Nashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City: Stats & xG

Commentary

90'

Full-time. Nashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City.

90+5'

W. Madrigal

Goal! Nashville SC 4-0 Sporting Kansas City. W. Madrigal (Nashville SC) converts the penalty.

90+3'

W. Madrigal

VAR: no penalty for Nashville SC.

90+1'

W. Meyer

Attempt missed. W. Meyer (Sporting Kansas City), header. xG 0.05.

90+1'

Sporting Kansas City

Corner, Sporting Kansas City.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

89'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

89'

E. Saad

Attempt blocked. E. Saad (Nashville SC), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

87'

B. Acosta

Attempt blocked. B. Acosta (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

83'

S. Surridge

Substitution, Nashville SC: A. Muyl comes on for S. Surridge.

81'

J. Reid

Substitution, Sporting Kansas City: E. Karić comes on for J. Reid.

79'

Sporting Kansas City

Offside, Sporting Kansas City.

78'

Sporting Kansas City

Corner, Sporting Kansas City.

77'

Sporting Kansas City

Offside, Sporting Kansas City.

76'

M. Corcoran

Substitution, Nashville SC: B. Acosta comes on for M. Corcoran.

76'

H. Mukhtar

Substitution, Nashville SC: W. Madrigal comes on for H. Mukhtar.

75'

K. Agyabeng

Attempt missed. K. Agyabeng (Sporting Kansas City), left-footed shot from a throw-in. xG 0.03.

75'

T. Calheira

Attempt missed. T. Calheira (Sporting Kansas City), shot from a throw-in. xG 0.08.

73'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

72'

S. Surridge

Cleared off the line! S. Surridge (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

69'

I. James

Substitution, Sporting Kansas City: J. Davis comes on for I. James.

68'

A. Najar

Substitution, Nashville SC: D. Lovitz comes on for A. Najar.

68'

C. Espinoza

Substitution, Nashville SC: S. Mohammed comes on for C. Espinoza.

67'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt saved. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a free kick. xG 0.03.

65'

S. Surridge

VAR check complete: the goal for Nashville SC stands.

60'

T. Calheira

Attempt blocked. T. Calheira (Sporting Kansas City), header from a corner. xG 0.07.

60'

T. Calheira

Attempt missed. T. Calheira (Sporting Kansas City), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

60'

Sporting Kansas City

Corner, Sporting Kansas City.

59'

Sporting Kansas City

Corner, Sporting Kansas City.

59'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

58'

Nashville SC

Offside, Nashville SC.

56'

R. Ramos

Attempt blocked. R. Ramos (Sporting Kansas City), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.02.

53'

S. Garfield-Reid

Substitution, Sporting Kansas City: T. Calheira comes on for S. Garfield-Reid.

52'

Sporting Kansas City

Corner, Sporting Kansas City.

49'

S. Surridge

Attempt blocked. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.30.

49'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

46'

Z. Bassong

Substitution, Sporting Kansas City: J. Bartlett comes on for Z. Bassong.

46'

André Luiz

Substitution, Sporting Kansas City: C. Harris comes on for André Luiz.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. Nashville SC 3-0 Sporting Kansas City.

45+1'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt blocked. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.07.

45'

3 minutes of added time.

44'

M. Woledzi

Attempt missed. M. Woledzi (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.02.

43'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

40'

C. Espinoza

Attempt missed. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.15.

36'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt saved. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.40.

32'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

32'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt blocked. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.39.

29'

A. Najar

Goal! Nashville SC 3-0 Sporting Kansas City. A. Najar (Nashville SC) scores, assisted by C. Espinoza.

28'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

25'

S. Surridge

Attempt saved. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.52.

25'

H. Mukhtar

Attempt saved. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

24'

S. Suleymanov

Attempt saved. S. Suleymanov (Sporting Kansas City), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

20'

C. Espinoza

Attempt saved. C. Espinoza (Nashville SC), right-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.06.

19'

Nashville SC

Corner, Nashville SC.

19'

S. Surridge

Attempt saved. S. Surridge (Nashville SC), header. xG 0.11.

17'

S. Surridge

Goal! Nashville SC 2-0 Sporting Kansas City. S. Surridge (Nashville SC) scores, assisted by H. Mukhtar.

12'

André Luiz

Attempt missed. André Luiz (Sporting Kansas City), left-footed shot. xG 0.08.

10'

H. Mukhtar

Goal! Nashville SC 1-0 Sporting Kansas City. H. Mukhtar (Nashville SC) scores, assisted by A. Najar.

6'

Z. Bassong

Attempt missed. Z. Bassong (Sporting Kansas City), left-footed shot. xG 0.15.

1'

Kick-off: Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City.

Where the money is

223452 EUR matched · captured 2 weeks, 4 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 55808 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

91.9%

-7.1 vs price

Away 1000.0 · implied 0.1%

6.0%

+5.9 vs price

Draw 390.0 · implied 0.3%

2.8%

+2.5 vs price

Half time 2429 EUR · live

Home 1.01 · implied 99.0%

52.5%

-46.6 vs price

Draw 3.6 · implied 27.8%

44.3%

+16.5 vs price

Away 12.0 · implied 8.3%

3.2%

-5.1 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 16664 EUR · live

Over 1.05 · implied 95.2%

92.3%

-2.9 vs price

Under 20.0 · implied 5.0%

7.7%

+2.7 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 133 EUR

Over 3.9 · implied 25.6%

81.3%

+55.7 vs price

Under 1.33 · implied 75.2%

18.1%

-57.1 vs price

13 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Highlights 5 clips

Player of the match

Match events

10' ⚽ H. Mukhtar · assist A. Najar1–0

17' ⚽ S. Surridge · assist H. Mukhtar2–0

29' ⚽ A. Najar · assist C. Espinoza3–0

Half-time · 3–0

46' 🔁 C. Harris ◂ André Luiz

46' 🔁 J. Bartlett ◂ Z. Bassong

53' 🔁 T. Calheira ◂ S. Garfield-Reid

65' VAR Goal not given after review · S. Surridge

68' 🔁 S. Mohammed ◂ C. Espinoza

68' 🔁 D. Lovitz ◂ A. Najar

69' 🔁 J. Davis ◂ I. James

76' 🔁 W. Madrigal ◂ H. Mukhtar

76' 🔁 B. Acosta ◂ M. Corcoran

81' 🔁 E. Karić ◂ J. Reid

83' 🔁 A. Muyl ◂ S. Surridge

Full-time · 4–0

90'⁺³ VAR Penalty check · W. Madrigal

90'⁺⁵ ⚽ W. Madrigal (pen)4–0

Coaches

B.J. Callaghan

Raphael Wicky

Recent form

Nashville SC

WAAustin FC4-1

WHToronto FC2-0

WHChicago Fire3-0

DAInter Miami CF2-2

LAToronto FC1-2

Sporting Kansas City

DHPortland Timbers3-3

LASeattle Sounders FC1-2

WAHouston Dynamo2-0

LHPhiladelphia Union3-4

WHLos Angeles FC3-1

About this match

**Nashville's on a heater, and KC's limping in with a brutal injury list.** This feels like a home-field masterclass waiting to happen 🔥

Nashville's rolled off three straight wins at Geodis Park and look untouchable right now. Sporting KC, meanwhile, are dealing with five players out and just dropped a game to Seattle — they're genuinely thin.

Key storylines:

- **H. Mukhtar and S. Surridge** lead a lethal Nashville attack that's conceding almost nothing at home
- **Sporting KC's depleted roster** means they're running on fumes — five absences is brutal depth-wise
- The **head-to-head split** (2-2 in the last four) suggests parity, but form and health paint a different story here

Expected lineups:

- **Nashville SC**: B. Schwake, M. Woledzi, R. Baker-Whiting, P. Yazbek, J. Palacios, C. Espinoza, M. Corcoran, E. Saad, A. Najar, H. Mukhtar, S. Surridge
- **Sporting Kansas City**: S. Cleveland, E. Karić, W. Meyer, J. Reynolds, J. Miller, C. Harris, L. B. Johnsen, K. Agyabeng, Z. Bassong, T. Calheira, S. Afrifa

Prediction:

**Nashville SC 2–0 Sporting Kansas City**. The Visitors are shorthanded and out of rhythm; Nashville's momentum at home is just too much to overcome.

Where to watch

Apple TV (BR)

Match facts

Stadium

Geodis Park

City

Nashville

Referee

Joshua Encarnacion

3.00 yellows/match · 12 matches

Kickoff

15 Oct, 00:30 UTC

Competition

MLS

Highlights & clips

Nashville SC 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 Sporting Kansas City

99 B. Schwake 7.3 2 D. Lovitz 6.9 ↑ 68' 4 J. Palacios 8.0 3 M. Woledzi 7.0 27 R. Baker-Whiting 7.4 20 E. Tagseth 6.7 6 B. Acosta 7.3 ↑ 76' 14 S. Mohammed 6.4 ↑ 68' 41 W. Madrigal 7.0 ↑ 76' 11 E. Saad 8.8 19 A. Muyl 6.7 ↑ 83' 30 S. Cleveland 8.2 8 J. Davis 6.5 ↑ 69' 15 J. Miller 6.6 28 W. Meyer 7.0 18 E. Karić 6.2 ↑ 81' 14 C. Harris 6.8 ↑ 46' 16 J. Bartlett 6.7 ↑ 46' 20 K. Agyabeng 6.7 93 S. Suleymanov 6.6 24 R. Ramos 6.8 19 T. Calheira 6.4 ↑ 53'

Substitutes

1GJ. Willis 31DA. Najar↓ 68'9.2 5DJ. Maher 22DJ. Bauer 7MC. Espinoza↓ 68'7.9 16MM. Corcoran↓ 76'7.4 8MP. Yazbek 10FH. Mukhtar↓ 76'9.1 9FS. Surridge↓ 83'6.9

Coach: B.J. Callaghan

Substitutes

1GJ. Pulskamp 99DJ. Reid↓ 81'6.3 2DI. James↓ 69'6.0 23DE. Bartlow 22MZ. Bassong↓ 46'6.4 7MCapita 29FS. Garfield-Reid↓ 53'6.7 11FAndré Luiz↓ 46'6.0 17FS. Afrifa

Coach: Raphael Wicky

Top stats

49%Possession51%

4.19Expected goals (xG)0.61

18Total shots9

11Shots on target1

7Big chances1

7Corners4

Shots

2Shots off target6

5Blocked shots2

16Shots inside box7

2Shots outside box2

1Hit woodwork0

3Big chances scored0

4Big chances missed1

0.08Goals prevented0.32

Attack

38Touches in box15

48Final third entries40

1Offsides2

9Free kicks14

4Fouled in final third2

Passing

385Passes387

329Accurate passes331

27/51 (53%)Long balls21/37 (57%)

7/15 (47%)Crosses3/16 (19%)

18Throw-ins23

Duels

54Duels46

33/63 (52%)Ground duels30/63 (48%)

9/15 (60%)Aerial duels6/15 (40%)

6/11 (55%)Dribbles6/14 (43%)

7Dispossessed10

Defending

18Tackles12

50Tackles won75

6Interceptions3

23Clearances21

43Recoveries33

Discipline

14Fouls10

0Yellow cards0

0Red cards0

Goalkeeping

1Saves6

0Big saves1

8Goal kicks4

1Punches0

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 15 bookmakers

Nashville 74%

16%

Kansas City 10%

Who winsNashville to win (DNB) 88% · 1.08 @ Betano

1X2Nashville to win 74% · 1.24 @ Bet365

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 65%

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 84%

CornersOver 9.5 corners 51%

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63%

BTTSBoth teams to score 56% · 1.77 @ fonbet

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60%

1X2Draw 16% · 5.75 @ Bet365

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 57%

1X2Kansas City to win 10% · 9.00 @ Bet365

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.24

Nashville SC

5.75

Draw

9.00

Sporting Kansas City

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.71

Yes

2.02

No

Draw No Betconsensus

1.07

Nashville SC

7.88

Sporting Kansas City

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

Nashville SC to win or draw

✓

90% confidence

Nashville SC to avoid defeat

✓

88% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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