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Niels Frederiksen
Lech Poznań
FC Thun
Lech Poznań
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
FC Thun
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
165049 EUR · live
Home
1.01 · implied 99.0%
92.8%
-6.2 vs price
Draw
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.8%
+3.7 vs price
Away
1000.0 · implied 0.1%
3.4%
+3.3 vs price
Half time
705 EUR · live
Home
1.03 · implied 97.1%
79.5%
-17.6 vs price
Draw
6.6 · implied 15.2%
10.9%
-4.2 vs price
Away
6.6 · implied 15.2%
9.5%
-5.6 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
14492 EUR · live
Over
1.06 · implied 94.3%
83.7%
-10.7 vs price
Under
17.0 · implied 5.9%
16.4%
+10.5 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3287 EUR · live
Under
2.24 · implied 44.6%
58.9%
+14.2 vs price
Over
1.76 · implied 56.8%
41.1%
-15.7 vs price
14 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Tap a player for their full match card.
Match events
10'
⚽
P. Wålemark · assist A. Sayyad1–0
20'
⚽
A. Sayyad · assist P. Rodríguez2–0
25'
⚽
P. Wålemark · assist M. Gurgul3–0
31'
⚽
M. Skrzypczak · assist A. Kozubal4–0
37'
🔁
D. Håkans ◂ P. Wålemark
Half-time · 5–0
45'
⚽
R. Murawski · assist P. Rodríguez5–0
45'+1
🔁
F. Dursun ◂ J. Roth
46'
🔁
F. Saiz ◂ N. Zoukit
46'
🔁
T. Strannegård ◂ M. Heule
48'
⚽
D. Håkans6–0
50'
N. Reichmuth
56'
🔁
N. Bürgy ◂ N. Reichmuth
64'
🔁
R. Gumny ◂ P. Rodríguez
64'
🔁
G. Berggren ◂ L. Palma
66'
VAR
Goal not given after review · F. Dursun
70'
T. Strannegård
79'
⚽
R. Gumny · assist G. Berggren7–0
80'
🔁
W. Szymczak ◂ A. Sayyad
80'
🔁
K. Delikat ◂ A. Kozubal
82'
🔁
L. Dähler ◂ B. Labeau
87'
R. Murawski
Full-time · 7–0
Coaches
Niels FrederiksenGian Luca Privitelli 
Recent form
Lech PoznańWAKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag5-0
WHPiast Gliwice3-0
WHKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag1-0
WAWieczysta Kraków2-1
LHAGF1-4
FC ThunLAVíkingur Reykjavík2-3
LABasel2-4
WHVíkingur Reykjavík3-0
LHBSC Young Boys0-6
LAGNK Dinamo Zagreb2-3
Match facts
Stadium
Enea Poznań
City
Poznan
Kickoff
20 Aug, 17:00 UTC
Competition
Europa League
Lech Poznań
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
FC Thun
1
M. Lis
2
J. Pereira
27
W. Mońka
72
M. Skrzypczak
⚽1
15
M. Gurgul
53
K. Delikat
↑ 80'
22
R. Murawski
⚽1
11
D. Håkans
↑ 37'
20
R. Gumny
↑ 64'
5
G. Berggren
↑ 64'
56
W. Szymczak
↑ 80'
1
N. Steffen
47
F. Fehr
19
J. Bamert
23
M. Bürki
18
T. Strannegård
↑ 46'
5
N. Bürgy
↑ 56'
9
F. Dursun
↑ 45'
8
F. Saiz
↑ 46'
78
V. Matoshi
33
M. Gutbub
37
L. Dähler
↑ 82'
Substitutes
35GM. Pruchniewski
41GB. Mrozek
3DA. Douglas
59DT. Yegbe
10MP. Wålemark↓ 37'
21MP. Rodríguez↓ 64'
77ML. Palma↓ 64'
43MA. Kozubal↓ 80'
17MA. Sayyad↓ 80'
7FY. Agnero
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Substitutes
25GT. Spycher
22GD. Wälti
27DM. Heule↓ 46'
17DA. Balaruban
16MJ. Roth↓ 45'
13MN. Zoukit↓ 46'
70MN. Reichmuth↓ 56'
21MD. Derbaci
96FB. Labeau↓ 82'
20FR. Braschi
30FN. Maier
80FS. Lengen
Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
Top stats
56%Possession44%
11Shots on target4
5Corners3
Shots
6Shots off target3
3Blocked shots2
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
1Offsides2
16Free kicks8
Passing
12Throw-ins12
Discipline
8Fouls16
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
4Goal kicks14
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 67 bookmakers
Who winsLech to win (DNB) 74% · 1.36 @ forbet
1X2Lech to win 58% · 2.05 @ Bet365
CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.77 @ Pinnacle
CornersOver 8.5 corners 64% · 1.45 @ Pinnacle
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 57% · 1.78 @ betcity
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 78% · 1.24 @ betcity
BTTSBoth teams to score 54% · 1.79 @ betcity
1X2Draw 23% · 2.85 @ efbet.net
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 59% · 1.66 @ Novibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 63% · 1.67 @ Betway
1X2Thun to win 19% · 5.10 @ betcity
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
1.56
Lech Poznań ▲
4.20
Draw ▼
5.09
FC Thun ▼
Double Chanceconsensus
1.15
Lech Poznań or Draw ▼
1.20
Lech Poznań or FC Thun ▼
2.29
Draw or FC Thun ▼
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.65
Yes ▼
2.12
No ▲
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.02
Over 0.50
11.47
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.17
Over 1.50 ▼
4.50
Under 1.50 ▲
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.59
Over 2.50 ▼
2.26
Under 2.50 ▲
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.45
Over 3.50 ▼
1.49
Under 3.50 ▲
Total Goals 4.50consensus
3.73
Over 4.50
1.25
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
1.25
Lech Poznań
3.64
FC Thun
Total Corners (O/U) 4.50consensus
1.01
Over 4.50
21.00
Under 4.50
Total Corners (O/U) 5.50consensus
1.05
Over 5.50
10.00
Under 5.50
Total Corners (O/U) 6.50consensus
1.11
Over 6.50
5.80
Under 6.50
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.23
Over 7.50
3.75
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.43
Over 8.50
2.61
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.73
Over 9.50
1.99
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.21
Over 10.50
1.60
Under 10.50
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Lech Poznań to win or draw
✓
81% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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