Where the money is
How much money is actually on each selection, next to what the price says it should be. A gap is not a tip — it just means the crowd and the book disagree.
Expected goals (xG) flow
per shotMatch momentum
Average positions
formation shapeShot map
xG sizedTap a player for their full match card.
**Coventry's finally found their feet at home, but Brighton roll in with way fewer problems.** This is a proper chance for the Sky Blues to pile on after two successive home defeats 🔵
Coventry have **2W 3L** in their last five and look shaky defensively, while Brighton bring **2W 2D 1L** form and the momentum of a demolition job on Tromsø. Head-to-head tells the story too — **Brighton own this fixture** with 2 wins to Coventry's 1.
Key storylines:
- **T. Awoniyi** and the Coventry attack need to capitalize early before Brighton's midfield settles in
- Brighton's injury list is brutal (five out) but their depth has held firm through draws and wins
- **B. Verbruggen** will have work to do against a side desperate for three points at home
Expected lineups:
- **Coventry City**: C. Rushworth, J. DaSilva, B. Thomas, A. Amenda, M. v. Ewijk, M. Grimes, F. Onyeka, M. Ephron, J. Rudoni, L. Tchaouna, T. Awoniyi
- **Brighton & Hove Albion**: B. Verbruggen, M. De Cuyper, O. Boscagli, L. Vušković, Costinha, P. Groß, D. Gómez, I. Osman, F. Kadıoğlu, M. Yalcouyé, C. Kostoulas
Prediction:
**Brighton 2-1 Coventry.** The Seagulls have the edge on form and history — expect them to grind out a road win despite squad strain 🔴
Nothing reached 80% confidence before kick-off, so we stayed quiet rather than guess. Most matches end up here — that is what keeps the published calls at 86.6%.
Report a data issue
Spotted something wrong on this match? Tell us what and we'll fix it.