Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**San Jose's draw machine meets Nashville's hot streak** — the Earthquakes haven't lost in five but keep cashing draws, while the Sounders-beaters are rolling 🔥
San Jose's been drawing like it's their job (three of their last five), but they scraped a 3-1 home win over Portland to stay unbeaten. Nashville, meanwhile, put **four goals past Sporting KC and Austin** — this is a team humming. The hosts have injury depth issues too, missing five players including D. Johnson and D. Jones.
Key storylines:
- **Nashville's attack vs. San Jose's leaky defense** — four-goal demolitions suggest this is one of MLS's most dangerous front lines right now
- **San Jose's home record** — they beat Portland 3-1 at PayPal Park; can they replicate that or slip back into draw mode?
- **Head-to-head inertia** — four straight draws between these sides; someone's gotta break the pattern
Expected lineups:
- **San Jose Earthquakes**: A. Gunn, D. Romney, D. Munie, R. Roberts, B. Kikanović, B. Leroux, O. Bouda, E. Löwen
- **Nashville SC**: B. Schwake, M. Woledzi, R. Baker-Whiting, J. Palacios, A. Najar, C. Espinoza, M. Corcoran, H. Mukhtar
Prediction:
**Nashville 2–1 San Jose** — the Earthquakes will battle but Nashville's form is too hot to ignore right now.
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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