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Mario Kovačević
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
FC Thun
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
FC Thun
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG (estimated)
Tap a player for their full match card.
Player of the match
Match events
4'
⚽
B. Labeau · assist N. Zoukit0–1
21'
M. Zajc · Foul
22'
⚽
M. Bürki · assist F. Fehr0–2
26'
B. Goda · Foul
Half-time · 0–2
46'
🔁
M. P. Vinlöf ◂ B. Goda
46'
🔁
M. Gutbub ◂ F. Dursun
58'
🔁
N. Maier ◂ N. Zoukit
58'
🔁
F. Topić ◂ M. Lisica
58'
🔁
L. Kačavenda ◂ G. Vidović
59'
🔁
A. Hoxha ◂ M. Oršić
62'
J. Mišić · Foul
64'
F. Topić · Argument
67'
M. Bürki · Professional foul last man
68'
🔁
N. Bürgy ◂ B. Labeau
74'
⚽
D. D. Beljo · assist M. Valinčić1–2
77'
🔁
L. Dähler ◂ N. Reichmuth
78'
⚽
L. Kačavenda · assist F. Topić2–2
Full-time · 2–2
91'
🔁
N. Galešić ◂ S. Domínguez
106'
🔁
C. Ibayi ◂ F. Fehr
112'
⚽
M. Valinčić · assist J. Mišić3–2
116'
C. Ibayi · Foul
116'
🔁
L. Stewart ◂ J. Roth
ET · 3–2
120'
A. Hoxha · Argument
120'+2
🔁
S. Radeljić ◂ J. Mišić
-5'
G. L. Privitelli · Argument
Coaches
Mario KovačevićGian Luca Privitelli 
Recent form
GNK Dinamo ZagrebDAFC Thun1-1
DHLNZ Cherkasy0-0
WHFC Koper4-2
WABrinje Grosuplje9-0
WAKalcer Radomlje3-0
FC ThunWAFC Luzern3-1
DHGNK Dinamo Zagreb1-1
LASV Waldhof Mannheim1-2
DASV 07 Elversberg1-1
WHNeuchâtel Xamax6-2
Where to watch
SRF zwei
SRF zwei
Match facts
Stadium
Stadion Maksimir
City
Zagreb
Referee
Radoslav Gidzhenov
Kickoff
28 Jul, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Champions League
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
4-1-4-1 · 4-4-2
FC Thun
44
I. Filipović
6.1
25
M. Valinčić
8.5
15
N. Galešić
6.9
↑ 91'
26
S. McKenna
6.9
22
M. P. Vinlöf
7.1
↑ 46'
6
S. Radeljić
↑ 120'
80
L. Kačavenda
7.4
↑ 58'
30
F. Topić
7.1
↑ 58'
8
M. Zajc
7.7
11
A. Hoxha
7.1
↑ 59'
9
D. D. Beljo
7.8
1
N. Steffen
7.2
18
C. Ibayi
6.4
↑ 106'
19
J. Bamert
6.3
23
M. Bürki
6.6
27
M. Heule
6.3
37
L. Dähler
6.6
↑ 77'
11
L. Stewart
6.4
↑ 116'
30
N. Maier
6.5
↑ 58'
78
V. Matoshi
6.7
33
M. Gutbub
6.1
↑ 46'
5
N. Bürgy
6.4
↑ 68'
Substitutes
1GD. Zagorac
33GI. Nevistić
36DS. Domínguez↓ 91'7.8
3DB. Goda↓ 46'6.1
13DP. B. Tabinas
27MJ. Mišić↓ 120'6.8
99MM. Oršić↓ 59'6.5
21MM. Lisica↓ 58'6.4
10MG. Vidović↓ 58'6.3
41MS. Šunta
Coach: Mario Kovačević
Substitutes
25GT. Spycher
47DF. Fehr↓ 106'6.5
17DA. Balaruban
54DL. Passavant
13MN. Zoukit↓ 58'7.3
70MN. Reichmuth↓ 77'6.9
16MJ. Roth↓ 116'6.7
21MD. Derbaci
52MA. Ilic
96FB. Labeau↓ 68'6.9
9FF. Dursun↓ 46'6.1
80FS. Lengen
Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
Top stats
76%Possession24%
2.25Expected goals (xG, estimated)1.12
29Total shots8
6Shots on target3
4Big chances1
14Corners1
Shots
16Shots off target2
7Blocked shots3
18Shots inside box6
11Shots outside box2
1Hit woodwork0
2Big chances scored1
2Big chances missed0
Attack
48Touches in box15
82Final third entries60
0Offsides3
13Free kicks15
2Fouled in final third0
Passing
702Passes231
618Accurate passes134
29/56 (52%)Long balls20/75 (27%)
10/46 (22%)Crosses2/7 (29%)
35Throw-ins24
Duels
54Duels46
25/55 (45%)Ground duels30/55 (55%)
24/35 (69%)Aerial duels12/36 (33%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles2/4 (50%)
6Dispossessed4
Defending
6Tackles14
83Tackles won50
4Interceptions10
34Clearances51
48Recoveries42
Discipline
15Fouls13
5Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
Goalkeeping
1Saves4
9Goal kicks21
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 30 bookmakers
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 1.59 @ 1xBet
Who winsDinamo to win (DNB) 84% · 1.20 @ Bet365
1X2Dinamo to win 69% · 1.51 @ Bwin
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.21 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.85 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.50 @ 888Sport
BTTSBoth teams to score 52% · 1.73 @ Bet365
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.75 @ Betsson
1X2Draw 18% · 4.70 @ Interwetten
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.61 @ Betway
1X2Thun to win 12% · 6.25 @ Marathon
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.48
GNK Dinamo Zagreb ▲
4.49
Draw ▲
5.87
FC Thun ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.13
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw ▲
1.19
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or FC Thun ▲
2.59
Draw or FC Thun ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes ▼
2.12
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50 ▼
13.23
Under 0.50 ▼
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50 ▼
4.95
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.54
Over 2.50 ▼
2.40
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.35
Over 3.50 ▼
1.58
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.05
Over 4.50 ▼
1.24
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.18
GNK Dinamo Zagreb ▲
4.45
FC Thun ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.75
Under 4.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.06
Over 5.50
8.87
Under 5.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.14
Over 6.50
5.17
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.24
Over 7.50 ▼
3.60
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.45
Over 8.50 ▲
2.58
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.75
Over 9.50 ▼
1.95
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.22
Over 10.50 ▼
1.59
Under 10.50 ▲
1.8 – 1.8Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~11Expected corners
Bets worth taking in this match
Bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.52
we give it 62 chances out of 100 — and the odds pay better than that
62%
value bet
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BETOver 2.5 goalsGoals | 62% | 61% | 1.52 | Fair | medium |
| Dinamo to win (DNB)Who wins | 84% | 84% | 1.12 | Fair | high |
| Dinamo to win1X2 | 69% | 69% | 1.35 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 82% | 81% | 1.15 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.83 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.5 | Overpriced | medium |
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 52% | 52% | 1.78 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 61% | 61% | 1.51 | Overpriced | medium |
| Draw1X2 | 18% | 18% | 5.1 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 59% | 60% | 1.56 | Overpriced | low |
| Thun to win1X2 | 12% | 12% | 7.59 | Overpriced | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Thun to win (DNB) — we say 53%, they say 16%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 81% | +1% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 58% | +4% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 36% | +5% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 52% | 52% | 0% | No |
| Home win | 69% | 48% | +21% | Yes |
| Draw | 18% | 20% | -2% | No |
| Away win | 12% | 32% | -20% | No |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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