← All tennis
Set by set
| Player | Set 1 | Set 2 | Set 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Alcaraz | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| A. Michelsen | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
Match facts
Tournament
Tokyo
Category
Atp500
Round
Round of 32
Surface
hard
Court
Coliseum
City
Tokyo
First serve
A. Michelsen
Total games
17–13
Recent form
C. Alcaraz · match stats · A. Michelsen
5Aces0
5Double faults4
65%First serve in64%
63%First-serve points won60%
85%Second serve in89%
56%Second-serve points won41%
62%Break points saved54%
46%Break points converted38%
47%Return points won40%
59Service points won54
48Receiver points won39
107Total points won93
17Games won13
10Service games won8
1Tiebreaks won0
9Longest point streak7
5Longest game streak4
Per set · aces & double faults
| Set | Aces | Double faults |
|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | 1–0 | 3–1 |
| Set 2 | 2–0 | 2–2 |
| Set 3 | 2–0 | 0–1 |
Figures read C. Alcaraz first.
Set 327 min · 7 games · newest first
5-1
game 7
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
5-1
game 6
A. Michelsen serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
5-0
game 5
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
4-0
game 4
A. Michelsen serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
40-0
3-0
game 3
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
40-15
2-0
game 2
A. Michelsen serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
40-30
1-0
game 1
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
Set 252 min · 10 games · newest first
4-6
game 10
A. Michelsen serving
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
30-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
40-A
4-5
game 9
C. Alcaraz serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
4-4
game 8
A. Michelsen serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
4-3
game 7
C. Alcaraz serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
4-2
game 6
A. Michelsen serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
40-0
40-15
40-30
3-2
game 5
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
30-0
40-0
2-2
game 4
A. Michelsen serving
BREAK
15-0
30-0
30-15
30-30
40-30
1-2
game 3
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
30-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
0-2
game 2
A. Michelsen serving
0-15
0-30
0-40
0-1
game 1
C. Alcaraz serving
BREAK
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
Set 171 min · 13 games · newest first
7-6
game 13
A. Michelsen serving
BREAK
1-0
2-0
3-0
4-0
4-1
5-1
6-1
7-1
6-6
game 12
C. Alcaraz serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
30-40
6-5
game 11
A. Michelsen serving
BREAK
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
40-30
40-40
A-40
5-5
game 10
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
4-5
game 9
A. Michelsen serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
30-30
30-40
40-40
40-A
40-40
A-40
40-40
40-A
4-4
game 8
C. Alcaraz serving
15-0
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
3-4
game 7
A. Michelsen serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
A-40
40-40
A-40
2-4
game 6
C. Alcaraz serving
BREAK
0-15
0-30
0-40
15-40
30-40
2-3
game 5
A. Michelsen serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
30-30
30-40
2-2
game 4
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
30-30
40-30
1-2
game 3
A. Michelsen serving
0-15
0-30
15-30
15-40
30-40
1-1
game 2
C. Alcaraz serving
0-15
15-15
30-15
40-15
0-1
game 1
A. Michelsen serving
15-0
15-15
15-30
15-40
30-40
40-40
40-A
Point chips read C. Alcaraz first · highlighted border marks the point winner.
Win probability
C. AlcarazA. Michelsen
90%
Model confidence
Why the model thinks so
- Better ranking (+31 places)
- 2 tiers above
- Dominant on this surface (86% win rate)
- More effective serve
How the model did
Predicted C. Alcaraz
— correct
C. Alcaraz
1.17
consensus price, since opening
A. Michelsen
5.00
consensus price, since opening
Match winnerdecimal
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen
10bet
1.14 ▼
5.00 ▲
1xBet
1.18
5.33 ▲
888Sport
1.17 ▼
5.00 ▲
Bet365
1.14 ▼
5.50 ▲
Betsson
1.15 ▼
5.20 ▲
Betway
1.15
5.25
Bwin
1.16 ▼
5.00 ▲
Interwetten
1.15 ▼
5.50 ▲
Marathon
1.18
4.85
Novibet
1.17 ▼
5.50 ▲
SportingBet
1.16 ▼
5.00 ▲
Unibet
1.16 ▼
5.25 ▲
Vistabet
1.16 ▼
5.00 ▲
William Hill
1.17 ▼
5.00 ▲
fonbet
1.16 ▼
5.20 ▲
Consensus
1.16 ▼
5.20 ▼
O/U Games 20.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.85
1.85
1xBet
1.89 ▲
1.97 ▼
888Sport
1.80
1.91
Bet365
1.91 ▲
1.80 ▼
Betsson
1.86 ▲
1.84 ▼
Betway
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▼
Bwin
1.80
1.87
Interwetten
1.85 ▲
1.85 ▼
Novibet
1.87 ▲
1.83 ▼
SportingBet
1.80
1.87
Unibet
1.90 ▲
1.87 ▼
Vistabet
1.80
1.87
William Hill
1.80
1.91
Consensus
1.84 ▲
1.87 ▼
O/U Games 21.00Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.95 ▲
1.75 ▼
1xBet
1.86 ▲
1.85 ▼
Marathon
1.86 ▲
1.85 ▼
Consensus
1.89 ▲
1.82 ▼
Games Handicap -4.50Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen
10bet
1.85 ▼
1.83 ▲
1xBet
1.97 ▼
1.89 ▲
888Sport
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Bet365
1.73 ▼
2.00 ▲
Betsson
2.00 ▲
1.73 ▼
Betway
1.80 ▼
1.90 ▲
Bwin
1.91
1.75
Interwetten
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
Novibet
1.83 ▼
1.85 ▲
SportingBet
1.91
1.75
Unibet
1.85 ▲
1.93 ▼
Vistabet
1.91
1.75
William Hill
1.85 ▼
1.85 ▲
Consensus
1.87
1.85 ▲
Odd/Even GamesFull Match
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
10bet
2.20
1.60
1xBet
2.30 ▲
1.56 ▼
Betsson
1.93
1.78
Betway
1.85
1.85
Marathon
1.86
1.86
Unibet
1.93
1.78
William Hill
1.85
1.85
Consensus
2.01 ▲
1.74 ▼
O/U Sets 2.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
2.88
1.36
1xBet
2.85 ▲
1.38 ▼
Betsson
2.85 ▼
1.37 ▲
Betway
3.00
1.30
Marathon
2.81 ▲
1.39 ▼
Novibet
2.85 ▲
1.38
Unibet
2.90 ▲
1.37
William Hill
2.75 ▲
1.40 ▼
fonbet
2.95 ▲
1.37
Consensus
2.88 ▲
1.37
Set Handicap -1.50Full Match
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen
10bet
1.53 ▼
2.38 ▲
1xBet
1.58 ▼
2.26 ▲
Betsson
1.53 ▼
2.34
Betway
1.50 ▲
2.40 ▼
Bwin
1.48 ▼
2.40 ▲
Interwetten
1.50 ▼
2.40 ▲
Novibet
1.53
2.35 ▲
SportingBet
1.48 ▼
2.40 ▲
Unibet
1.56 ▲
2.40 ▲
Vistabet
1.48 ▼
2.40 ▲
William Hill
1.60 ▼
2.25 ▲
fonbet
1.55 ▼
2.40 ▲
Consensus
1.53 ▲
2.36 ▲
Player O/U Games 11.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Unibet
1.07
8.50 ▲
William Hill
1.07
7.50
Consensus
1.07
8.00 ▲
O/U Double Faults 4.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.40
2.75
Consensus
1.40
2.75
O/U Tie Breaks 0.50Full Match
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
3.25
1.33
Novibet
3.00
1.36
Consensus
3.00 ▼
1.36 ▲
Match Winner1st Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen
10bet
1.25
3.75
1xBet
1.30
3.26
888Sport
1.29 ▼
3.50 ▲
Bet365
1.22 ▼
4.33 ▲
Betsson
1.25 ▼
3.70 ▲
Betway
1.22
3.80
Bwin
1.26
3.60
Interwetten
1.25
3.60
Marathon
1.30
3.26
Novibet
1.23 ▼
4.20 ▲
SportingBet
1.26
3.60
Unibet
1.25
3.80 ▲
Vistabet
1.26
3.60
William Hill
1.29 ▼
3.50 ▲
fonbet
1.25 ▼
3.85 ▲
Consensus
1.26 ▼
3.72 ▲
O/U Games 7.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
10bet
1.10
7.00
1xBet
1.04 ▼
7.50 ▲
Betway
1.10 ▲
5.75 ▼
Marathon
1.07 ▲
6.60 ▼
Novibet
1.09
6.00 ▼
fonbet
1.06 ▲
7.40 ▼
Consensus
1.08 ▲
6.73 ▼
Games Handicap -4.501st Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen
William Hill
7.50
1.07
fonbet
8.00 ▼
1.05 ▲
Consensus
7.75 ▼
1.06
Odd/Even Games1st Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
2.11 ▲
1.66
Betway
1.80 ▲
1.90 ▼
Marathon
1.85 ▲
1.87 ▼
Novibet
2.10
1.62 ▼
Consensus
2.00 ▲
1.73 ▼
Player O/U Games 3.501st Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
William Hill
1.08 ▼
7.00 ▲
Consensus
1.08 ▼
7.00 ▲
Match Winner2nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen
1xBet
1.23 ▼
3.80 ▲
888Sport
1.29 ▼
3.50 ▲
Betway
1.22
3.80
Bwin
1.24 ▼
3.80 ▲
Interwetten
1.25
3.60
Marathon
1.25
3.62
Novibet
1.25 ▼
3.70 ▲
SportingBet
1.24 ▼
3.80 ▲
Unibet
1.27 ▲
3.75 ▲
Vistabet
1.24 ▼
3.80 ▲
William Hill
1.29 ▼
3.50 ▲
Consensus
1.25 ▼
3.71 ▲
O/U Games 7.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
Novibet
1.11 ▲
5.75
Consensus
1.11 ▲
5.75
Games Handicap -2.502nd Set
Bookmaker
C. Alcaraz
A. Michelsen
1xBet
2.04 ▼
1.69 ▲
Marathon
2.12 ▼
1.64 ▲
Novibet
2.10 ▼
1.67 ▲
Consensus
2.07 ▼
1.68 ▲
Odd/Even Games2nd Set
Bookmaker
Odd
Even
1xBet
1.94 ▲
1.79 ▼
Marathon
1.92 ▲
1.80 ▼
Novibet
1.95
1.75
Consensus
1.95 ▲
1.77 ▼
Player O/U Games 5.502nd Set
Bookmaker
Over
Under
1xBet
1.15 ▼
4.80 ▲
Marathon
1.16
4.65 ▼
Consensus
1.15 ▼
4.80 ▲