 2.42 @ forbet
Who winsSão Paulo to win (DNB) 62% · 1.55 @ forbet
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 1.98 @ msport
1X2São Paulo to win 43% · 2.50 @ 888Sport
1X2RB Bragantino to win 28% · 3.80 @ 888Sport
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 70% · 1.42 @ msport
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.83 @ Bet365
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.09
São Paulo ▲
3.20
Draw ▲
3.49
Red Bull Bragantino ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.28
São Paulo or Draw
1.32
São Paulo or Red Bull Bragantino
1.67
Draw or Red Bull Bragantino
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.92
Yes ▲
1.79
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
7.60
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.38
Over 1.50
2.82
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.20
Over 2.50 ▼
1.62
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.98
Over 3.50 ▼
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.00
Over 4.50
1.06
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.48
São Paulo
2.46
Red Bull Bragantino
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.83
Over 10.50
1.83
Under 10.50
European Handicap 2.00consensus
1.05
São Paulo +2
9.68
Draw +2
21.80
Red Bull Bragantino -2
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.90
Over
1.80
E
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
2.76
São Paulo
2.00
Draw
4.14
Red Bull Bragantino
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.48
São Paulo
2.30
Draw
3.75
Red Bull Bragantino
Double Chance (1st Half)consensus
1.18
São Paulo or Draw
1.64
São Paulo or Red Bull Bragantino
1.36
Draw or Red Bull Bragantino
Double Chance (2nd Half)consensus
1.21
São Paulo or Draw
1.48
São Paulo or Red Bull Bragantino
1.43
Draw or Red Bull Bragantino
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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