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Dorival Júnior
São Paulo
Bolívar
São Paulo
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Bolívar
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
645289 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
90.5%
-8.5 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
6.0%
+5.9 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.5%
+3.4 vs price
Half time
41860 EUR · live
Home
1.02 · implied 98.0%
94.2%
-3.8 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.4%
+3.3 vs price
Draw
130.0 · implied 0.8%
2.4%
+1.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
237329 EUR · live
Under
2.8 · implied 35.7%
82.6%
+46.9 vs price
Over
1.56 · implied 64.1%
17.4%
-46.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
15713 EUR · live
Under
1.01 · implied 99.0%
95.1%
-3.9 vs price
Over
55.0 · implied 1.8%
4.9%
+3.1 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
15'
E. Saavedra · Foul
18'
⚽
Luciano · assist Danielzinho1–0
27'
D. Asprilla · Argument
27'
Danielzinho · Foul
40'
S. Echeverria · Foul
Half-time · 1–0
58'
A. Buta · Foul
61'
⚽
D. Asprilla · assist P. Rodríguez1–1
64'
P. Rodríguez · Foul
65'
VAR
Penalty check · Sabino
68'
⚽
J. Calleri (pen)2–1
71'
🔁
B. Arce ◂ S. Echeverria
71'
🔁
E. Vaca ◂ E. Saavedra
71'
🔁
D. Batallini ◂ P. Rodríguez
72'
🔁
L. Ramon ◂ A. Buta
76'
⚽
Sabino · assist Artur3–1
79'
Luciano · Time wasting
80'
🔁
Ferreira ◂ Artur
80'
🔁
P. Maia ◂ Luciano
86'
🔁
A. Silva ◂ J. Calleri
86'
🔁
Victor Sá ◂ M. Antônio
88'
🔁
B. Miranda ◂ R. Matheus
88'
🔁
M. Cauteruccio ◂ D. Romero
Full-time · 3–1
Coaches
Dorival JúniorAlejandro Restrepo 
Recent form
São PauloDHCoritiba1-1
DABolívar1-1
LAGrêmio1-2
DAFlamengo1-1
LHAthletico1-2
BolívarDHSão Paulo1-1
WAGrêmio1-0
WHGrêmio3-2
LHIndependiente Rivadavia1-3
LAFluminense1-2
Where to watch
Tigo Sports 1
BetanoDisney+ESPNSBT
Sportdigital FUSSBALLSportdigital+
Match facts
Stadium
MorumBIS
City
Sao Paulo
Kickoff
19 Aug, 00:30 UTC
Competition
Copa Sudamericana
Highlights & clips
São Paulo
4-4-2 · 4-4-2
Bolívar
23
Rafael
6.2
19
L. Ramon
6.9
↑ 72'
22
D. Duarte
7.3
35
Sabino
7.7
12
I. Borduchi
7.3
11
Ferreira
6.6
↑ 80'
28
Newton
6.7
94
Danielzinho
7.5
27
Victor Sá
6.3
↑ 86'
29
P. Maia
6.6
↑ 80'
17
A. Silva
6.4
↑ 86'
1
C. Lampe
7.2
2
J. Sagredo
6.0
3
X. Arreaga
6.1
6
E. Vaca
6.7
↑ 71'
4
J. Sagredo
6.0
11
B. Miranda
6.4
↑ 88'
80
C. Melgar
7.1
10
B. Arce
6.5
↑ 71'
99
D. Batallini
6.5
↑ 71'
9
M. Cauteruccio
6.4
↑ 88'
27
D. Asprilla
7.4
Substitutes
31GC. Coronel
20DA. Buta↓ 72'6.2
18DWendell
54DL. Osorio
37MArtur↓ 80'7.2
8MM. Antônio↓ 86'6.7
80MCauly
46MP. Ferreira
48MD. Ferreira
10FLuciano↓ 80'7.3
9FJ. Calleri↓ 86'7.2
49FR. Francisco
Coach: Dorival Júnior
Substitutes
13GD. Méndez
5DS. Echeverria↓ 71'6.0
35DE. Rivero
8DL. F. Paz
33DF. Mena
16DL. Zabala
14MR. Matheus↓ 88'6.4
26ME. Saavedra↓ 71'6.2
20MC. Sejas
7MJ. Velásquez
17FP. Rodríguez↓ 71'6.5
77FD. Romero↓ 88'6.4
Coach: Alejandro Restrepo
Top stats
50%Possession50%
1.61Expected goals (xG)0.13
12Total shots5
4Shots on target2
5Big chances0
4Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target1
2Blocked shots2
10Shots inside box1
2Shots outside box4
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances scored0
2Big chances missed0
-0.56Goals prevented-0.23
Attack
22Touches in box15
66Final third entries42
1Offsides2
10Free kicks17
3Fouled in final third3
Passing
402Passes415
324Accurate passes340
22/44 (50%)Long balls30/55 (55%)
4/19 (21%)Crosses3/10 (30%)
21Throw-ins12
Duels
48Duels52
30/62 (48%)Ground duels32/62 (52%)
9/19 (47%)Aerial duels10/19 (53%)
7/15 (47%)Dribbles3/10 (30%)
4Dispossessed8
Defending
15Tackles12
60Tackles won75
11Interceptions9
19Clearances15
46Recoveries43
Discipline
17Fouls11
3Yellow cards4
Goalkeeping
1Saves1
0Big saves1
3Goal kicks8
1Punches0
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 61 bookmakers
Who winsSão Paulo to win (DNB) 83% · 1.23 @ merkurxtip
1X2São Paulo to win 67% · 1.80 @ 888Sport
CornersOver 9.5 corners 53%
CornersOver 8.5 corners 65%
BTTSBTTS: No 54% · 1.89 @ fanduel
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 52% · 1.89 @ betfair
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 75% · 1.28 @ betfair
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 71% · 1.05 @ 888Sport
1X2Draw 20% · 2.95 @ kto
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 58%
1X2Bolívar to win 13% · 7.10 @ efbet.net
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.41
São Paulo ▲
4.40
Draw ▲
7.51
Bolívar ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.09
São Paulo or Draw ▲
1.19
São Paulo or Bolívar
2.72
Draw or Bolívar ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.97
Yes ▼
1.74
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.03
Over 0.50
10.81
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.23
Over 1.50
3.79
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.77
Over 2.50 ▲
1.99
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.88
Over 3.50
1.37
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
5.36
Over 4.50 ▼
1.13
Under 4.50 ▲
Draw No Betconsensus
1.13
São Paulo ▲
5.50
Bolívar ▼
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.08
Over 6.50
7.15
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 12.50consensus
3.19
Over 12.50
1.28
Under 12.50
Total Corners (O/U) 13.50consensus
4.52
Over 13.50
1.16
Under 13.50
European Handicap -3.00consensus
7.74
São Paulo -3 ▼
6.11
Draw -3 ▼
1.22
Bolívar +3 ▲
Odd / Even Goalsconsensus
1.88
Over ▲
1.85
E
Total Cards 5.50consensus
1.92
Over 5.50
1.78
Under 5.50
Total Cards 6.50consensus
2.73
Over 6.50
1.37
Under 6.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
São Paulo to win or draw
✓
87% confidence
São Paulo to avoid defeat
✓
83% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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