FC Twente 1-0 FC Thun: Stats, xG & Lineups – Oct 15, 2026

Commentary

90'

Full-time. FC Twente 1-0 FC Thun.

90+3'

W. Weghorst

Attempt saved. W. Weghorst (FC Twente), right-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.11.

90+3'

F. Thorvaldsen

Attempt blocked. F. Thorvaldsen (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.14.

90+3'

FC Twente

Corner, FC Twente.

90'

4 minutes of added time.

88'

R. Braschi

Attempt missed. R. Braschi (FC Thun), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

86'

F. Thorvaldsen

Attempt missed. F. Thorvaldsen (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

84'

D. Weidmann

Substitution, FC Twente: T. V. d. Belt comes on for D. Weidmann.

82'

O. Mambwa

Substitution, FC Thun: T. Strannegård comes on for O. Mambwa.

81'

B. Labeau

Substitution, FC Thun: R. Braschi comes on for B. Labeau.

80'

D. Weidmann

Attempt saved. D. Weidmann (FC Twente), left-footed shot. xG 0.37.

78'

S. Ørjasæter

Substitution, FC Twente: F. Thorvaldsen comes on for S. Ørjasæter.

76'

R. Nijstad

Attempt missed. R. Nijstad (FC Twente), left-footed shot. xG 0.09.

75'

R. Zerrouki

Attempt missed. R. Zerrouki (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

73'

S. Ørjasæter

Attempt missed. S. Ørjasæter (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.13.

67'

N. Reichmuth

Substitution, FC Thun: L. Passavant comes on for N. Reichmuth.

67'

D. Rots

Substitution, FC Twente: M. Pjaca comes on for D. Rots.

67'

Y. Taha

Substitution, FC Twente: K. Hlynsson comes on for Y. Taha.

66'

F. Dursun

Substitution, FC Thun: N. Maier comes on for F. Dursun.

65'

R. Zerrouki

Goal! FC Twente 1-0 FC Thun. R. Zerrouki (FC Twente) scores, assisted by D. Weidmann.

62'

Y. Taha

Attempt missed. Y. Taha (FC Twente), left-footed shot from a corner. xG 0.01.

62'

FC Twente

Corner, FC Twente.

60'

P. Kristal

VAR: card upgraded for P. Kristal (FC Thun).

60'

P. Kristal

Red card! P. Kristal (FC Thun) is sent off for violent conduct.

58'

R. Zerrouki

VAR: card upgraded for R. Zerrouki (FC Twente).

52'

FC Twente

Corner, FC Twente.

51'

S. Ørjasæter

Attempt blocked. S. Ørjasæter (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

50'

A. Adelgaard

Attempt blocked. A. Adelgaard (FC Twente), left-footed shot. xG 0.10.

50'

Y. Taha

Attempt missed. Y. Taha (FC Twente), left-footed shot. xG 0.02.

46'

J. Bamert

Substitution, FC Thun: N. Zoukit comes on for J. Bamert.

46'

The second half is under way.

45'

Half-time. FC Twente 0-0 FC Thun.

45+2'

R. Zerrouki

Attempt missed. R. Zerrouki (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.03.

45'

2 minutes of added time.

44'

P. Kristal

Attempt missed. P. Kristal (FC Thun), right-footed shot from a set piece. xG 0.01.

43'

A. Adelgaard

Yellow card for A. Adelgaard (FC Twente) for foul.

40'

S. Ørjasæter

Attempt saved. S. Ørjasæter (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.09.

40'

FC Twente

Corner, FC Twente.

38'

W. Weghorst

Attempt missed. W. Weghorst (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.48.

36'

P. Kristal

Attempt missed. P. Kristal (FC Thun), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

36'

D. Weidmann

Attempt missed. D. Weidmann (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

31'

F. Fehr

Yellow card for F. Fehr (FC Thun) for foul.

25'

D. Weidmann

VAR check complete: the goal for FC Twente stands.

19'

R. Zerrouki

Attempt missed. R. Zerrouki (FC Twente), left-footed shot. xG 0.03.

18'

R. Zerrouki

Attempt blocked. R. Zerrouki (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.04.

17'

D. Rots

Attempt missed. D. Rots (FC Twente), header from a corner. xG 0.08.

17'

FC Twente

Corner, FC Twente.

16'

R. Zerrouki

Attempt blocked. R. Zerrouki (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.02.

16'

FC Twente

Corner, FC Twente.

15'

J. Roth

Attempt blocked. J. Roth (FC Thun), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

14'

N. Reichmuth

Attempt blocked. N. Reichmuth (FC Thun), left-footed shot. xG 0.04.

13'

F. Dursun

Attempt blocked. F. Dursun (FC Thun), left-footed shot on the counter. xG 0.02.

10'

FC Twente

Corner, FC Twente.

8'

D. Weidmann

Attempt blocked. D. Weidmann (FC Twente), right-footed shot. xG 0.08.

8'

Y. Taha

Attempt saved. Y. Taha (FC Twente), left-footed shot. xG 0.35.

1'

Kick-off: FC Twente vs FC Thun.

Where the money is

451732 EUR matched · captured 1 week, 2 days ago

How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.

Match odds 181441 EUR · live

Home 1.04 · implied 96.2%

90.4%

-5.8 vs price

Draw 42.0 · implied 2.4%

6.1%

+3.7 vs price

Away 590.0 · implied 0.2%

3.5%

+3.3 vs price

Half time 1768 EUR · live

Home 1.13 · implied 88.5%

80.1%

-8.4 vs price

Draw 3.0 · implied 33.3%

11.9%

-21.4 vs price

Away 11.0 · implied 9.1%

7.9%

-1.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 goals 41064 EUR · live

Under 1.01 · implied 99.0%

60.0%

-39.0 vs price

Over 30.0 · implied 3.3%

40.6%

+37.2 vs price

Over/Under 2.5 first-half goals 8085 EUR · live

Under 1.09 · implied 91.7%

89.5%

-2.2 vs price

Over 12.0 · implied 8.3%

10.5%

+2.2 vs price

14 more markets on this match

Corners, cards, correct score, both-teams-to-score and the rest — plus how the split moved over time, and which matches across the board show the biggest money/price gap.

Weight of Money — see plans

Goal On target Off target Blocked ● size = xG

Tap a player for their full match card.

Player of the match

Match events

25' VAR Goal not given after review · D. Weidmann

31' F. Fehr · Foul

43' A. Adelgaard · Foul

Half-time · 0–0

46' 🔁 N. Zoukit ◂ J. Bamert

58' VAR Card check · R. Zerrouki

60' P. Kristal · Violent conduct

60' VAR Card check · P. Kristal

65' ⚽ R. Zerrouki · assist D. Weidmann1–0

66' 🔁 N. Maier ◂ F. Dursun

67' 🔁 K. Hlynsson ◂ Y. Taha

67' 🔁 M. Pjaca ◂ D. Rots

67' 🔁 L. Passavant ◂ N. Reichmuth

78' 🔁 F. Thorvaldsen ◂ S. Ørjasæter

81' 🔁 R. Braschi ◂ B. Labeau

82' 🔁 T. Strannegård ◂ O. Mambwa

84' 🔁 T. V. d. Belt ◂ D. Weidmann

Full-time · 1–0

Coaches

John van den Brom

Gian Luca Privitelli

Recent form

FC Twente

DAFortuna Sittard1-1

WHSV Werder Bremen7-0

WHPSV Eindhoven3-2

WHADO Den Haag2-0

WHSC Telstar1-0

FC Thun

LAFC Zürich2-4

WHSC Kriens2-0

WAFC Vaduz2-1

LHServette FC2-4

LHGrasshopper Club Zürich0-1

About this match

**Twente are rolling, and Thun are here to be rolled.** The Dutch side demolished Werder Bremen 7-0 last time out and sit unbeaten in their last five — this is a massive mismatch on paper. 🔥

Thun come in wounded: three losses in their last five, missing a key defender to injury, and their captain suspended. Twente's home form at De Grolsch Veste has been electric lately.

Key storylines:

- **Wout Weghorst** and the Twente attack look absolutely clinical right now — Thun's depleted backline will struggle to cope
- **FC Thun's defensive crisis** means they're starting without Montolio (cruciate ligament) and Bürki (suspension), a brutal combo for a Swiss side already leaking goals
- Conference League opener vibes — Twente should be hungry to make a statement in Europe

Expected lineups:

- **FC Twente**: Drommel, Adelgaard, Nijstad, Pröpper, van Rooij, Zerrouki, Weidmann, Ørjasæter, Taha, Rots, Weghorst
- **FC Thun**: Steffen, Mambwa, Bamert, Fehr, Strannegård, Roth, Reichmuth, Saiz, Zoukit, Labeau, Dursun

Prediction:

**Twente 4-1 Thun** — Home side's a clear favorite. Expect a comfortable cruise. ✌️

Where to watch

Disney+ (AR)ViX

Match facts

Stadium

De Grolsch Veste

City

Enschede

Referee

Genc Nuza

Kickoff

15 Oct, 19:00 UTC

Competition

Conference League

FC Twente 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2 FC Thun

16 J. Drommel 6.6 28 B. van Rooij 8.0 3 R. Pröpper 7.3 4 R. Nijstad 7.6 29 A. Adelgaard 7.6 6 R. Zerrouki 8.4 20 T. V. d. Belt 6.8 ↑ 84' 14 K. Hlynsson 6.8 ↑ 67' 7 M. Pjaca 6.6 ↑ 67' 17 F. Thorvaldsen 6.5 ↑ 78' 9 W. Weghorst 6.5 1 N. Steffen 8.4 47 F. Fehr 6.7 5 N. Bürgy 7.2 13 N. Zoukit 6.7 ↑ 46' 18 T. Strannegård 6.5 ↑ 82' 54 L. Passavant 7.6 ↑ 67' 16 J. Roth 6.4 14 M. Käit 7.4 15 P. Kristal 5.9 20 R. Braschi 6.4 ↑ 81' 30 N. Maier 6.5 ↑ 66'

Substitutes

31GY. Gerritsen 22GR. Pasveer 39DJ. Meilink 24DK. Kurowski 2DM. Rosiak 11MD. Rots↓ 67'7.6 27MS. Ørjasæter↓ 78'7.5 8MD. Weidmann↓ 84'7.4 10MY. Taha↓ 67'7.0 26MB. Nagel 18MJ. Bawuah 25FL. V. o. Hesselink

Coach: John van den Brom

Substitutes

22GD. Wälti 25GT. Spycher 19DJ. Bamert↓ 46'7.0 2DO. Mambwa↓ 82'6.1 37DL. Dähler 70MN. Reichmuth↓ 67'6.6 21MD. Derbaci 96FB. Labeau↓ 81'5.9 9FF. Dursun↓ 66'5.8 26FN. Christoffersson 80FS. Lengen

Coach: Gian Luca Privitelli

Top stats

73%Possession27%

2.32Expected goals (xG)0.2

22Total shots6

5Shots on target0

3Big chances0

6Corners1

Shots

11Shots off target3

6Blocked shots3

13Shots inside box1

9Shots outside box5

3Big chances missed0

0.0Goals prevented1.44

Attack

55Touches in box5

72Final third entries39

19Free kicks6

4Fouled in final third1

Passing

672Passes250

584Accurate passes173

17/47 (36%)Long balls20/57 (35%)

5/19 (26%)Crosses1/4 (0%)

24Throw-ins25

Duels

60Duels40

44/74 (59%)Ground duels30/74 (41%)

19/31 (61%)Aerial duels12/31 (39%)

4/15 (27%)Dribbles3/11 (27%)

10Dispossessed14

Defending

22Tackles21

59Tackles won52

7Interceptions13

22Clearances34

46Recoveries33

Discipline

6Fouls19

1Yellow cards1

0Red cards1

Goalkeeping

0Saves4

0Big saves2

6Goal kicks17

Forecast BSD enginebest price across 26 bookmakers

Twente 79%

13%

Thun 9%

1X2Twente to win 79% · 1.44 @ William Hill

GoalsOver 2.5 goals 76% · 2.40 @ William Hill

Who winsTwente to win (DNB) 84% · 1.08 @ Betano

GoalsOver 3.5 goals 52% · 1.86 @ Sbo

GoalsOver 1.5 goals 88% · 1.44 @ William Hill

CornersOver 9.5 corners 52% · 1.75 @ Pinnacle

CornersOver 8.5 corners 63% · 1.46 @ Pinnacle

BTTSBoth teams to score 58% · 2.75 @ William Hill

CornersUnder 10.5 corners 60% · 1.63 @ Pinnacle

1X2Draw 12% · 4.05 @ 1xBet

1X2Thun to win 9% · 7.80 @ 1xBet

Odds consensus

1X2consensus

1.19

FC Twente

7.50

Draw

11.00

FC Thun

Double Chanceconsensus

1.05

FC Twente or Draw

1.08

FC Twente or FC Thun

4.42

Draw or FC Thun

Both Teams to Scoreconsensus

1.61

Yes

2.20

No

Home Win to Nilconsensus

2.40

YES

Away Win to Nilconsensus

26.00

YES

Total Goals 0.50consensus

1.01

Over 0.50

27.50

Under 0.50

Total Goals 1.50consensus

1.06

Over 1.50

8.15

Under 1.50

Total Goals 2.50consensus

1.22

Over 2.50

4.00

Under 2.50

Total Goals 3.50consensus

1.67

Over 3.50

2.15

Under 3.50

Total Goals 4.50consensus

2.57

Over 4.50

1.50

Under 4.50

Draw No Betconsensus

1.06

FC Twente

8.25

FC Thun

Total Corners (O/U) 7.50consensus

1.20

Over 7.50

3.80

Under 7.50

Total Corners (O/U) 8.50consensus

1.44

Over 8.50

2.64

Under 8.50

Total Corners (O/U) 9.50consensus

1.73

Over 9.50

2.02

Under 9.50

Total Corners (O/U) 10.50consensus

2.21

Over 10.50

1.61

Under 10.50

Total Corners (O/U) 11.50consensus

2.85

Over 11.50

1.35

Under 11.50

Full odds via API →

Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.

FC Twente to win or draw

✓

91% confidence

Over 1.5 goals

✗

88% confidence

FC Twente to avoid defeat

✓

84% confidence

A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

Where the money is

Expected goals (xG) flow

Match momentum

Average positions

Shot map

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