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Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
São Paulo
São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
São Paulo
São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
Dorival Júnior
São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
São Paulo
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama
Commentary
90'
Full-time. São Paulo 1-0 Vasco da Gama.
90'
6 minutes of added time.
90'
Vasco da Gama
Offside, Vasco da Gama.
76'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
61'
São Paulo
Offside, São Paulo.
59'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
56'
Vasco da Gama
Offside, Vasco da Gama.
46'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
46'
The second half is under way.
45'
Half-time. São Paulo 0-0 Vasco da Gama.
45'
4 minutes of added time.
34'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
13'
São Paulo
Corner, São Paulo.
11'
Vasco da Gama
Corner, Vasco da Gama.
10'
Attempt missed. G. Pereira (Vasco da Gama), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.12.
1'
Kick-off: São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama.
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
227146 EUR · live
Home
1.04 · implied 96.2%
69.3%
-26.9 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.1%
+21.0 vs price
Draw
27.0 · implied 3.7%
9.8%
+6.1 vs price
Half time
482 EUR · live
Draw
1.88 · implied 53.2%
89.7%
+36.5 vs price
Away
3.8 · implied 26.3%
6.2%
-20.1 vs price
Home
4.1 · implied 24.4%
3.9%
-20.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
42331 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
78.1%
-20.9 vs price
Over
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
21.9%
+21.8 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
1460 EUR · live
Under
1.02 · implied 98.0%
93.5%
-4.5 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
6.4%
+4.6 vs price
13 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 2 clips
Player of the match
Match events
42'
Artur · Argument
44'
F. Colidio · Argument
Half-time · 0–0
46'
🔁
Sabino ◂ R. Tolói
46'
🔁
L. Moura ◂ Luciano
46'
🔁
P. Rodríguez ◂ P. Henrique
51'
VAR
Red card check · G. Pereira
54'
G. Pereira · Foul
62'
🔁
Brenner ◂ B. Duarte
68'
⚽
Artur · assist P. Lima1–0
71'
🔁
P. Maia ◂ M. Antônio
74'
🔁
Jair ◂ S. Sosa
74'
🔁
T. Mendes ◂ Tchê Tchê
80'
🔁
G. Santana ◂ J. Calleri
89'
🔁
Adson ◂ A. Lescano
89'
🔁
L. Osorio ◂ Artur
Full-time · 1–0
90'+2
I. Borduchi · Foul
Coaches
Dorival JúniorPedro Emanuel 
Recent form
São PauloWHVitória2-1
LACruzeiro0-2
LHSantos1-2
WHInternacional1-0
DHBoca Juniors1-1
Vasco da GamaWABoca Juniors1-0
DHRemo0-0
WABotafogo2-1
WHCoritiba5-0
WHIndependiente Santa Fe2-0
About this match
**São Paulo host a streaking Vasco side that's suddenly looking scary** — the visitors have won four of their last five, while the hosts are treading water. 🔥
São Paulo's mixed form at home is getting tested here, but history favors them big time in this fixture. Vasco, though? They're rolling right now and won't be intimidated by the classic rivalry matchup.
Key storylines:
- **J. Calleri** and **Artur** need to break through a Vasco defense that's been tightening up lately
- **Vasco's midfield** — led by **T. Mendes** and **S. Sosa** — has been the engine behind their four-game winning streak
- São Paulo's injury pile (including **A. Buta** and **D. Duarte**) is biting into their defensive depth at exactly the wrong moment
Expected lineups:
- **São Paulo**: Rafael, R. Arboleda, Sabino, L. Ramon, D. Bobadilla, M. Antônio, P. Maia, Ferreira, J. Calleri, Artur
- **Vasco da Gama**: L. Jardim, R. Renan, A. Saldivia, L. Piton, T. Mendes, S. Sosa, A. Gómez, A. Lescano, Tchê Tchê, C. Spinelli
Prediction:
**1-1 Draw**. Vasco's momentum is real, but São Paulo's home record and head-to-head edge keep them from getting blown out — expect a cagey affair with both sides leaving points on the table. ⚪
Where to watch
GloboplayPremierePremiere 3SportvSportv 4K
Fanatiz USA
Match facts
Stadium
MorumBIS
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
18 Oct, 00:00 UTC
Competition
Brasileirão Serie A
Highlights & clips
São Paulo
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Vasco da Gama
23
Rafael
7.6
28
Newton
7.9
5
R. Arboleda
7.4
35
Sabino
6.8
↑ 46'
32
P. Lima
7.5
29
P. Maia
6.8
↑ 71'
16
D. Bobadilla
7.2
12
I. Borduchi
6.9
7
L. Moura
7.0
↑ 46'
54
L. Osorio
6.8
↑ 89'
43
G. Santana
6.7
↑ 80'
1
L. Jardim
7.0
2
P. Rodríguez
6.7
↑ 46'
55
G. Pereira
6.3
30
R. Renan
6.6
66
Cuiabano
6.6
23
T. Mendes
6.8
↑ 74'
8
Jair
6.6
↑ 74'
11
A. Gómez
7.0
28
Adson
6.6
↑ 89'
9
F. Colidio
6.9
20
Brenner
6.5
↑ 62'
Substitutes
31GC. Coronel
2DR. Tolói↓ 46'7.0
19DL. Ramon
18DWendell
8MM. Antônio↓ 71'7.6
37MArtur↓ 89'7.5
27MVictor Sá
46MP. Ferreira
45MLucca
10FLuciano↓ 46'6.7
9FJ. Calleri↓ 80'6.4
49FR. Francisco
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Top stats
40%Possession60%
1.23Expected goals (xG)0.9
9Total shots13
2Shots on target2
3Big chances0
3Corners4
Shots
7Shots off target7
0Blocked shots4
6Shots inside box11
3Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
1Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
0.59Goals prevented0.29
Attack
17Touches in box20
67Final third entries76
1Offsides2
15Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third1
Passing
381Passes577
296Accurate passes493
33/63 (52%)Long balls25/54 (46%)
4/16 (25%)Crosses2/13 (15%)
22Throw-ins23
Duels
53Duels47
57/103 (55%)Ground duels46/103 (45%)
17/37 (46%)Aerial duels20/37 (54%)
8/16 (50%)Dribbles12/28 (43%)
12Dispossessed19
Defending
35Tackles20
57Tackles won80
13Interceptions9
28Clearances24
55Recoveries62
Discipline
14Fouls15
2Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
2Saves1
0Big saves1
12Goal kicks7
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers
CornersOver 9.5 corners 57% · 1.52 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 69% · 1.28 @ 1xBet
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals 54% · 1.14 @ William Hill
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 75% · 1.29 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 28% · 2.39 @ 1xBet
Who winsSão Paulo to win (DNB) 60% · 1.55 @ Betsson
1X2São Paulo to win 45% · 2.50 @ Bet365
BTTSBoth teams to score 50% · 3.50 @ Bet365
1X2Vasco to win 28% · 3.72 @ 1xBet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 71% · 2.25 @ William Hill
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 53% · 1.91 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.10
São Paulo
3.30
Draw
3.45
Vasco da Gama
Double Chanceconsensus
1.30
São Paulo or Draw
1.30
São Paulo or Vasco da Gama
1.70
Draw or Vasco da Gama
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.85
Yes
1.85
No
Home Win to Nilconsensus
3.40
YES
Away Win to Nilconsensus
5.50
YES
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.06
Over 0.50
9.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.33
Over 1.50
3.20
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
2.06
Over 2.50
1.77
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
3.70
Over 3.50
1.25
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
7.89
Over 4.50
1.07
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.52
São Paulo
2.38
Vasco da Gama
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.15
Over 7.50
3.80
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.28
Over 8.50
2.80
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.52
Over 9.50
2.31
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
1.92
Over 10.50
1.82
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
2.32
Over 11.50
1.52
Under 11.50
No pre-match call on this one.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 87.0%.
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