Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽T. Muyumba
assist B. Slisz
assist B. Slisz
19'
P. Biel
36'
R. Hernández
41'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
⚽I. Toklomati
assist K. C. Vargas
assist K. C. Vargas
46'
🔁P. Amador ◂ E. Morales
46'
⚽W. Zaha
assist P. Biel
assist P. Biel
59'
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ T. Muyumba
72'
🔁S. Lobzhanidze ◂ L. Brennan
72'
🔁B. Lennon ◂ M. Edwards
72'
🔁S. Doumbia ◂ B. Tuiloma
73'
🔁T. Smalls ◂ K. C. Vargas
76'
⚽P. Biel
assist W. Zaha
assist W. Zaha
77'
🔁L. Abram ◂ R. Hernández
84'
⚽E. Latte Lath
assist M. Almirón
assist M. Almirón
86'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
🔁E. Williamson ◂ W. Zaha
90'+2
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoDean Smith 
Recent form
Atlanta UnitedDAtlanta United2-2Chicago Fire
DToronto FC1-1Atlanta United
DDC United0-0Atlanta United
LColumbus Crew3-1Atlanta United
LNew York City FC4-0Atlanta United
Charlotte FCWCharlotte FC2-1DC United
WCharlotte FC2-0New York City FC
DCharlotte FC2-2Orlando City SC
LChicago Fire3-2Charlotte FC
LSporting Kansas City2-1Charlotte FC
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Allen Chapman
Kickoff
19 Jul, 23:30 UTC
54%Possession46%
1.54Expected goals (xG)1.46
19Total shots8
6Shots on target4
3Big chances3
7Corners2
9Fouls14
1Yellow cards1