Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City.

90+6'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

90+6'

Murillo

Attempt blocked. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

90+4'

Jair

Yellow card for Jair (Nottingham Forest) for foul.

90+1'

C. Yirenkyi

Substitution, Coventry City: J. Latibeaudiere comes on for C. Yirenkyi.

90'

6 minutes of added time.

88'

I. Jesus

VAR check complete: the goal for Nottingham Forest stands.

85'

X. Schlager

Attempt blocked. X. Schlager (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

83'

D. Muñoz

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: L. Netz comes on for D. Muñoz.

83'

J. McAtee

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: I. Sangaré comes on for J. McAtee.

80'

B. Thomas-Asante

Attempt missed. B. Thomas-Asante (Coventry City), header from a set piece. xG 0.03.

79'

I. Jesus

Attempt blocked. I. Jesus (Nottingham Forest), header. xG 0.06.

77'

L. Delap

Attempt missed. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

76'

I. Jesus

Cleared off the line! I. Jesus (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.21.

74'

J. Rudoni

Substitution, Coventry City: E. Simms comes on for J. Rudoni.

74'

Coventry City

Offside, Coventry City.

73'

O. Diomande

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: C. Wood comes on for O. Diomande.

72'

L. Delap

Attempt missed. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

69'

N. Williams

Attempt blocked. N. Williams (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.04.

64'

Nottingham Forest

Offside, Nottingham Forest.

63'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

61'

O. Diomande

Attempt missed. O. Diomande (Nottingham Forest), header from a corner. xG 0.05.

60'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

59'

D. Ndoye

Substitution, Nottingham Forest: I. Jesus comes on for D. Ndoye.

59'

L. Delap

Yellow card for L. Delap (Nottingham Forest) for argument.

58'

B. Thomas

Attempt missed. B. Thomas (Coventry City), header from a set piece. xG 0.06.

55'

J. DaSilva

Goal! Nottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City. J. DaSilva (Coventry City) scores, assisted by C. Rushworth.

53'

L. Tchaouna

Attempt saved. L. Tchaouna (Coventry City), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.04.

49'

Coventry City

Corner, Coventry City.

47'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

47'

D. Muñoz

Attempt blocked. D. Muñoz (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.07.

47'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

46'

J. McAtee

Attempt blocked. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

46'

M. Ephron

Substitution, Coventry City: L. Tchaouna comes on for M. Ephron.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Nottingham Forest 0-0 Coventry City.

45+1'

X. Schlager

Attempt blocked. X. Schlager (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

45'

1 minute of added time.

43'

Coventry City

Offside, Coventry City.

40'

Coventry City

Corner, Coventry City.

38'

Murillo

Attempt missed. Murillo (Nottingham Forest), header from a corner. xG 0.06.

37'

Nottingham Forest

Corner, Nottingham Forest.

37'

J. McAtee

Attempt blocked. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

35'

D. Ndoye

Attempt blocked. D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

35'

L. Delap

Attempt blocked. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

35'

D. Muñoz

Attempt missed. D. Muñoz (Nottingham Forest), header. xG 0.04.

35'

Jair

Attempt missed. Jair (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

35'

L. Delap

Attempt missed. L. Delap (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.01.

34'

M. Ephron

Attempt blocked. M. Ephron (Coventry City), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

29'

Nottingham Forest

Offside, Nottingham Forest.

29'

N. Williams

Attempt blocked. N. Williams (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

28'

B. Thomas-Asante

Attempt missed. B. Thomas-Asante (Coventry City), header. xG 0.03.

25'

J. DaSilva

Attempt missed. J. DaSilva (Coventry City), left-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.05.

20'

N. Williams

Attempt saved. N. Williams (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

18'

D. Ndoye

Attempt missed. D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

16'

B. Thomas-Asante

Attempt saved. B. Thomas-Asante (Coventry City), left-footed shot. xG 0.05.

15'

M. Grimes

Attempt missed. M. Grimes (Coventry City), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

13'

D. Ndoye

Attempt missed. D. Ndoye (Nottingham Forest), right-footed shot. xG 0.06.

13'

J. McAtee

Attempt blocked. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.06.

3'

J. Rudoni

Attempt missed. J. Rudoni (Coventry City), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.09.

1'

J. McAtee

Attempt saved. J. McAtee (Nottingham Forest), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

1'

Kick-off: Nottingham Forest vs Coventry City.

Where the money is

4742780 EUR matched · captured 1 month, 1 week ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 3143849 EUR · live

Home 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

48.1%

+48.0 vs price

Away 1.07 · implied 93.5%

45.5%

-48.0 vs price

Draw 15.0 · implied 6.7%

8.3%

+1.6 vs price

Half time 2186 EUR

Home 2.28 · implied 43.9%

51.1%

+7.2 vs price

Draw 2.54 · implied 39.4%

34.6%

-4.8 vs price

Away 6.0 · implied 16.7%

14.2%

-2.4 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 356361 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

77.5%

-21.5 vs price

Over 200.0 · implied 0.5%

22.5%

+22.0 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 2786 EUR

Under 1.17 · implied 85.5%

67.2%

-18.3 vs price

Over 6.8 · implied 14.7%

32.8%

+18.1 vs price

20 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 2 clips

Player of the match

Match events

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 L. Tchaouna ◂ M. Ephron

55' ⚽ J. DaSilva · assist C. Rushworth0–1

59' 🔁 I. Jesus ◂ D. Ndoye

59' L. Delap · Argument

73' 🔁 C. Wood ◂ O. Diomande

74' 🔁 E. Simms ◂ J. Rudoni

83' 🔁 I. Sangaré ◂ J. McAtee

83' 🔁 L. Netz ◂ D. Muñoz

88' VAR Goal not given after review · I. Jesus

Full-time · 0–1

90'⁺¹ 🔁 J. Latibeaudiere ◂ C. Yirenkyi

90'⁺⁴ Jair · Foul

Coaches

Oliver Glasner

Frank Lampard

Recent form

Nottingham Forest

WAAston Villa2-1

DHTottenham Hotspur0-0

DALiverpool FC2-2

LHLeeds United0-2

LHLeeds United0-1

Coventry City

LHAston Villa1-3

LHBrighton & Hove Albion0-5

LAManchester City0-1

LHHull City0-1

WAPlymouth Argyle4-2

About this match

**Forest welcome a wounded Sky Blues side looking to stay unbeaten at home** — Nottingham's been solid lately, and Coventry's injury list reads like a horror movie. 🔴

Forest picked up a gutsy win at Villa Park and held Spurs to a stalemate; Coventry's meanwhile crashed 5-0 at Brighton and lost three of their last four. The home crowd should feel the difference here.

Key storylines:

- **Nottingham Forest's midfield mettle** — McAtee, Schlager, and Sangaré anchoring possession against a patched-up Coventry engine room
- **Coventry's injury crisis in full swing** — Onyeka, Wright, Eccles, Kesler-Hayden, and Woolfenden all out; depth stretched thin
- **Forest's front three pressing for goals** — Ndoye, Jesus, and Gibbs-White taking aim at a depleted backline

Expected lineups:

- **Nottingham Forest**: Sels, Williams, Milenković, Murillo, Aina, McAtee, Schlager, Sangaré, Ndoye, Jesus, Gibbs-White
- **Coventry City**: Rushworth, DaSilva, B. Thomas, Amenda, van Ewijk, Grimes, Torp, Ephron, Rudoni, Tchaouna, Thomas-Asante

Prediction:

**Forest 2-0 Coventry**. Slight favorite at home with Coventry's squad stretched too thin to mount real resistance. 🎯

Where to watch

beIN SPORTS 1

Match facts

Stadium

City Ground

City

Nottingham

Referee

Jarred Gillett

4.09 yellows/match · 45 matches

Kickoff

19 Sep, 16:30 UTC

Competition

Premier League

Highlights & clips

Nottingham Forest 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1 Coventry City

26 M. Sels 6.0 23 Jair 6.6 9 C. Wood 6.7 ↑ 73' 5 Murillo 7.5 25 L. Netz 6.6 ↑ 83' 6 I. Sangaré 6.7 ↑ 83' 21 X. Schlager 7.4 3 N. Williams 7.3 10 M. Gibbs-White 8.1 11 I. Jesus 6.4 ↑ 59' 19 L. Delap 6.9 19 C. Rushworth 7.0 12 S. Mfuni 7.2 4 B. Thomas 8.2 2 E. Pinnock 8.1 22 J. Latibeaudiere ↑ 90' 16 F. Onyeka 7.0 6 M. Grimes 7.2 3 J. DaSilva 7.8 9 E. Simms 6.6 ↑ 74' 17 L. Tchaouna 6.5 ↑ 46' 23 B. Thomas-Asante 6.8

Substitutes

12GJ. Victor 2DO. Diomande↓ 73'6.2 34DO. Aina 27MD. Muñoz↓ 83'6.7 24MJ. McAtee↓ 83'6.7 14MD. Ndoye↓ 59'6.6 7MC. Hudson Odoi 8MN. Domínguez 22MR. Yates

Coach: Oliver Glasner

Substitutes

25GD. Bentley 5MJ. Rudoni↓ 74'7.3 8MC. Yirenkyi↓ 90'6.7 10MM. Ephron↓ 46'6.2 7MT. Sakamoto 29MV. Torp 38MG. Hamer 34FY. Gboho 49FS. Cherif

Coach: Frank Lampard

Top stats

62%Possession38%

1.1Expected goals (xG)0.67

24Total shots10

3Shots on target3

1Big chances1

6Corners2

Shots

9Shots off target6

12Blocked shots1

12Shots inside box5

12Shots outside box5

1Big chances scored1

1Big chances missed0

-0.77Goals prevented0.08

Attack

32Touches in box13

61Final third entries56

2Offsides2

10Free kicks12

5Fouled in final third3

Passing

508Passes311

427Accurate passes236

28/57 (49%)Long balls25/61 (41%)

10/32 (31%)Crosses5/14 (36%)

22Throw-ins13

Duels

49Duels51

29/61 (48%)Ground duels32/61 (52%)

23/45 (51%)Aerial duels22/45 (49%)

10/15 (67%)Dribbles8/14 (57%)

7Dispossessed3

Defending

9Tackles12

78Tackles won42

3Interceptions15

26Clearances38

47Recoveries48

Discipline

12Fouls10

2Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

2Saves2

6Goal kicks11

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 25 bookmakers

Forest 58%

24%

Coventry 18%

1X2Forest to win 58% · 1.95 @ 1xBet

Who winsCoventry to win (DNB) 52% · 4.20 @ Betsson

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 53% · 4.33 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 68% · 1.56 @ Pinnacle

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 76% · 2.05 @ William Hill

BTTSBoth teams to score 53% · 3.40 @ Bet365

CornersUnder 9.5 corners 56% · 1.95 @ 1xBet

CornersOver 8.5 corners 56% · 1.57 @ betfair

1X2Draw 24% · 2.70 @ 1xBet

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 68% · 1.40 @ Pinnacle

1X2Coventry to win 18% · 4.90 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.62

Nottingham Forest

4.02

Draw

5.33

Coventry City

Double Chanceconsensus

1.15

Nottingham Forest or Draw

1.20

Nottingham Forest or Coventry City

2.25

Draw or Coventry City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.75

Yes

2.00

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.80

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

9.50

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.02

Over 0.50

12.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.22

Over 1.50

3.98

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.79

Over 2.50

2.02

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

2.94

Over 3.50

1.37

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

6.00

Over 4.50

1.11

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.24

Nottingham Forest

3.90

Coventry City

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.26

Over 7.50

3.17

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.51

Over 8.50

2.42

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.88

Over 9.50

1.95

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.36

Over 10.50

1.54

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

3.21

Over 11.50

1.29

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Nottingham Forest to win or draw

✗

82% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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