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Michael Bradley
New York Red Bulls
Charlotte FC
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Charlotte FC
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Goal
On target
Off target
Blocked
● size = xG
Tap a player for their full match card.
Highlights 1 clip
Player of the match
Match events
7'
⚽
P. Biel · assist L. Abada0–1
12'
⚽
A. Westwood · assist K. C. Vargas0–2
Half-time · 0–2
47'
L. Abada · Foul
56'
J. Ruvalcaba · Argument
61'
🔁
W. Cleary ◂ H. Toffolo
70'
🔁
M. Jiménez ◂ E. Forsberg
70'
🔁
J. Marshall-Rutty ◂ D. Nealis
70'
🔁
M. Sofo ◂ C. Cowell
71'
🔁
D. Diani ◂ L. D. L. Torre
71'
🔁
T. Smalls ◂ L. Abada
76'
A. Mehmeti · Foul
82'
🔁
B. Bronico ◂ P. Biel
82'
🔁
A. Goodwin ◂ I. Toklomati
84'
🔁
A. Rojas ◂ J. Ruvalcaba
84'
🔁
O. Valencia ◂ M. D. Santos
85'
O. Valencia · Foul
Full-time · 0–2
90'+1
J. Che · Foul
90'+3
A. Mehmeti · Argument
Coaches
Michael BradleyDean Smith 
Recent form
New York Red BullsLAPhiladelphia Union1-3
WASporting Kansas City2-1
DHNew York City FC1-1
WHColumbus Crew3-2
WAChicago Fire3-1
Charlotte FCDHAtlanta United2-2
WHNew England Revolution1-0
WHToronto FC3-1
LHNew York City FC0-1
DHFC Cincinnati2-2
Where to watch
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Match facts
Stadium
Sports Illustrated Stadium
City
Harrison
Referee
Rosendo Mendoza
Kickoff
25 Jul, 22:30 UTC
Competition
MLS
Highlights & clips
New York Red Bulls
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Charlotte FC
34
E. Horvath
6.1
3
J. Marshall-Rutty
6.8
↑ 70'
2
J. Che
6.6
14
J. Bazán
6.6
5
O. Valencia
6.4
↑ 84'
48
R. Donkor
7.7
15
A. Mehmeti
6.9
37
M. Sofo
6.4
↑ 70'
91
M. Jiménez
6.6
↑ 70'
16
J. Hall
6.3
70
A. Rojas
6.7
↑ 84'
1
K. Kahlina
8.6
14
N. Byrne
6.8
44
A. Morrison
7.6
22
H. Kessler
7.5
35
W. Cleary
6.7
↑ 61'
8
A. Westwood
8.5
28
D. Diani
6.9
↑ 71'
18
K. C. Vargas
7.5
13
B. Bronico
6.7
↑ 82'
25
T. Smalls
6.9
↑ 71'
7
A. Goodwin
6.3
↑ 82'
Substitutes
77GJ. McCarthy
56DM. D. Santos↓ 84'7.0
12DD. Nealis↓ 70'6.6
26DT. Parker
11MJ. Ruvalcaba↓ 84'6.9
10ME. Forsberg↓ 70'6.3
4MG. Berggren
80MN. Worth
7FC. Cowell↓ 70'6.4
Coach: Michael Bradley
Top stats
65%Possession35%
2.38Expected goals (xG)0.29
24Total shots4
6Shots on target3
3Big chances1
6Corners1
Shots
11Shots off target1
7Blocked shots0
20Shots inside box3
4Shots outside box1
1Hit woodwork0
3Big chances missed1
-0.88Goals prevented1.06
Attack
51Touches in box15
83Final third entries42
1Offsides1
5Free kicks14
1Fouled in final third2
Passing
644Passes351
575Accurate passes271
21/39 (54%)Long balls31/67 (46%)
5/22 (23%)Crosses3/5 (60%)
21Throw-ins17
Duels
43Duels57
30/66 (45%)Ground duels36/66 (55%)
7/21 (33%)Aerial duels14/21 (67%)
7/14 (50%)Dribbles7/22 (32%)
8Dispossessed3
Defending
18Tackles15
72Tackles won47
11Interceptions11
11Clearances23
53Recoveries40
Discipline
14Fouls5
5Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
Goalkeeping
1Saves6
1Big saves0
1Goal kicks16
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 40 bookmakers
BTTSBoth teams to score 68% · 1.41 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65% · 1.45 @ Novibet
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84% · 1.14 @ Betano
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.87 @ Novibet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.52 @ Unibet
1X2Charlotte to win 33% · 2.95 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 24% · 4.00 @ Bet365
1X2NY Red Bulls to win 43% · 2.29 @ Pinnacle
Who winsNY Red Bulls to win (DNB) 57% · 1.71 @ Pinnacle
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.58 @ Pinnacle
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 55% · 1.83 @ Pinnacle
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.13
New York Red Bulls ▲
3.84
Draw ▼
2.58
Charlotte FC ▲
Double Chanceconsensus
1.35
New York Red Bulls or Draw ▼
1.23
New York Red Bulls or Charlotte FC ▼
1.55
Draw or Charlotte FC ▲
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.38
Yes ▼
2.89
No ▼
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50 ▼
17.92
Under 0.50 ▲
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.13
Over 1.50 ▲
5.50
Under 1.50 ▼
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.45
Over 2.50 ▲
2.70
Under 2.50 ▼
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.10
Over 3.50 ▲
1.71
Under 3.50 ▼
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.45
Over 4.50 ▲
1.30
Under 4.50 ▼
Draw No Betconsensus
1.62
New York Red Bulls ▼
2.00
Charlotte FC ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
12.25
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
8.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50 ▼
5.33
Under 6.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.27
Over 7.50 ▲
3.39
Under 7.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.48
Over 8.50 ▲
2.45
Under 8.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.81
Over 9.50 ▼
1.89
Under 9.50 ▲
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.29
Over 10.50 ▲
1.54
Under 10.50 ▼
1.7 – 1.6Expected goals
1-1Most likely score
~10Expected corners
No bet in this match — nothing offers both a real edge and a worthwhile price. The full breakdown is below for the curious.
Every market recommended rows highlighted
| Our call | How likely | Bookmakers say | Their odds | Price check | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to scoreBTTS | 68% | 68% | 1.38 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 2.5 goalsGoals | 65% | 67% | 1.4 | Overpriced | medium |
| Over 1.5 goalsGoals | 84% | 84% | 1.11 | Overpriced | high |
| Over 9.5 cornersCorners | 51% | 51% | 1.81 | Overpriced | low |
| Over 8.5 cornersCorners | 62% | 62% | 1.48 | Overpriced | medium |
| Charlotte to win1X2 | 33% | 33% | 2.86 | Overpriced | low |
| Draw1X2 | 24% | 24% | 3.83 | Overpriced | low |
| NY Red Bulls to win1X2 | 43% | 43% | 2.19 | Overpriced | low |
| NY Red Bulls to win (DNB)Who wins | 57% | 57% | 1.65 | Overpriced | low |
| Under 10.5 cornersCorners | 60% | 60% | 1.55 | Overpriced | medium |
| Under 3.5 goalsGoals | 55% | 53% | 1.77 | Fair | low |
Where we disagree most with the bookmakers: Under 3.5 goals — we say 63%, they say 53%.
Probability vs league average
| Market | This match | League avg | Diff | More likely? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 79% | +5% | Yes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 60% | +5% | Yes |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 37% | +8% | Yes |
| Both teams to score | 68% | 60% | +8% | Yes |
| Home win | 43% | 46% | -3% | No |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0% | No |
| Away win | 33% | 30% | +3% | Yes |
How to read this: "72% · high" means we expect it to happen about 72 times out of 100 — football always keeps the rest. "Worth it above X" is the minimum odds where the pick makes mathematical sense; "Overpriced" means the bookmaker pays less than that. Not betting advice — no outcome is guaranteed.
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