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Set by set
| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|
| C. Alcaraz | 7 | 6 | 2 |
| M. Arnaldi | 6 | 1 | 0 |
Match facts
Tournament
Tokyo
Category
Atp500
Round
Round of 16
Surface
hard
Court
Coliseum
City
Tokyo
First serve
M. Arnaldi
Total games
13–7
Recent form
C. Alcaraz · match stats · M. Arnaldi
1Aces1
1Double faults1
73%First serve in62%
81%First-serve points won63%
95%Second serve in96%
25%Second-serve points won52%
67%Break points saved57%
43%Break points converted33%
42%Return points won34%
49Service points won38
27Receiver points won25
76Total points won63
13Games won7
9Service games won6
1Tiebreaks won0
12Longest point streak5
7Longest game streak3
Per set · aces & double faults
| Set | Aces | Double faults |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 0–0 | 1–0 |
| Set 2 | 1–1 | 0–1 |
Figures read C. Alcaraz first.
Set 231 min · 7 games · newest first
5-1
game 7
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
5-1
game 6
M. Arnaldi serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
30-40
5-0
game 5
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
4-0
game 4
M. Arnaldi serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
3-0
game 3
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
2-0
game 2
M. Arnaldi serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
1-0
game 1
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
Set 174 min · 13 games · newest first
7-6
game 13
C. Alcaraz serving
0-1
0-2
1-2
1-3
1-4
1-5
2-5
2-6
3-6
4-6
5-6
6-6
7-6
8-6
6-6
game 12
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
5-6
game 11
M. Arnaldi serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
5-5
game 10
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
40-15
40-30
4-5
game 9
M. Arnaldi serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
4-4
game 8
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
3-4
game 7
M. Arnaldi serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
3-3
game 6
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
40-15
40-30
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
2-3
game 5
M. Arnaldi serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
2-2
game 4
C. Alcaraz serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
30-40
2-1
game 3
M. Arnaldi serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
30-40
40-40
40-A
2-0
game 2
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
1-0
game 1
M. Arnaldi serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
40-30
Point chips read C. Alcaraz first · highlighted border marks the point winner.
Win probability
C. AlcarazM. Arnaldi
91%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+34 places)
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (86% win rate)
- More effective serve
How the model did
Predicted C. Alcaraz
— correct
C. Alcaraz
1.05
consensus price, since opening
M. Arnaldi
11.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
10bet
1.04 ▲
9.00 ▼
1xBet
1.05 ▲
11.80 ▼
888Sport
1.04 ▲
11.00 ▼
Bet365
1.05
11.00
Betsson
1.04 ▼
9.80 ▲
Betway
1.05 ▲
10.00 ▼
Bwin
1.05 ▲
9.50 ▼
Interwetten
1.05 ▲
9.50 ▼
Novibet
1.07 ▲
9.50 ▼
SportingBet
1.05 ▲
9.50 ▼
Unibet
1.05
10.50 ▲
Vistabet
1.05 ▲
9.50 ▼
William Hill
1.04 ▲
11.00 ▼
fonbet
1.05 ▲
11.00 ▲
Consensus
1.05 ▼
10.06 ▼
O/U Games 17.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.16
4.25
Consensus
1.16
4.25
O/U Games 18.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
1xBet
1.87
1.99
888Sport
1.80 ▲
1.91 ▼
Bet365
1.80
1.91
Betsson
1.81 ▲
1.90 ▼
Betway
1.73
2.00
Bwin
1.75
1.91
Interwetten
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
Novibet
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
SportingBet
1.75
1.91
Unibet
1.84 ▲
1.93 ▼
Vistabet
1.75
1.91
William Hill
1.80 ▲
1.91 ▼
Consensus
1.79 ▲
1.92 ▼
O/U Games 19.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.85
1.85
1xBet
1.89
1.82
Consensus
1.87
1.84
Games Handicap -8.00Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
1xBet
7.60
1.06
Consensus
7.60
1.06
Games Handicap -6.00Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
10bet
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
1xBet
1.91 ▲
1.81 ▼
Consensus
1.90 ▲
1.81 ▼
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.25
1.57
1xBet
1.86
1.86
Betsson
2.04
1.69 ▲
Betway
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Unibet
2.04
1.70 ▲
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
1.93 ▼
1.79 ▲
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
4.00
1.20
1xBet
3.88 ▲
1.22 ▼
Betsson
4.30 ▲
1.18 ▼
Betway
4.00 ▲
1.18 ▼
Novibet
4.00 ▲
1.22 ▼
Unibet
4.40 ▲
1.19 ▼
William Hill
4.00 ▲
1.22 ▼
fonbet
4.15 ▲
1.20 ▼
Consensus
4.12 ▲
1.20 ▼
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
10bet
1.25 ▲
3.60 ▼
1xBet
1.29 ▲
3.36 ▼
Betsson
1.21 ▼
3.90 ▲
Betway
1.25 ▲
3.50 ▼
Bwin
1.25 ▲
3.60 ▼
Interwetten
1.20 ▼
4.00 ▲
Novibet
1.20 ▼
3.90 ▲
SportingBet
1.25 ▲
3.60 ▼
Unibet
1.22 ▼
4.10 ▲
Vistabet
1.25 ▲
3.60 ▼
William Hill
1.29 ▼
3.50 ▲
fonbet
1.25 ▼
3.65 ▲
Consensus
1.24 ▼
3.72 ▲
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.02
18.00 ▲
William Hill
1.02
15.00
Consensus
1.02
16.50 ▲
Player O/U Games 12.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.06
7.30
Consensus
1.06
7.30
O/U Double Faults 4.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.30
3.20
Consensus
1.30
3.20
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
4.00 ▲
1.23 ▲
Consensus
4.00 ▲
1.23 ▲
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
10bet
1.13 ▲
6.00 ▼
1xBet
1.14 ▲
4.95 ▼
888Sport
1.11
6.00
Bet365
1.13
6.00
Betsson
1.09 ▼
6.40 ▲
Betway
1.12 ▲
5.25 ▼
Bwin
1.14 ▲
5.25 ▼
Interwetten
1.10 ▼
6.00 ▲
Novibet
1.12 ▼
6.00 ▲
SportingBet
1.14 ▲
5.25 ▼
Unibet
1.10 ▲
6.50 ▲
Vistabet
1.14 ▲
5.25 ▼
William Hill
1.11
6.00
fonbet
1.13 ▲
5.90 ▲
Consensus
1.12 ▲
5.83 ▼
O/U Games 6.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.02
15.00
Betway
1.02
11.00
fonbet
1.02 ▲
11.50 ▼
Consensus
1.02
11.25 ▼
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.10
5.65
Consensus
1.10
5.65
Games Handicap -4.501st Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
William Hill
4.00 ▼
1.22 ▲
fonbet
4.50 ▼
1.17 ▲
Consensus
4.25 ▼
1.20 ▲
Games Handicap -3.501st Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
1xBet
2.98
1.35
Consensus
2.98
1.35
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.90 ▲
1.82 ▼
Betway
1.90 ▲
1.80 ▼
Novibet
2.20
1.60
Consensus
2.05 ▲
1.70 ▼
Player O/U Games 4.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.08 ▲
6.60 ▼
William Hill
1.05 ▼
9.00 ▲
Consensus
1.05 ▼
9.00 ▲
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
1xBet
1.10 ▲
6.05 ▼
888Sport
1.14 ▼
5.00 ▲
Betway
1.12 ▲
5.25 ▼
Bwin
1.11 ▲
6.00 ▼
Interwetten
1.10 ▼
6.00 ▲
Novibet
1.11 ▼
5.75 ▼
SportingBet
1.11 ▲
6.00 ▼
Unibet
1.10 ▲
6.50 ▲
Vistabet
1.11 ▲
6.00 ▼
William Hill
1.14 ▼
5.00 ▲
Consensus
1.12 ▲
5.72 ▼
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.17
4.25
Novibet
1.18 ▼
4.10 ▼
Consensus
1.18 ▼
4.10 ▼
O/U Games 8.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.44
2.55
Consensus
1.44
2.55
Games Handicap -3.502nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
1xBet
2.29 ▲
1.55 ▼
Consensus
2.29 ▲
1.55 ▼
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
M. Arnaldi
Novibet
1.67
2.10
Consensus
1.67
2.10
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.99 ▲
1.75 ▼
Novibet
2.00
1.70
Consensus
2.00 ▲
1.70 ▼
Player O/U Games 6.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
6.30 ▲
1.09 ▼
Consensus
6.30 ▲
1.09 ▼