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Dorival Júnior
São Paulo
Atlético Mineiro
São Paulo
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Atlético Mineiro
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
596382 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
80.5%
-18.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
14.1%
+14.0 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
5.5%
+5.4 vs price
Half time
8475 EUR · live
Draw
1.01 · implied 99.0%
57.0%
-42.0 vs price
Home
60.0 · implied 1.7%
24.0%
+22.3 vs price
Away
50.0 · implied 2.0%
19.0%
+17.0 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
230430 EUR · live
Under
1.09 · implied 91.7%
89.9%
-1.8 vs price
Over
17.5 · implied 5.7%
10.1%
+4.4 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
8824 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
91.8%
-7.2 vs price
Over
100.0 · implied 1.0%
8.2%
+7.2 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 3 clips
Player of the match
Match events
35'
VAR
Goal not given after review · G. Santana
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
V. Hugo ◂ K. Castaño
46'
🔁
Fred ◂ Bernard
46'
🔁
M. Cassierra ◂ Reinier
63'
🔁
J. Calleri ◂ G. Santana
63'
🔁
P. Maia ◂ Danielzinho
64'
🔁
I. Borduchi ◂ Wendell
67'
⚽
Luciano · assist Artur1–0
69'
⚽
I. Borduchi · assist L. Ramon2–0
70'
🔁
A. Minda ◂ Alexsander
81'
🔁
G. Scarpa ◂ V. Hugo
81'
🔁
D. Ferreira ◂ Artur
85'
🔁
Ferreira ◂ Luciano
Full-time · 2–0
90'+1
D. Ferreira · Foul
90'+4
T. Cuello · Foul
Coaches
Dorival JúniorEduardo Dominguez 
Recent form
São PauloWHRed Bull Bragantino2-1
LAChapecoense0-1
WHBolívar3-1
DHCoritiba1-1
DABolívar1-1
Atlético MineiroWHCruzeiro2-1
WHVitória2-1
DACruzeiro1-1
DAInternacional0-0
DHRed Bull Bragantino2-2
Where to watch
GloboplayPremiere
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Match facts
Stadium
MorumBIS
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
05 Sep, 21:30 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
São Paulo
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1
Atlético Mineiro
23
Rafael
6.8
22
D. Duarte
7.4
5
R. Arboleda
7.5
35
Sabino
7.3
19
L. Ramon
7.0
29
P. Maia
6.8
↑ 63'
8
M. Antônio
7.2
12
I. Borduchi
7.7
↑ 64'
48
D. Ferreira
6.5
↑ 81'
9
J. Calleri
7.3
↑ 63'
11
Ferreira
6.6
↑ 85'
1
G. Delfim
6.7
2
Natanael
6.2
40
V. F. C. Teixeira
6.7
21
A. Franco
6.2
28
T. Cuello
6.0
14
V. Hugo
5.9
↑ 46'
27
A. Minda
6.8
↑ 70'
6
R. Lodi
7.0
10
G. Scarpa
6.6
↑ 81'
7
Fred
7.0
↑ 46'
9
M. Cassierra
6.4
↑ 46'
Substitutes
31GC. Coronel
18DWendell↓ 64'6.9
2DR. Tolói
37MArtur↓ 81'7.3
94MDanielzinho↓ 63'6.7
34MTetê
28MNewton
80MCauly
10FLuciano↓ 85'7.7
43FG. Santana↓ 63'6.2
49FR. Francisco
17FA. Silva
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Substitutes
46GP. C. Rodrigues
31GR. Alves
53DP. Tocantins
36DK. P. Resende
5MAlexsander↓ 70'7.0
15MK. Castaño↓ 46'6.7
11MBernard↓ 46'6.6
19MReinier↓ 46'6.6
23MÁ. Preciado
39MM. Cissé
92FDudu
Coach: Eduardo Dominguez
Top stats
52%Possession48%
1.99Expected goals (xG)0.66
23Total shots4
5Shots on target0
4Big chances1
16Corners2
Shots
10Shots off target3
8Blocked shots1
16Shots inside box2
7Shots outside box2
1Big chances scored0
3Big chances missed1
0.0Goals prevented0.19
Attack
33Touches in box7
63Final third entries34
2Offsides0
12Free kicks19
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
526Passes518
451Accurate passes428
33/53 (62%)Long balls22/58 (38%)
10/37 (27%)Crosses1/7 (14%)
19Throw-ins21
Duels
51Duels49
34/71 (48%)Ground duels37/71 (52%)
16/27 (59%)Aerial duels11/27 (41%)
6/10 (60%)Dribbles8/16 (50%)
7Dispossessed9
Defending
17Tackles11
53Tackles won55
7Interceptions7
10Clearances31
54Recoveries45
Discipline
19Fouls12
1Yellow cards1
Goalkeeping
0Saves3
0Big saves1
7Goal kicks13
0Punches1
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 56% · 1.58 @ Unibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 68% · 1.35 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 58% · 1.12 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 78% · 1.25 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 30% · 2.40 @ Unibet
Who winsSão Paulo to win (DNB) 62% · 1.47 @ Betano
BTTSBTTS: No 51% · 1.25 @ 10bet
1X2São Paulo to win 44% · 2.50 @ 10bet
1X2Atlético-MG to win 26% · 3.85 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 68% · 2.40 @ 10bet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 54% · 1.85 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.14
São Paulo
3.20
Draw
3.52
Atlético Mineiro
Double Chanceconsensus
1.29
São Paulo or Draw
1.33
São Paulo or Atlético Mineiro
1.67
Draw or Atlético Mineiro
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.91
Yes
1.80
No
Home Clean Sheetconsensus
2.55
YES
1.45
NO
Away Clean Sheetconsensus
3.45
YES
1.25
NO
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.45
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.25
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
8.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.39
Over 1.50
2.90
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.23
Over 2.50
1.65
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
4.16
Over 3.50
1.21
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
8.50
Over 4.50
1.05
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.44
São Paulo
2.57
Atlético Mineiro
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.14
Over 7.50
4.00
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.29
Over 8.50
2.90
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.53
Over 9.50
2.27
Under 9.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.7%.
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