Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Thun's riding momentum while Basel's in freefall** — this one could get spicy at the Stockhorn. 🔥
Thun just scraped back to form with two wins in their last five, though they're still choppy. Basel, meanwhile, are basically sleepwalking through the season with just one draw across their last five games — they desperately need a wake-up call.
Key storylines:
- **Thun's strike duo** of N. Zoukit and B. Labeau will fancy their chances against a Basel defense stretched thin by injuries (A. Bačanin and F. Daniliuc both unavailable leaves the backline vulnerable)
- **X. Shaqiri** is Basel's creative spark and probably their only real outlet to create something in midfield, but they're leaking chances everywhere
- **History favors Basel** — they've won 26 of the last 45 H2H meetings — but form trumps folklore
Expected lineups:
- **FC Thun**: N. Steffen, J. Bamert, F. Fehr, T. Strannegård, N. Bürgy, N. Reichmuth, J. Roth, M. Käit, N. Zoukit, B. Labeau, F. Dursun
- **Basel**: J. Omlin, M. Cissé, F. Daniliuc, A. Victory, K. Tsunemoto, Metinho, B. Omeragić, K. Olaigbe, X. Shaqiri, G. Koloto, Ž. Celar
Prediction:
**Thun 2-1 Basel.** Home court advantage + Basel's defensive chaos = edge to the hosts. 📊
Our calls before kick-off, and how they went.
A confidence, not a tip. We do not claim these beat the bookmakers' price — the odds are short precisely because the outcome is likely.
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