Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Home turf advantage meets a struggling Internacional — São Paulo should have the edge here.** 🏟️ The Tricolores have steadied the ship with two wins in five, while Inter stumbles into Morumbis on a rough patch of just one win in their last five.
São Paulo's form is uneven but trending the right way after that Palmeiras spanking. Internacional, meanwhile, looked decent against Chapecoense but got torched at home by Santos — not a recipe for success on the road. The head-to-head leans São Paulo historically, so this feels like the home side's game to lose.
Key storylines:
- **J. Calleri** and **A. Silva** up top will face a **Internacional** backline without key defensive depth due to injuries
- **A. Sanabria** carries the attacking load for Inter with limited support — Inter's depth issues in the middle could be exposed
- **São Paulo's midfield trio** of **M. Antônio**, **Artur**, and **D. Bobadilla** can control tempo at home and limit Inter's transitions
Expected lineups:
- **São Paulo**: Rafael, D. Duarte, R. Arboleda, L. Ramon, Sabino, M. Antônio, Artur, D. Bobadilla, G. Santana, J. Calleri, A. Silva
- **Internacional**: M. Cunha, A. Bernabei, G. Maripán, G. Mercado, B. Gomes, B. Henrique, P. Paula, Vitinho, A. Patrick, J. Carbonero, A. Sanabria
Prediction:
**São Paulo 2–1 Internacional.** Home form and Inter's injury crisis give the Tricolores a slight favorite lean. 📊
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.