Live win probability
BSD modelIn-game win probability from our ML pre-match model, updated by score, time and live xG. Something FotMob and Sofascore don't show.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Minute-by-minute pressure. Bars toward a team mean sustained attacking territory.
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedGoalOn targetOff / blocked● size = xG
Timeline
⚽M. Almirón
assist B. Lennon
assist B. Lennon
20'
M. Klich
43'
⚽
45'
⚽
45'
🔁J. Perez ◂ A. Muyl
63'
⚽D. Lovitz
assist H. Mukhtar
assist H. Mukhtar
66'
🔁E. Mosquera ◂ S. Lobzhanidze
67'
🔁B. Slisz ◂ M. Klich
67'
🔁A. Qasem ◂ J. Shaffelburg
77'
B. Slisz
78'
M. Almirón
82'
🔁J. Thiaré ◂ E. Latte Lath
85'
🔁M. Edwards ◂ M. Almirón
85'
🔁J. Bauer ◂ A. Najar
89'
⚽
90'
⚽
90'
J. Perez
90'+3
Coaches
Gerardo MartinoB.J. Callaghan 
Recent form
Atlanta UnitedLOrlando City SC3-0Atlanta United
LPhiladelphia Union3-0Atlanta United
LAtlanta United0-1New England Revolution
DAtlanta United1-1FC Dallas
WAtlanta United4-3New York City FC
Nashville SCWNashville SC7-2Chicago Fire
LSeattle Sounders FC3-0Nashville SC
WNashville SC2-1Real Salt Lake
LCharlotte FC2-1Nashville SC
LNashville SC1-2FC Cincinnati
Match facts
Stadium
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
City
Atlanta
Referee
Sergiy Boyko
Kickoff
03 May, 18:45 UTC
Atlanta United
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Nashville SC
1
B. Guzan
7.2
11
B. Lennon
7.4
3
D. Williams
6.5
44
L. Abram
7.0
18
P. Amador
7.1
59
A. Miranchuk
6.7
43
M. Klich
6.6
9
S. Lobzhanidze
6.4
10
M. Almirón
7.3
35
A. Fortune
7.2
19
E. Latte Lath
6.7
1
J. Willis
6.6
31
A. Najar
7.7
4
J. Palacios
7.1
5
J. Maher
6.9
2
D. Lovitz
7.8
14
J. Shaffelburg
6.8
8
P. Yazbek
6.5
20
E. Tagseth
7.2
19
A. Muyl
6.4
10
H. Mukhtar
7.4
9
S. Surridge
6.7
Substitutes
99B. Slisz6.670E. Mosquera6.547M. Edwards6.714J. Thiaré6.622J. Cohen24N. Cobb2R. Hernández28W. Reilly20L. Brennan
Coach: Gerardo Martino
Substitutes
24J. Perez6.437A. Qasem6.622J. Bauer99B. Schwake23T. Washington33C. Applewhite7G. Brugman6B. Acosta12T. Bunbury
Coach: B.J. Callaghan
37%Possession63%
1.05Expected goals (xG)1.19
6Total shots10
2Shots on target5
1Big chances1
2Corners8
5Fouls6
3Yellow cards1