Atlético Mineiro 2-1 Santos: Stats, xG & Lineups

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Brasileirão Serie A ·Sun 11 Oct

Atlético Mineiro

2–1

HT 0–0

Full time

Santos

Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte · Ref: Alex Gomes Stefano

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Atlético Mineiro 2-1 Santos.

90+13'

M. Cissé

Attempt missed. M. Cissé (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+12'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

90+12'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

90+11'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

90+7'

T. Borbas

Goal! Atlético Mineiro 2-1 Santos. T. Borbas (Atlético Mineiro) scores, assisted by A. Minda.

90+6'

G. Barbosa

Attempt saved. G. Barbosa (Santos), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

90+5'

K. P. Resende

Attempt missed. K. P. Resende (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

90+1'

V. Hugo

Goal! Atlético Mineiro 1-1 Santos. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro) scores, assisted by Maycon.

90'

10 minutes of added time.

90'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

89'

Willian Arão

Yellow card for Willian Arão (Santos).

89'

G. Barbosa

Yellow card for G. Barbosa (Santos).

88'

G. Barbosa

Goal! Atlético Mineiro 0-1 Santos. G. Barbosa (Santos) scores, assisted by P. Coutinho.

85'

J. Schmidt

Yellow card for J. Schmidt (Santos) for foul.

85'

Everton

Substitution, Santos: Á. Barreal comes on for Everton.

83'

M. Cissé

Attempt saved. M. Cissé (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

82'

Alexsander

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: Dudu comes on for Alexsander.

81'

Santos

Offside, Santos.

81'

P. Coutinho

Attempt missed. P. Coutinho (Santos), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

75'

L. Duarte

Attempt missed. L. Duarte (Atlético Mineiro), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

74'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

74'

V. Hugo

Attempt blocked. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

74'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

72'

Gustavinho

Substitution, Santos: J. Schmidt comes on for Gustavinho.

72'

G. Bontempo

Substitution, Santos: P. Coutinho comes on for G. Bontempo.

71'

A. Minda

Attempt missed. A. Minda (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

70'

I. Gomes

Yellow card for I. Gomes (Atlético Mineiro) for foul.

70'

Natanael

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: Á. Preciado comes on for Natanael.

69'

A. Franco

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: M. Cissé comes on for A. Franco.

69'

K. Castaño

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: Maycon comes on for K. Castaño.

68'

V. Hugo

Attempt blocked. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), header. xG 0.03.

66'

T. Borbas

Attempt missed. T. Borbas (Atlético Mineiro), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

66'

T. Borbas

Yellow card for T. Borbas (Atlético Mineiro) for argument.

66'

L. Peres

Yellow card for L. Peres (Santos) for argument.

64'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

59'

G. Barbosa

Attempt blocked. G. Barbosa (Santos), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

59'

Santos

Corner, Santos.

57'

L. Duarte

Attempt missed. L. Duarte (Atlético Mineiro), header from a corner. xG 0.03.

57'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

56'

V. Hugo

Attempt missed. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), header from a corner. xG 0.04.

56'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

53'

Atlético Mineiro

Offside, Atlético Mineiro.

51'

G. Barbosa

Attempt saved. G. Barbosa (Santos), left-footed shot. xG 0.59.

48'

K. P. Resende

Off the woodwork! K. P. Resende (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.12.

46'

V. Hugo

Substitution, Atlético Mineiro: A. Minda comes on for V. Hugo.

46'

B. Rollheiser

Substitution, Santos: Rony comes on for B. Rollheiser.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Atlético Mineiro 0-0 Santos.

45+4'

L. Veríssimo

Yellow card for L. Veríssimo (Santos) for argument.

45+3'

Santos

Corner, Santos.

45+2'

A. Franco

Yellow card for A. Franco (Atlético Mineiro) for foul.

45'

4 minutes of added time.

45'

Rodinei

Attempt missed. Rodinei (Santos), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

44'

K. P. Resende

Attempt blocked. K. P. Resende (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

39'

Santos

Corner, Santos.

37'

Alexsander

Attempt missed. Alexsander (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

36'

Natanael

Attempt saved. Natanael (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

29'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

28'

V. Hugo

Attempt blocked. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

28'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

25'

G. Barbosa

Attempt missed. G. Barbosa (Santos), left-footed shot. xG 0.07.

24'

Atlético Mineiro

Corner, Atlético Mineiro.

23'

Everton

Attempt missed. Everton (Santos), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

18'

G. Bontempo

Attempt missed. G. Bontempo (Santos), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

16'

K. P. Resende

Attempt missed. K. P. Resende (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.21.

14'

Santos

Offside, Santos.

11'

V. Hugo

Attempt saved. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

Willian Arão

Substitution, Santos: L. Peres comes on for Willian Arão.

V. Hugo

Attempt missed. V. Hugo (Atlético Mineiro), header. xG 0.10.

Everton

Attempt blocked. Everton (Santos), right-footed shot. xG 0.10.

T. Borbas

Attempt missed. T. Borbas (Atlético Mineiro), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

Kick-off: Atlético Mineiro vs Santos.

Where the money is

503599 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 6 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 258889 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

55.8%

-43.2 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

27.7%

+27.6 vs price

Draw 200.0 · implied 0.5%

16.6%

+16.1 vs price

Half time 405 EUR · live

Draw 1.88 · implied 53.2%

50.3%

-2.9 vs price

Home 3.3 · implied 30.3%

38.7%

+8.4 vs price

Away 3.8 · implied 26.3%

10.6%

-15.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 70332 EUR · live

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

80.7%

-4.7 vs price

Over 7.2 · implied 13.9%

19.3%

+5.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 3284 EUR · live

Under 1.03 · implied 97.1%

96.4%

-0.6 vs price

Over 32.0 · implied 3.1%

3.5%

+0.4 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Highlights 4 clips

Player of the match

Match events

8' 🔁 L. Peres ◂ Willian Arão

Half-time · 0–0

45'⁺² A. Franco · Foul

45'⁺⁴ L. Veríssimo · Argument

46' 🔁 Rony ◂ B. Rollheiser

46' 🔁 A. Minda ◂ V. Hugo

66' L. Peres · Argument

66' T. Borbas · Argument

69' 🔁 Maycon ◂ K. Castaño

69' 🔁 M. Cissé ◂ A. Franco

70' I. Gomes · Foul

70' 🔁 Á. Preciado ◂ Natanael

72' 🔁 P. Coutinho ◂ G. Bontempo

72' 🔁 J. Schmidt ◂ Gustavinho

82' 🔁 Dudu ◂ Alexsander

85' 🔁 Á. Barreal ◂ Everton

85' J. Schmidt · Foul

88' ⚽ G. Barbosa · assist P. Coutinho0–1

89' G. Barbosa

89' Willian Arão

Full-time · 2–1

90'⁺¹ ⚽ V. Hugo · assist Maycon1–1

90'⁺⁷ ⚽ T. Borbas · assist A. Minda2–1

Coaches

Eduardo Dominguez

Cuca

Recent form

Atlético Mineiro

DAAthletico2-2

WHRed Bull Bragantino1-0

DHChapecoense1-1

WHSantos4-2

WHFluminense3-1

Santos

DHFlamengo2-2

WASão Paulo2-1

WARemo2-1

LAAtlético Mineiro2-4

WHCruzeiro2-1

About this match

**Atlético Mineiro hosts Santos in a clash where recent form tells two very different stories** — the home side's been grinding wins, but they've already leaked four goals to this exact opponent just weeks ago. 🔥

Atlético Mineiro are rolling at home with three wins in five, though that 4-2 demolition of Santos lingers. Santos, meanwhile, have been *dominant* on the road lately, winning four of their last five away. This is a proper test for both squads.

Key storylines:

- **Atlético Mineiro's attack vs Saints' porous away form** — Fred and K. Castaño anchor midfield, but can **Bernard** and **T. Cuello** replicate that 4-goal feast?
- **Santos' road resilience under pressure** — **G. Bontempo** and **G. Barbosa** have carried the scoring load; they'll need that ruthlessness again
- **Injury toll on both sides** — Atlético missing Everson (big) and Scarpa; Santos without Arthur and key depth pieces

Expected lineups:

- **Atlético Mineiro**: G. Delfim, R. Lodi, V. F. C. Teixeira, Lyanco, Natanael, Fred, K. Castaño, T. Cuello, Bernard, A. Minda, T. Borbas
- **Santos**: Diogenes, G. Escobar, L. Peres, L. Veríssimo, Rodinei, Willian Arão, C. Oliva, Á. Barreal, B. Rollheiser, G. Bontempo, G. Barbosa

Prediction:

**Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Santos**

Home edge at Arena MRV is real, but Santos' road form keeps this tight.

Where to watch

Sporty TVSporty TV App

Match facts

Stadium

Arena MRV

City

Belo Horizonte

Referee

Alex Gomes Stefano

5.25 yellows/match · 53 matches

Kickoff

11 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Brasileirão Serie A

Top stats

50%Possession50%

1.44Expected goals (xG)1.12

21Total shots10

5Shots on target3

3Big chances1

12Corners3

Shots

12Shots off target5

4Blocked shots2

18Shots inside box5

3Shots outside box5

1Hit woodwork0

1Big chances scored0

2Big chances missed1

-0.38Goals prevented-0.15

Attack

34Touches in box13

67Final third entries44

1Offsides3

12Free kicks10

Passing

549Passes553

483Accurate passes479

28/51 (55%)Long balls18/48 (38%)

12/27 (44%)Crosses0/13 (0%)

17Throw-ins9

Duels

47Duels53

31/72 (43%)Ground duels41/72 (57%)

13/22 (59%)Aerial duels9/22 (41%)

7/20 (35%)Dribbles7/11 (64%)

11Dispossessed8

Defending

12Tackles24

42Tackles won63

7Interceptions10

10Clearances13

58Recoveries58

Discipline

10Fouls12

3Yellow cards5

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves4

8Goal kicks12

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Atlético-MG 44%

28%

Santos 28%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 54% · 1.70 @ betfair

CornersOver 8.5 corners 66% · 1.40 @ betfair

Who winsAtlético-MG to win (DNB) 63% · 1.58 @ Unibet

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 3.30 @ William Hill

1X2Draw 28% · 2.44 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 51% · 1.17 @ William Hill

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 72% · 1.33 @ Bet365

1X2Atlético-MG to win 44% · 2.45 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 73% · 2.15 @ William Hill

1X2Santos to win 28% · 3.70 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 57% · 1.85 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

2.10

Atlético Mineiro

3.40

Draw

3.40

Santos

Double Chanceconsensus

1.30

Atlético Mineiro or Draw

1.30

Atlético Mineiro or Santos

1.71

Draw or Santos

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.65

Yes

2.15

Home Win to Nilconsensus

3.60

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

5.80

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.04

Over 0.50

9.75

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.29

Over 1.50

3.50

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.94

Over 2.50

1.88

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

3.40

Over 3.50

1.30

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.50

Over 4.50

1.10

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.57

Atlético Mineiro

2.30

Santos

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.17

Over 7.50

3.88

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.33

Over 8.50

2.78

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.58

Over 9.50

2.25

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

1.98

Over 10.50

1.77

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.47

Over 11.50

1.49

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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