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Gian Luca Privitelli
FC Thun
Lech Poznań
FC Thun
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Lech Poznań
Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Match odds
281646 EUR · live
Away
44.0 · implied 2.3%
43.1%
+40.8 vs price
Home
36.0 · implied 2.8%
38.6%
+35.8 vs price
Draw
1.04 · implied 96.2%
18.3%
-77.8 vs price
Half time
1733 EUR · live
Draw
4.8 · implied 20.8%
68.9%
+48.1 vs price
Home
3.6 · implied 27.8%
19.6%
-8.2 vs price
Away
3.5 · implied 28.6%
11.4%
-17.2 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 goals
151 EUR
Under
2.62 · implied 38.2%
97.3%
+59.1 vs price
Over
1.62 · implied 61.7%
2.0%
-59.7 vs price
Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals
3119 EUR · live
Under
2.04 · implied 49.0%
78.0%
+29.0 vs price
Over
1.94 · implied 51.5%
22.0%
-29.6 vs price
15 more markets on this match
Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how
the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the
biggest money/price gap.
Weight of Money — see plans
Tap a player for their full match card.
Match events
17'
⚽
R. Gumny0–1
22'
⚽
S. Lengen1–1
26'
🔁
P. Wålemark ◂ D. Håkans
32'
N. Maier
40'
G. Berggren
43'
⚽
F. Dursun2–1
Half-time · 2–1
46'
🔁
F. Fehr ◂ T. Strannegård
46'
🔁
J. Roth ◂ F. Saiz
46'
🔁
R. Murawski ◂ A. Kozubal
53'
P. Wålemark
56'
🔁
A. Ilic ◂ N. Maier
61'
🔁
R. Braschi ◂ F. Dursun
67'
🔁
P. Rodríguez ◂ A. Sayyad
68'
⚽
P. Wålemark2–2
73'
🔁
N. Reichmuth ◂ S. Lengen
75'
L. Passavant
80'
🔁
T. Yegbe ◂ W. Mońka
80'
🔁
F. Jagiełło ◂ Y. Agnero
Full-time · 2–2
90'+1
M. Skrzypczak
Coaches
Gian Luca PrivitelliNiels Frederiksen 
Recent form
FC ThunLALech Poznań0-7
LAVíkingur Reykjavík2-3
LABasel2-4
WHVíkingur Reykjavík3-0
LHBSC Young Boys0-6
Lech PoznańWHFC Thun7-0
WAKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag5-0
WHPiast Gliwice3-0
WHKlaksvíkar Ítróttarfelag1-0
WAWieczysta Kraków2-1
Match facts
Stadium
Stockhorn Arena
City
Thun
Kickoff
27 Aug, 18:00 UTC
Competition
Europa League
FC Thun
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Lech Poznań
25
T. Spycher
37
L. Dähler
54
L. Passavant
23
M. Bürki
47
F. Fehr
↑ 46'
52
A. Ilic
↑ 56'
16
J. Roth
↑ 46'
13
N. Zoukit
21
D. Derbaci
70
N. Reichmuth
↑ 73'
21
R. Braschi
↑ 61'
1
M. Lis
20
R. Gumny
⚽1
59
T. Yegbe
↑ 80'
72
M. Skrzypczak
15
M. Gurgul
22
R. Murawski
↑ 46'
4
G. Berggren
21
P. Rodríguez
↑ 67'
77
L. Palma
10
P. Wålemark
↑ 26'
24
F. Jagiełło
↑ 80'
Substitutes
1GN. Steffen
22GD. Wälti
16DT. Strannegård↓ 46'
5DN. Bürgy
19DJ. Bamert
8MF. Saiz↓ 46'
58MA. Maaroufi
30FN. Maier↓ 56'
9FF. Dursun↓ 61'
80FS. Lengen↓ 73'
96FB. Labeau
Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli
Substitutes
31GW. Obremski
35GM. Pruchniewski
27DW. Mońka↓ 80'
2DJ. Pereira
11MD. Håkans↓ 26'
43MA. Kozubal↓ 46'
17MA. Sayyad↓ 67'
53MK. Delikat
7FY. Agnero↓ 80'
56FW. Szymczak
Coach: Niels Frederiksen
Top stats
40%Possession60%
3Shots on target3
6Corners3
Shots
4Shots off target7
3Blocked shots2
0Hit woodwork0
Attack
1Offsides1
12Free kicks22
Passing
13Throw-ins23
Discipline
22Fouls12
2Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
Goalkeeping
8Goal kicks8
Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers
Who winsLech to win (DNB) 60% · 1.72 @ Betsson
BTTSBoth teams to score 63% · 2.62 @ Bet365
GoalsOver 2.5 goals 62% · 3.28 @ 1xBet
1X2Lech to win 41% · 2.62 @ William Hill
GoalsOver 1.5 goals 82% · 1.75 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 9.5 corners 51% · 1.97 @ 1xBet
CornersOver 8.5 corners 62% · 1.59 @ Pinnacle
1X2Draw 24% · 2.85 @ Unibet
CornersUnder 10.5 corners 61% · 1.49 @ Unibet
1X2Thun to win 35% · 3.00 @ Unibet
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals 59% · 1.65 @ 1xBet
Odds consensus
1X2consensus
2.75
FC Thun
3.80
Draw
2.25
Lech Poznań
Double Chanceconsensus
1.61
FC Thun or Draw
1.23
FC Thun or Lech Poznań
1.40
Draw or Lech Poznań
Both Teams to Scoreconsensus
1.45
Yes
2.58
No
Total Goals 0.50consensus
1.01
Over 0.50
15.00
Under 0.50
Total Goals 1.50consensus
1.14
Over 1.50
5.22
Under 1.50
Total Goals 2.50consensus
1.51
Over 2.50
2.45
Under 2.50
Total Goals 3.50consensus
2.34
Over 3.50
1.58
Under 3.50
Total Goals 4.50consensus
4.00
Over 4.50
1.22
Under 4.50
Draw No Betconsensus
2.06
FC Thun
1.67
Lech Poznań
Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus
1.31
Over 7.50
2.96
Under 7.50
Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus
1.55
Over 8.50
2.25
Under 8.50
Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus
1.94
Over 9.50
1.79
Under 9.50
Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus
2.42
Over 10.50
1.48
Under 10.50
Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus
3.10
Over 11.50
1.27
Under 11.50
1X2 (1st Half)consensus
3.10
FC Thun
2.40
Draw
2.71
Lech Poznań
1X2 (2nd Half)consensus
2.90
FC Thun
2.75
Draw
2.51
Lech Poznań
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
Over 1.5 goals
✓
82% confidence
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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