Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Santos host Flamengo in a battle of two teams hitting their stride — this is shaping up to be a proper tussle.** Both sides have won four of their last five, but the away team's injury list is absolutely brutal. 🔥
Santos come in hot at the Urbano Caldeira with wins over São Paulo and Remo, though they got hammered 4-2 by Atlético Mineiro. Flamengo haven't dropped a game yet this stretch, edging out tougher competition like Corinthians at home. The head-to-head tells you everything — Flamengo edge the historical record but it's razor-thin.
Key storylines:
- **Santos' home advantage** could prove decisive with Flamengo severely depleted: missing Arrasacaeta, Valencia, and three others to injury
- **Flamengo's midfield balance** — Jorginho and Pulgar will need to control the tempo despite the absences
- **Pedro's finishing** remains critical for Flamengo; Santos can't afford to be sloppy with Diogenes in goal
Expected lineups:
- **Santos**: Diogenes, Rodinei, L. Veríssimo, G. Escobar, L. Peres, Willian Arão, C. Oliva, Á. Barreal, B. Rollheiser, G. Bontempo, G. Barbosa
- **Flamengo**: A. Rossi, E. Royal, L. Ortiz, L. Pereira, A. Sandro, Jorginho, E. Pulgar, S. Lino, L. Paquetá, J. Carrascal, Pedro
Prediction:
**Santos 2-1 Flamengo.** Home side gets the edge with Flamengo's injury crisis biting hard.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.